Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 041818
FFSMAF
TXC371-042130-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
117 PM CDT SUN APR 4 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM 
CDT...

AT 1200 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED ROADS THROUGHOUT 
FORT STOCKTON WERE FLOODED. ALSO...HIGHWAY 285 WAS CLOSED FROM
FORT STOCKTON TO THE TERRELL COUNTY LINE.  

AT 116 PM CDT...DOPLLER RADAR INDICATED WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH ACROSS PECOS COUNTY.  
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERTORMS WERE REDEVELOPING OVER 
JEFF DAVIS AND BREWSTER COUNTIES...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD 
NORTHEAST INTO PECOS COUNTY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.        

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR 
PECOS COUNTY.  ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 
TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THESE ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL 
AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING SITUATION.  

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMAF 042130
FFSMAF
NMC025-TXC003-165-371-389-042300-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
429 PM CDT SUN APR 4 2004

...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS FOR LEA...GAINES...ANDREWS...REEVES...
AND PECOS COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 421 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAD
MOVED OUT OF THESE COUNTIES. HOWEVER...STANDING OR RUNNING WATER
IN EACH OF THESE COUNTIES WILL TAKE SEVERAL HOURS TO RUNOFF.  
THEREFORE...RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION IF 
TRAVELING ON AREA ROADWAYS.     

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING DUE TO SATURATED
GROUND. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3188 10227 3166 10228 3170 10182 3207 10182
          3207 10227

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
445 AM CDT SUN APR 4 2004

.SHORT TERM...
ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER/FLASH FLOODING EVENT PRECLUDES A DETAILED
DISCUSSION.  ENERGY ROTATING OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. UPPER LOW
COMBINED WITH AMPLE MOISTURE...STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE...AND LOW
LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT.  THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE CONFINED TO THE BIG BEND AND TRANS PECOS REGIONS WHERE INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR ARE GREATEST.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFO PLEASE SEE LATEST
DISCUSSIONS FROM HPC AND SPC.

.LONG TERM...
DITTO.  POP...WX...AND QPF GRIDS THROUGH MONDAY BASED ON HPC QPF
GUIDANCE.  THIS GUIDANCE LOOKS REASONABLE GIVEN EXPECTED SYNOPTIC
CONDITIONS.  NO ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE GRIDS WERE MADE BEYOND MONDAY.
HAVE TRENDED STRONGLY TOWARD GFS MOS GUIDANCE FOR ALL OTHER GRIDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX             62  50  65  53 /  80  80  80  90
CARLSBAD NM               62  46  65  45 /  90  70  80  70
DRYDEN TX                 67  59  71  55 /  90  90  90  70
FORT STOCKTON TX          68  54  70  52 / 100  80  80  70
GUADALUPE PASS TX         61  42  60  41 /  80  70  70  60
HOBBS NM                  61  46  65  47 / 100  70  80  70
MARFA TX                  68  46  67  42 /  80  80  80  60
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX   65  52  66  52 / 100  90  80  80
ODESSA TX                 66  52  66  51 / 100  80  80  80
WINK TX                   69  55  71  52 / 100  80  80  70

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF WEST
     TEXAS...TXZ045-046-050-051-057>063-067>070-074-075.
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN
     NEW MEXICO...NMZ027>029-033-034.

&&

70/70

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
330 AM CDT SUN APR 4 2004

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-042000-
ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER-
330 AM CDT (130 AM MST) SUN APR 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS
OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...HOWEVER DAMAGING WINDS OR
AN ISOLATED TORNADO ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY AND TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN.  FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WHERE HEAVY RAINS
FELL LAST NIGHT.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY...
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL.  SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN...AND FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN A
CONCERN ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.