Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 212, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 5, 2004Marion County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 5, 2004, 9:22 PM CDT for Marion County, Illinois. It was in force for 53 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2004, 9:22 PM CDT (02:22 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2004, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Marion County, IL

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 5, 9:56 PM CDT	TORNADO	6 E Centralia, IL	SEVERAL REPORTS OF A TORNADO BY THE PUBLIC NEAR THE INTERESECTION OF I 57 AND IL 161

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 5, 9:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 193 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -133 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1600 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 166 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 060222
SVRLSX
ILC121-060315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
921 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 921 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF SANDOVAL...MOVING EAST AT 40
  MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FAIRMAN
  SANDOVAL
  CENTRAL CITY
  PATOKA
  ODIN
  SALEM
  KINMUNDY
  OMEGA
  STEPHEN FORBES STATE PARK
  HELM

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...AND HAS DOWNED
NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IN THE
INTERIOR PORTION OF A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS
AND WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3847 8871 3848 8914 3882 8913 3882 8871
      3874 8871 3873 8870 3847 8871

$$

TES

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 4:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 4:40 PM CDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
440 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

.DISCUSSION...
AREA RMNS IN THE WAITING MODE FOR THE NXT ROUND OF CNVTN WITH MANY
PARAMETERS FAVORING REDVLPMT OF TSRA ERY THIS EVE.  OF IMMEDIATE
CONCERN IS OUTFLO BNDRY FROM THIS MRNGS CNVTN...WHICH HAS BCM QSTNRY
NR POF WHILE W EDGE HAS PUSHED NE TO BTWN KCOU-KSTL.  AMS ALG/S OF
BNDRY XTRMLY UNSTBL WITH SFC BASED CAPES OF NR 5000 VCNTY SW MO. WRM
MID LVL TEMPS INDICATED ON 18Z KSGF SNDG APRS TO BE KPG SFC-BASED
ACTIVITY IN CHECK SO FAR...HWVR SINCE 2020Z CNVTN APRS TO BE
INCRG/PERHAPS BCMG SFC BASED N AND JUST NE OF KJLN.  BLV ARCH OF
SHTWV WL CONT TO COOL MID LVLS...AND EXPECT CNVTN TO DVLP/EXPAND NWD
INTO NE MO OVR NXT FEW HRS.  TORNADO WATCH JUST ISSUED FOR MUCH OF
CWFA TIL 03Z.

THIS EVES CNVTN WL MV E DURG THE EVE AND GRDL PUSH E OF FA BY
06Z...GIVING AREA A BIT OF A LULL.  HWVR...MCS EXPECTED TO DVLP OVR
PLAINS OVRNGT WL ALSO BE PUSHING E...AND SHUD SPREAD TSRA BACK ACR FA
DURG THE MRNG/ERY AFTN ON TUE.  PCPN SHUD THEN SWEEP OUT OF SE
SECTIONS OF FA ON TUE EVE AS WK CDFNT PUSHES THRU.  GOING FCSTS HAS
A GD HNDL ON THIS...SO ONLY MINOR CHGS RQRD FOR TUE/TUE NGT.

NWP OUTPUT SUGGESTING THE NXT THRT OF PCPN WL BE ELEVATED CNVTN WED
NGT/THU AS RETURN FLO PROVIDES ISENTROPIC LFT FOR NWD RBND OF
UNSTBL AMS.  SINCE 12Z RUNS WERE FIRST TO PICK UP ON THIS...WL KP
POPS AOB 20 ATTM AND LET MID SHIFT CHECK OUT 00Z RUNS TO SEE IF THIS
TREND CONTS.

HARD TO GET TOO SPECIFIC WITH TEMPS TRENDS OVR NXT 24 HRS DUE TO
IMPACT OF CNVTN.  GOING VALUES STILL LK TO BE A GD FIRST
APPROXIMATION...SO ONLY MINOR CHGS RQRD.

IN THE LONG TERM...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SUMMERTIME HEAT AND
HUMIDITY APR TO BE IN THE OFFING AS UPR RDG BUILDS OVR S HLF OF
COUNTRY.

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...TORNADO WATCH RUFLY ALG-N OF KVIH-KSUS TIL 03Z.
.IL...TORNADO WATCH RUFLY ALG-N OF KBLV-KTAZ TIL 03Z.

&&

TRUETT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 4:30 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
430 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-061100-
ADAMS IL-AUDRAIN-BOND IL-BOONE-BROWN-CALHOUN IL-CALLAWAY-CLINTON IL-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FAYETTE IL-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-GREENE IL-IRON-JEFFERSON-
JERSEY IL-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON-MADISON IL-MARION-
MARION IL-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY-MONTGOMERY IL-OSAGE-
PIKE-PIKE IL-RALLS-RANDOLPH IL-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST CHARLES-
ST CLAIR IL-ST FRANCOIS-ST LOUIS-ST LOUIS CITY-STE GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WASHINGTON IL-
430 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
AND WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI THIS
EVENING...AND FURTHER INTO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
TONIGHT.  THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  HOWEVER...BECAUSE OF THE EXTREME
INSTABILITY OF THE ATMOSPHERE...BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWNS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING OR
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.  SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
WE CAN EXPECT A BREAK IN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE END
OF THE WORK WEEK.  THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FOR
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR RETURNS TO THE
AREA.

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

CARNEY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:11 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
911 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE BREESE             38.64N 89.48W
07/05/2004                   CLINTON            IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN 3 NORTHEAST OF BREEZE I...NEAR FROGTOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:11 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
911 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE BREESE             38.64N 89.48W
07/05/2004                   CLINTON            IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN 3 NORTHEAST OF BREEZE I...NEAR FROGTOWN

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:17 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
917 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             WEBSTER GROVES          38.59N 90.35W
07/05/2004  1.00 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 INCH HAIL IN WEBSTER GROVES. ESTIMATED 70 TO 75 MPH

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:17 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
917 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HAIL             WEBSTER GROVES          38.59N 90.35W
07/05/2004  1.00 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 INCH HAIL IN WEBSTER GROVES. ESTIMATED 70 TO 75 MPH

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:21 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
921 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             CREVE COEUR             38.66N 90.44W
07/05/2004  1.00 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 INCH HAIL AT LADUE AND I 270.

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, Jul 5, 9:21 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
921 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     HAIL             CREVE COEUR             38.66N 90.44W
07/05/2004  1.00 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 INCH HAIL AT LADUE AND I 270.

&&

PRZYBYLINSKI

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 8:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Madison, Saint Clair	53 min
Jul 5, 8:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Clinton	54 min
Jul 5, 8:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Madison	34 min
Jul 5, 8:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Bond	47 min
Jul 5, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Clair	59 min
Jul 5, 9:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Madison, Saint Clair	4 hr
Jul 5, 9:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe	24 min
Jul 5, 9:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Clinton, Washington	67 min
Jul 5, 9:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Marion	31 min
Jul 5, 10:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Randolph, Saint Clair	44 min
Jul 5, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Washington	61 min
Jul 6, 12:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Macoupin, Montgomery	43 min
Jul 6, 7:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Greene, Macoupin	42 min
Jul 6, 12:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Randolph, Saint Clair, Washington	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.