Flash Flood Warning 56, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 020826
FFSGSP
NCC027-021015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
426 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 615 AM EDT FOR CALDWELL 
COUNTY...

AT 425 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WERE MOVING NORTH AND 
OUT OF NORTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY. RAINFALL FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL CONTINUE TO RUNOFF FOR SOME TIME...CAUSING STREAMS AND CREEKS 
TO RISE.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE 
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS 
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3584 8139 3597 8134 3611 8165 3594 8176

$$
07

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 020932
FFSGSP
NCC027-021015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
531 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 615 AM EDT FOR CALDWELL 
COUNTY...

AT 525 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF 
OF CALDWELL COUNTY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS LOCATIONS 
FROM PATTERSON...WEST TO UPTON AND NORTH TO BLOWING ROCK. MORE RAIN 
IS APPROACHING THE COUNTY FROM THE SOUTH.

AT 505 AM...COUNTY OFFICIALS REPORTED YADKIN RIVER ROAD WAS COVERED 
WITH WATER ASSOCIATED WITH RUNOFF FROM HAPPY VALLEY SCHOOL. NO OTHER 
REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED THUS FAR. 

SINCE PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN FALLING OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTY FOR 
SEVERAL HOURS NOW...SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO REACH CREEKS 
AND STREAMS. THIS WILL RESULT IN QUICK RISES...POSSIBLY FLOODING 
ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THOSE WATERWAYS. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE 
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS 
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3584 8139 3597 8134 3611 8165 3594 8176

$$

LAMB

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 021011
FFSGSP
NCC027-021015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
611 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2004

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 615 AM EDT...

HEAVY RAINFALL HAS MOVED OUT OF MOST OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3584 8139 3597 8134 3611 8165 3594 8176

$$

07

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED WATCH TYPE IN CODING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2004

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY...WHILE AT SURFACE
AN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW COMPONENT PERSISTS. MOISTURE BEING
ADVECTED UP BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT...WHILE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN N GA
MOVES N INOT UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY TOWARD HIGHER TERRAIN. WILL
EXPAND FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO COVER ENTIRE ESCARPMENT AND MOST OF
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY...AND RUN THROUGH AFTERNOON TO COVER
RUNOFF. CATEGORICAL POPS IN W TODAY TAPERING TO LOW CHANCE E WHERE
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FROM NE TOWARD MID DAY. ETA SLOWER THAN GFS
TO DRY OUT...AND HAVE COMPROMISED WITH A SLIGHTLY WETTER AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVNEING TO SLIGHT CHACNE E. BY LATE EVENING DRY/STABLE AIR
MOVE SE ACROSS AREA...LINGERING UNTIL SAT WHEN GRADIENT BETWEEN
HURRICANE FRANCES AND SURFACE RIDGE TO NE TIGHTENS...DRIVING
MOISTURE E FROM PIEDMONT TO MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS
RATHER LOW AS COOL/DRY AIR MOVES SW ACROSS AREA. DEW POINTS BEGIN TO
RECOVER SAT.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
EASTERLY FLOW AT LOW LEVELS...BETWEEN SURFACE RIDGE MOVING OFF NEW
ENGLAND COAST AND THE APPROACHING HURRICANE FRANCES...WILL PUMP
ATLANTIC MOISTURE UP THE EAST SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AT ANY TIME IN THE
PERIOD FROM MECHANICAL FORCING. TEMPS ARE CLOSE TO NEW GUIDANCE SO
EXPECT ONLY MINOR CHANGES.

FRANCES REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN. MOST RECENT HPC MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE IS SLOWER AND FARTHER WEST...BUT AGAIN...THERE REMAINS MUCH
UNCERTAINTY. PLEASE REFER TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FOR OFFICIAL TRACK INFORMATION. THE MEDIUM RANGE
GRIDS WILL REFLECT THE PASSAGE OF THE REMNANTS OF FRANCES ACROSS THE
WESTERN TIP OF NC TUESDAY EVENING AND NERN TN TUESDAY NITE. A MORE
WESTERN TRACK WOULD BRING MORE OF A SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN
THREAT. WITH THAT IN MIND...HAVE STARTED TO RAMP UP POP HIGHER IN
THE CHANCE RANGE STARTING LATE MONDAY...AND HAVE EXTENDED POP THRU
DAY 6. HAVE RAISED MIN TEMPS A CATEGORY SUNDAY NIGHT AND LOWERED A
CATEGORY FOR MAX TEMPS MONDAY OWING TO MORE CLOUDS/PRECIP EXPECTED.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...EXPECT CHANGES.

&&

.AVIATION...
LATEST ROUND OF COLD AIR DAMMING WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING
UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS...PIEDMONT AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS.
SOME DRYING WL BEGIN TO ENTER THE NC ZONES TOWARD MORNING. AS A
RESULT...THE MAV MOS HAS CIGS LOWERING TO LESS THAN 1000 FEET ACROSS
THE UPSTATE AND THE NC MTNS...WHILE IT ONLY HAS VFR CIGS FARTHER
INTO THE WEDGE AT KHKY AND KCLT. HAVE FOLLOWED THIS SOLUTION FAIRLY
CLOSELY...THOUGH I DIDN/T TAKE CIGS DOWN QUITE AS QUICKLY ACROSS THE
UPSTATE...THOUGH AS I TYPE IT LOOKS LIKE THE IFR CIGS ARE INDEED
SETTING UP EARLY ACROSS THE UPSTATE. ALSO HAVE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
LOWER CIGS AT CLT AROUND SUNRISE. FOR NOW HAVE TEMPO SHRA AT KGSP
AND KAND...THEN ONLY VCSH INTO THE EARLY AFTN AS EASTERLY UPSLOPE WL
KEEP SHRA/TSRA GOING. WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE NE...DO
NOT HAVE ANY CONVECTIVE WORDING AT KCLT TDA.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES GAZ010-017-018-026-028 TODAY.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES
     NCZ033-034-049-050-053>055-059-062>067 TODAY.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES SCZ001>006-010 TODAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...BPM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
521 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2004

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-020920-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
521 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
26...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN INTERSTATE 26 AND INTERSTATE
40. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE PIEDMONT
FRIDAY...SPREADING WEST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
HURRICANE FRANCES WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA COAST BY THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...