Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 150, NWS Jackson, KY

June 2, 2004Laurel County, Pulaski County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 2, 2004, 7:43 PM EDT for Laurel County, Pulaski County, Kentucky. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 2, 2004, 7:43 PM EDT (23:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 2, 2004, 8:45 PM EDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Laurel County, KY, Pulaski County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 238 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 261 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -107 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 900 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KJKL 022343
SVRJKL
KYC125-199-030045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
743 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY
HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN KENTUCKY.
  LAUREL COUNTY IN KENTUCKY.

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT.

* AT 743 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES EAST
  OF DYKES...OR 12 MILES EAST OF SOMERSET...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ROCKCASTLE SPRINGS AROUND 750 PM EDT.
  BUNCH AROUND 800 PM EDT.
  HIGHTOP AROUND 805 PM EDT.
  KEAVY AROUND 810 PM EDT.
  CARMICHAEL AROUND 815 PM EDT.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3700 8448 3716 8448 3719 8400 3708 8388
          3700 8396 3698 8413

$$

PELTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 2, 5:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 5:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
500 PM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

.DISCUSSION...

AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEVELOPING ONCE AGAIN OVR NW COUNTIES. ACTIVITY
WAS SLOW TO FIRE TODAY...BUT QUICK TO INTENSIFY AFTER INITIATION.
DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE BIGGEST THREAT FOR AFTERNOON...THIS IN THE
WAKE OF A COUPLE OF DAYS OF SEVERE STORMS IN SAME REGION. AN
ABUNDANCE OF INSTABILITY REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE FA W/SOUTHWEST
FLOW KEEPING THE STREAM OF MOISTURE OVR EASTERN KY. DEWPOINTS ONCE
AGAIN APPROACHING 60 OVER BLUE GRASS STATE...WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER
VALUES IN THE MID 50S NORTH OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. ETA BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW LIS OF M7 TO M8 AND CAPES OF 1500
TO 2000 J/KG FOR EARLY EVENING. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART ARE
UNIDIRECTIONAL...WITH LITTLE SHEAR SFC TO 6 KM. WET-BULB ZERO
HEIGHTS ARE AROUND 9000 FT ASL...NOT TOO HIGH FOR SEVERE HAIL
POTENTIAL. SRH VALUES OF 150 MEANS MARGINAL POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS. SUSPECT MOST CELLS THIS EVENING TO
BE OF PULSE VARIETY...WITH PRIMARY THREAT TO BE DOWNBURST WINDS.

BIGGEST CHALLENGE IS IN FIRST PERIOD WITH TIMING AND COVERAGE OF
SHOWER / THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTH...EXPECT MOST ACTIVITY TO BE CONFINED TO OUR NORTHERN ZONES.
CHANCE POPS CARRIED ALL ZONES...HOWEVER KEPT HIGHER VALUES IN THE
NORTH. ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE AS BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH LATER THIS
EVENING.

GFS AND ETA SHOW 5H TROF AXIS POSITIVELY TILTED ACROSS OH
VALLEY...EXPECTED TO BEGIN ROTATING THROUGH AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS
WILL BRING AN END TO THE PERSISTENT PATTERN OF LATE...WITH RIDGING
DOMINATING BY THURSDAY EVENING...BRINGING A DRIER PATTERN FOR THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK.

THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE DRY...HOWEVER FLOW BECOMES
MOSTLY ZONAL BY SUNDAY. JET STREAK PASSING TO NORTH IN FAST FLOW
WILL BRING THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE PICTURE
FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEW WEEK. BIGGEST THREATS...PER GFS LOOK TO BE
DURING PEAK HEATING ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

STAYED CLOSE TO MAV ON TEMPS THROUGH DAY TWO AND SLIGHTLY WARMER
THEN MEX FOR REMAINDER OF FORECAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSIONS...

1134 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

MORNING UPDATE...ONLY CHANGES MADE TO MORNING FORECAST WERE UPDATES
TO REMOVE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WORDING.

542 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

ATTM A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXITING SOUTH CENTRAL
KENTUCKY INTO TENNESSEE. FOR THE SHORT TERM...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT. LEANED TOWARDS THE ETA FOR TODAY...IT SEEMED TO HAVE A
BETTER HANDLE ON THE CONVECTION. AFTER A LULL...CONVECTION SHOULD
FIRE BACKUP...AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THE MAIN
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY IS DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WITH STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW AND LOW WBZ HEIGHTS.

UPPER TROF FINALLY PUSHES THE COLD FRONT OUT OF THE STATE EARLY
THURSDAY...ALLOWING PLEASANT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO RETURN TO THE
AREA...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES.

FOR TEMPERATURES...READINGS SHOULD STAY NEAR NORMAL FOR THE SHORT
TERM...WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH. MAV/MET NUMBERS ARE ALSO IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT...STAYED A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THROUGH THE NEAR
TERM.

EXTENDED...LOOKED IN GOOD SHAPE...DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES.

FORECAST ALREADY OUT.

1144 PM EDT TUE JUN 1 2004

TRAINING VORT LOBES IN THE OHIO VALLEY AS WELL AS A SFC TROUGH AND
APPROACHING COOL FRONT HAVE BEEN PROVIDING A GOOD FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION DURING THE EVENING HOURS. A GENERAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY
HAS BEEN THE CASE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AS CELLS HAVE WORN
THEMSELVES OUT COMING EAST INTO A LESS FAVORABLE AIRMASS. WILL
ADJUST ZONES FOR TEMPS AND ADD SOME PATCHY FOG...WHILE REMOVING
WATCH. WILL STILL MENTION SOME SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS IN THE
SOUTHWEST COUNTIES...AS ATMOSPHERE HAS NOT BEEN QUITE TAPPED THERE
YET. ZONES OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WARNING FOR ESTILL AND
POWELL UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING.

MCLANE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 7:38 AM EDT, 12 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
738 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-031100-
BATH KY-BELL KY-BREATHITT KY-CLAY KY-ELLIOTT KY-ESTILL KY-FLEMING KY-
FLOYD KY-HARLAN KY-JACKSON KY-JOHNSON KY-KNOTT KY-KNOX KY-LAUREL KY-
LEE KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MARTIN KY-MCCREARY KY-
MENIFEE KY-MONTGOMERY KY-MORGAN KY-OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-PIKE KY-
POWELL KY-PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-ROWAN KY-WAYNE KY-WHITLEY KY-
WOLFE KY-
738 AM EDT WED JUN 2 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN STORM REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

JM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:13 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
613 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             BURNSIDE                36.99N 84.60W
06/02/2004  1.00 INCH        PULASKI            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

WESTERGARD

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
618 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E LONDON              37.13N 84.06W
06/02/2004                   LAUREL             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY DISPATCH. TREE DOWN ACROSS TRAILER ON DELBERT
            HODGE ROAD BY NORTH LAUREL HIGH SCHOOL.

&&

WESTERGARD

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:24 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
624 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     HAIL             TATEVILLE               36.96N 84.58W
06/02/2004  1.75 INCH        PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

0537 PM     HAIL             BURNSIDE                36.99N 84.60W
06/02/2004  1.75 INCH        PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

0537 PM     HAIL             NANCY                   37.07N 84.75W
06/02/2004  1.75 INCH        PULASKI            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

&&

WESTERGARD

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
631 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             SOMERSET                37.08N 84.61W
06/02/2004  1.00 INCH        PULASKI            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WESTERGARD

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
638 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             WILTON                  36.89N 84.04W
06/02/2004  0.75 INCH        KNOX               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WESTERGARD

Local storm report, Jun 2, 6:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
641 PM EDT WED JUN 02 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             ROCKHOLDS               36.83N 84.12W
06/02/2004  1.00 INCH        WHITLEY            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. FROM 618 TO 625
            PM.

&&

WESTERGARD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 1, 10:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Rowan	41 min
Jun 2, 3:10 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Rowan	50 min
Jun 2, 4:07 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Montgomery	23 min
Jun 2, 4:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Bath, Menifee	51 min
Jun 2, 4:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Morgan	48 min
Jun 2, 4:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Pulaski	49 min
Jun 2, 5:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Laurel	51 min
Jun 2, 5:42 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Pulaski	33 min
Jun 2, 5:48 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	McCreary, Whitley	57 min
Jun 2, 6:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JKL	Knox	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.