Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Louisville, KY

May 31, 2004Nicholas County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 31, 2004, 12:51 AM EDT for Nicholas County, Kentucky. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 31, 2004, 12:51 AM EDT (04:51 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2004, 1:30 AM EDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Nicholas County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 9:20 PM EDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 778 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 316 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 399 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.7
Supercell composite: 9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

206 
WUUS53 KLMK 310451
SVRLMK
KYC181-310530-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1251 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NICHOLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 130 AM EDT

* AT 1244 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF CARLISLE TO
  15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARLISLE...OR FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  LEXINGTON TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 60
  MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  MOOREFIELD AROUND 100 AM EDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS LINE OF STORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY
DAMAGING WINDS. IF YOU ARE IN THIS STORMS PATH...TAKE COVER
IMMEDIATELY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL IT HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND ANY DOWNED POWER LINES.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. REMEMBER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE NOTICE.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LOUISVILLE.

LAT...LON 3846 8411 3837 8418 3820 8399 3833 8386
          3842 8398

$$

SCHOTT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 2:30 PM EDT, 10 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:30 PM EDT, 10 hours 21 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT...

SURFACE ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
FROM NEAR JACKSON...NORTHWEST ACROSS CINCINATTI...TOWARDS
INDIANAPOLIS. STRONG STORMS HAVE MOVED FROM CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
KENTUCKY. ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED RAPID DESTABILIZATION. SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KENTUCKY DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY OVERNIGHT. STRONG LINEAR FORCING
WILL AID IN DEVELOPING A SQUALL LINE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS REGION
DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS AND OVERNIGHT. WITH STRONG MID-LEVEL
WINDS...BOW ECHOS AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
SQUALL LINE.

AS FRONT PASSES OUT OF EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY TOMORROW...MUCH LOWER
DEWPOINTS WILL BRING RAPID CLEARING DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM WEST
TO EAST. MUCH LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL ALLOW COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
TUESDAY.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT.
KY...TORNADO WATCH FOR WEST CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

&&

DENMAN

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 10:34 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1034 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-310900-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK KY-CLARK IN-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON KY-HARRISON IN-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON KY-JEFFERSON IN-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALF KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT KY-SCOTT IN-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON KY-WASHINGTON IN-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISVILLE...LEXINGTON...BOWLING GREEN...
WINCHESTER...VERSAILLES...STANFORD...SHELBYVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...
RICHMOND...HARRODSBURG...HARDINSBURG...GLASGOW...FRANKLIN...
FRANKFORT...ELIZABETHTOWN...DANVILLE...CYNTHIANA...COLUMBIA...
BARDSTOWN...NEW ALBANY...JASPER AND CORYDON
1034 PM EDT (934 PM CDT) SUN MAY 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA IN A
HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT...AS A STRONG SQUALL LINE MOVES
ACROSS KENTUCKY AND INDIANA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA UNTIL 4 AM
EDT. IN ADDITION TO A THREAT FOR EMBEDDED TORNADOES WITHIN THE
SQUALL LINE...THERE WILL BE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 60 MPH...AND A
RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING. TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUIRED TONIGHT. ALSO...COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT ARE REQUESTED TO RELAY REPORTS OF
SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NWS IN LOUISVILLE.

JB

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 31, 12:23 AM EDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1223 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N CAMPBELLSVILLE      37.42N 85.35W
05/31/2004                   TAYLOR             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 31, 12:27 AM EDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1227 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREENSBURG              37.26N 85.50W
05/30/2004                   GREEN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN AND POWER LINES DOWN. ROOF BLOWN OFF IN
            GREENSBURG.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 31, 12:31 AM EDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1231 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SHELBYVILLE             38.22N 85.23W
05/31/2004                   SHELBY             KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            HIGH WATER CLOSING SOME STREETS IN THE CITY OF
            SHELBYVILLE.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Special weather statement, May 31, 12:37 AM EDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1237 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>034-038-045-053-061>063-070>072-
310815-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CLARK IN-CRAWFORD IN-DUBOIS IN-
EDMONSON KY-FLOYD IN-GRAYSON KY-HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON IN-
HART KY-HENRY KY-JEFFERSON IN-JEFFERSON KY-LARUE KY-LOGAN KY-
MEADE KY-NELSON KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-SCOTT IN-
SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON IN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN...CORYDON...
ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKLIN...HARDINSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...
LOUISVILLE...NEW ALBANY...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE
1237 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004/1137 PM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 343 AND 344 HAS BEEN CANCELLED...GENERALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LOUISVILLE TO BOWLING GREEN LINE...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED THE TORNADO
THREAT HAS DIMINISHED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH-
CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY:

IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY:

BRECKINRIDGE, BULLITT, BUTLER, EDMONSON, GRAYSON, HANCOCK, HARDIN
HART, HENRY, JEFFERSON, LARUE, LOGAN, MEADE, NELSON, OHIO, OLDHAM,
SHELBY. SIMPSON, SPENCER, TRIMBLE, AND WARREN.

IN SOUTH-CENTRAL INDIANA:

CLARK, CRAWFORD, DUBOIS, FLOYD, HARRISON, JEFFERSON, ORANGE, PERRY,
SCOTT, AND WASHINGTON.

JB

Local storm report, May 31, 12:49 AM EDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1249 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1243 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LEXINGTON               38.65N 85.62W
05/31/2004                   SCOTT              IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN AT THE KENTUCKY HORSE MUSEUM.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 31, 12:50 AM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1250 AM EDT MON MAY 31 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1248 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N ALBANY              36.73N 85.14W
05/31/2004                   CLINTON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

&&

SZAPPANOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 8:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Madison	33 min
May 30, 9:20 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Bourbon	3 hr
May 30, 9:39 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Madison	3 hr
May 30, 10:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Ohio	39 min
May 30, 10:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	39 min
May 30, 10:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	55 min
May 30, 10:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge	49 min
May 30, 10:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	33 min
May 30, 10:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	59 min
May 30, 10:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson	48 min
May 30, 10:42 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Meade	48 min
May 30, 10:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Logan	46 min
May 30, 10:51 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Grayson	39 min
May 30, 10:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	66 min
May 30, 10:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Edmonson, Warren	35 min
May 30, 11:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Jefferson	50 min
May 30, 11:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hart	46 min
May 30, 11:21 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Jefferson	39 min
May 30, 11:22 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bullitt	38 min
May 30, 11:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Simpson	52 min
May 30, 11:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham	49 min
May 30, 11:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	32 min
May 30, 11:31 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Hardin, Hart, Larue	44 min
May 30, 11:33 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Oldham, Trimble	42 min
May 30, 11:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Barren, Nelson	40 min
May 30, 11:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Shelby, Spencer	37 min
May 30, 11:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry	33 min
May 30, 11:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green	44 min
May 30, 11:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Washington	42 min
May 30, 11:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson	37 min
May 31, 12:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Marion, Taylor	45 min
May 31, 12:02 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin	43 min
May 31, 12:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Metcalfe, Monroe	52 min
May 31, 12:13 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Mercer, Woodford	47 min
May 31, 12:14 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair	46 min
May 31, 12:19 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle	41 min
May 31, 12:23 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Scott	37 min
May 31, 12:27 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Cumberland	48 min
May 31, 12:31 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Fayette, Jessamine	44 min
May 31, 12:38 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Harrison	37 min
May 31, 12:39 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey, Clinton, Lincoln, Russell	51 min
May 31, 12:43 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	47 min
May 31, 12:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon	44 min
May 31, 12:57 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Madison	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.