Alert archive / Hawaii / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Honolulu, HI

January 25, 2004

NWS Honolulu, HI issued this flash flood warning at Jan 25, 2004, 7:03 PM HST. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2004, 7:03 PM HST (05:03 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2004, 10:00 PM HST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Honolulu, HI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lihue, (PHLI), launched 00:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lihue, at 00:00Z on 2004-01-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1703 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lihue, at 00:00Z on 2004-01-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -26 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1703 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGHW50 PHFO 260515
FFWHI 
HIZ002-260800-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
703 PM HST SUN JAN 25 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WINDWARD AND CENTRAL OAHU

* UNTIL 1000 PM HST

* AT 654 PM HST...RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER WINDWARD 
  OAHU AND OVER THE KOOLAUS NEAR PEARL CITY AND WAHIAWA.  THE HEAVY 
  RAIN AREA WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WAHIAWA...MILILANI...WAIMALU... 
  HALAWA...AIEA...FORT SHAFTER...HAUULA...HONOLULU... 
  WAIKANE...KAAAWA...KAHALUU...KAHUKU...KANEOHE AND KAILUA.

THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR OAHU.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS...UNDERPASSES AND LOW LYING AREAS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR FLOODING AND SHOULD NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER. MANY FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR
WHEN MOTORISTS TRY CROSSING FLOODED ROADWAYS.

ESCAPE RISING WATER BY CLIMBING DIRECTLY TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER TRY
TO OUTRACE A FLOOD...EITHER ON FOOT OR IN YOUR VEHICLE. DO NOT CAMP
NEAR STREAMS OR OTHER AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA SOURCES FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
POLICE FOR IMMEDIATE RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2128 15783 2130 15766 2172 15798 2155 15814
          2140 15804
$$
KODAMA AND CRAIG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jan 25, 5:00 PM HST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 5:00 PM HST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU
500 PM HST SUN JAN 25 2004

.SYNOPSIS...
HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL
REACH KAUAI TONIGHT...ADDING MORE HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE MIX. TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL RETURN NO EARLIER THAN WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WEST OF THE MAIN ISLANDS...MOISTURE MOVING WESTWARD
IN RESURGENT TRADES...AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WEST OF KAUAI
ARE COMBINING TO PRODUCE A PROLIFIC RAINMAKING AND SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ARE VERY UNSTABLE...THANKS TO THE
UPPER TROUGH...WITH MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALOFT.

SATELLITE LOOPS CORROBORATE THE INSTABILITY NOTED IN THE SOUNDING
DATA...WITH SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SLOWLY
WORKING THEIR WAY WESTWARD ACROSS LOCAL WATERS WITHIN SLUGGISH LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND ALONG A PREVIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER
THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST OF THE STATE. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTHWEST HAS A SECOND AREA OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WHICH WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. ANOTHER SURFACE FEATURE IS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WHICH
EXTENDS WEST ALONG ABOUT 28N...INDUCING A STEEP ENOUGH PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO PRODUCE THE WEAK TRADES WHICH ARE BRINGING MOISTURE BACK
INTO OUR WEATHER PICTURE.

IT IS THIS COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND INCREASING MOISTURE THAT
WILL CONTINUE TO TRIGGER HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MAIN ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. NUMEROUS FLASH FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT...FOR THE BIG ISLAND...MAUI AND EAST MOLOKAI
AT THIS HOUR.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND
BEGIN TO FILL. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN AT THE SAME
TIME...INDUCING DRIER MODERATE TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.SURF...
SURF HEIGHTS HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY HEIGHTS THIS AFTERNOON...SO
THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS CANCELLED AT 4 PM HST.

&&

.HNL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH......ALL HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
HIGH SURF ADVISORY.....CANCELLED AT 4 PM HST

&&

POWELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Honolulu, HI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 3:12 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFOKauai3 hr
Jan 25, 3:34 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFOKauai3 hr
Jan 25, 4:25 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFO3 hr
Jan 25, 6:30 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFOKauai3 hr
Jan 25, 9:30 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFOKauai3 hr
Jan 25, 9:55 PM HSTFlash Flood WarningHFO3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Hawaii, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.