Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 33, NWS Louisville, KY

May 30, 2004Madison County, Kentucky

NWS Louisville, KY issued this flash flood warning at May 30, 2004, 9:39 PM EDT for Madison County, Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2004, 9:39 PM EDT (01:39 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2004, 12:45 AM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Louisville, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Madison County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 778 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 316 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 399 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.7
Supercell composite: 9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS53 KLMK 310141
FFWLMK
KYC151-310445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
939 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  MADISON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 1245 AM EDT

* AT 934 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY 
HEAVY   RAIN CONTINUING OVER MADISON COUNTY. MORE THUNDERSTORMS WITH 
HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO MADISON COUNTY. ROADS WERE ALREADY 
FLOODING FROM EARLIER RAIN AND THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL CAUSE 
ADDITIONAL FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS...IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO JUDGE THE ACTUAL DEPTH OF THE
WATER. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER
GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3776 8453 3754 8434 3758 8415 3783 8412
          3790 8431

$$

SCHOLZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 30, 2:30 PM EDT, 7 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:30 PM EDT, 7 hours 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT...

SURFACE ANALYSIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A WARM FRONT EXTENDING
FROM NEAR JACKSON...NORTHWEST ACROSS CINCINATTI...TOWARDS
INDIANAPOLIS. STRONG STORMS HAVE MOVED FROM CENTRAL INTO EASTERN
KENTUCKY. ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED RAPID DESTABILIZATION. SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KENTUCKY DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY OVERNIGHT. STRONG LINEAR FORCING
WILL AID IN DEVELOPING A SQUALL LINE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS REGION
DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS AND OVERNIGHT. WITH STRONG MID-LEVEL
WINDS...BOW ECHOS AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
SQUALL LINE.

AS FRONT PASSES OUT OF EASTERN KENTUCKY EARLY TOMORROW...MUCH LOWER
DEWPOINTS WILL BRING RAPID CLEARING DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM WEST
TO EAST. MUCH LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL ALLOW COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
TUESDAY.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 8 PM EDT.
KY...TORNADO WATCH FOR WEST CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

&&

DENMAN

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 1:30 PM EDT, 8 hours 9 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
130 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-310900-
ADAIR KY-ALLEN KY-ANDERSON KY-BARREN KY-BOURBON KY-BOYLE KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-BULLITT KY-BUTLER KY-CASEY KY-CLARK KY-CLARK IN-
CLINTON KY-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND KY-DUBOIS IN-EDMONSON KY-
FAYETTE KY-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN KY-GARRARD KY-GRAYSON KY-GREEN KY-
HANCOCK KY-HARDIN KY-HARRISON KY-HARRISON IN-HART KY-HENRY KY-
JEFFERSON KY-JEFFERSON IN-JESSAMINE KY-LARUE KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-
MADISON KY-MARION KY-MEADE KY-MERCER KY-METCALF KY-MONROE KY-
NELSON KY-NICHOLAS KY-OHIO KY-OLDHAM KY-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-
RUSSELL KY-SCOTT KY-SCOTT IN-SHELBY KY-SIMPSON KY-SPENCER KY-
TAYLOR KY-TRIMBLE KY-WARREN KY-WASHINGTON KY-WASHINGTON IN-
WOODFORD KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISVILLE...LEXINGTON...BOWLING GREEN...
WINCHESTER...VERSAILLES...STANFORD...SHELBYVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...
RICHMOND...HARRODSBURG...HARDINSBURG...GLASGOW...FRANKLIN...
FRANKFORT...ELIZABETHTOWN...DANVILLE...CYNTHIANA...COLUMBIA...
BARDSTOWN...NEW ALBANY...JASPER AND CORYDON
130 PM EDT (1230 PM CDT) SUN MAY 30 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
OUTLOOK ARE IN A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT WHILE THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA IS IN A
SLIGHT RISK. THE DIVISION IS BASICALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 65.

A LATE SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPAWN A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH
WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.THE COMBINATION
OF STRONG WIND SHEAR...INSTABILITY AND LINEAR LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FRONT WILL TRIGGER A SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STORMS
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE STORMS MAY INHABIT THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE LINE ACROSS
SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE. LARGE HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH SUPERCELLS IS LIKELY AS WELL.

ALTHOUGH THE STORMS WILL BE FAST MOVING SOME MAY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME SO LOCAL FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DK

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 7:04 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
704 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GEORGETOWN              38.21N 84.55W
05/30/2004                   SCOTT              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS STREET IN THE CITY AND SOME HOMES FLOODED IN
            BRADFORD SUB DIVISION.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 30, 7:22 PM EDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
722 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RICHMOND                37.74N 84.29W
05/30/2004                   MADISON            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED IN THE CITY.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 30, 7:48 PM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
748 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUBOIS                  38.45N 86.80W
05/30/2004                   DUBOIS             IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            NUMEROUS TREES DAMAGED OR DOWN.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 30, 7:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
758 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     HAIL             WINCHESTER              38.00N 84.19W
05/30/2004  0.75 INCH        CLARK              KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTED IN THE CITY.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 30, 8:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
804 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 S LA GRANGE           38.34N 85.38W
05/30/2004                   OLDHAM             KY   PUBLIC

            REPORTED IN CENTERFIELD.

&&

SZAPPANOS

Local storm report, May 30, 8:24 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
824 PM EDT SUN MAY 30 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WINCHESTER              38.00N 84.19W
05/30/2004                   CLARK              KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            HWY 89 AND RUCKERSVILLE FLOODED.

&&

SZAPPANOS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 8:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Madison	33 min
May 30, 9:20 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	LMK	Bourbon	3 hr
May 30, 10:06 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Ohio	39 min
May 30, 10:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	39 min
May 30, 10:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hancock	55 min
May 30, 10:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Breckinridge	49 min
May 30, 10:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Butler	33 min
May 30, 10:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Meade	59 min
May 30, 10:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Grayson	48 min
May 30, 10:42 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Meade	48 min
May 30, 10:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Logan	46 min
May 30, 10:51 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Grayson	39 min
May 30, 10:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hardin	66 min
May 30, 10:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Edmonson, Warren	35 min
May 30, 11:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bullitt, Jefferson	50 min
May 30, 11:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Hart	46 min
May 30, 11:21 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Jefferson	39 min
May 30, 11:22 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Bullitt	38 min
May 30, 11:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Simpson	52 min
May 30, 11:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Oldham	49 min
May 30, 11:28 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Larue	32 min
May 30, 11:31 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Hardin, Hart, Larue	44 min
May 30, 11:33 PM EDT	Tornado Warning	LMK	Oldham, Trimble	42 min
May 30, 11:35 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Allen, Barren, Nelson	40 min
May 30, 11:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Shelby, Spencer	37 min
May 30, 11:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Henry	33 min
May 30, 11:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Green	44 min
May 30, 11:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Washington	42 min
May 30, 11:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Anderson	37 min
May 31, 12:00 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Marion, Taylor	45 min
May 31, 12:02 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Franklin	43 min
May 31, 12:08 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Metcalfe, Monroe	52 min
May 31, 12:13 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Mercer, Woodford	47 min
May 31, 12:14 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Adair	46 min
May 31, 12:19 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Boyle	41 min
May 31, 12:23 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Scott	37 min
May 31, 12:27 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Cumberland	48 min
May 31, 12:31 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Fayette, Jessamine	44 min
May 31, 12:38 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Harrison	37 min
May 31, 12:39 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Casey, Clinton, Lincoln, Russell	51 min
May 31, 12:43 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Garrard	47 min
May 31, 12:46 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Bourbon	44 min
May 31, 12:51 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Nicholas	39 min
May 31, 12:57 AM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LMK	Clark, Madison	48 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.