Flash Flood Warning 34, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 140404
FFSJAN
MSC037-140625-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1101 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR...

FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI

THE SLOW MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF 
THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. RAINFALL RATES 
HAVE DECREASED TO LESS THAN ONE INCH PER HOUR...AND ARE CONTINUING 
TO DECREASE. THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY 
HAS BEEN CANCELED EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
845 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE SQUALL LINE
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES INDICATE LOCALLY VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...ESPECIALL IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN ZONES. THE SEVERE CONCERNS HAVE DIMINISHED GREATLY OVER
THE PAST TWO HOURS. THE MAIN CONCERN REMAINS FOR FLASH FLOODING AS
THE STRONGER STORMS MOVE OVER LOW LYING AREAS AND OVER AREAS WITH
POOR DRAINAGE LATER TONIGHT. THE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN AS IT PUSHES EAST. THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL WAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS MCS WILL MOVE INTO TENNESSEE BY MIDNIGHT...TAKING THE BEST
ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS WITH IT. AS IT MOVES OFF TO THE NNE...EXPECT
THE WEAKENING LINE TO FURTHER SLOW ITS EASTWARD PROGRESS.

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALONG AND WEST OF A GREENWOOD TO BUDE LINE
     UNTIL 4 PM.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NE LA UNTIL 4 AM.
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH SE AR UNTIL 4 AM.

&&

18/HENRY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
339 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
142039-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
339 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING EASTWARD THIS
EVENING INTO WEST AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.  THE STRONGEST
ACTIVITY WILL BE WEST OF A LINE FROM GRENADA TO VICKSBURG TO
NATCHEZ. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN OTHER AREAS
WEST OF I-55.

THIS  EVENING  INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SCATTERED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS LOUISIANA
INTERACTING WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.	THESES
STORMS	MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. WIND GUSTS TO 55
MPH AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...FLOODING...
THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS EVENING  WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS THAT COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES
OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...EXPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM
GRENADA TO VICKSBURG TO NATCHEZ.  THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD TOMORROW TO ALL AREAS WEST OF I-55.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
A FEW STRONG  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY	WILL EXTEND FROM TENNESSEE
SOUTHWEST INTO LOUISIANA. EXPECT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO
CONTINUE OUT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTOUR
TO BE VERY UNSTABLE THROUGH  SATURDAY EVENING.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
0745 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-140200-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-EAST CARROLL-FRANKLIN-MADISON-MOREHOUSE-RICHLAND-
TENSAS-WEST CARROLL-
0745 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2004

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 202 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES:

IN LOUISIANA...
CATAHOULA       CONCORDIA       EAST CARROLL    FRANKLIN
MADISON         MOREHOUSE       RICHLAND        TENSAS
WEST CARROLL