Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 27, 2004, 1:00 AM EDT for Haywood County, North Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2004, 1:00 AM EDT (05:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 27, 2004, 6:45 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Haywood County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 280 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 617 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 951 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 4 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS52 KGSP 270501
FFWGSP
NCC087-271045-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
HAYWOOD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
* UNTIL 645 AM EDT
* AT 1248 AM EDT...A TRAINED SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS
REPORTED MOST OF THE CREEKS IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN HAYWOOD COUNTY
WERE AT OR ABOVE BANKFULL. THIS INCLUDES PLOTT... HYATT...
RICHLAND...AND ALLEN CREEKS. SEVERAL ROAD BRIDGES ACROSS THESE
CREEKS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM. IN ADDITION...FLOODING HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN THE VICINITY OF PRIDE RESORT ALONG JONATHAN CREEK.
EVACUATIONS ARE CURRENTLY TAKING PLACE.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LAKE
JUNALUSKA...MAGGIE VALLEY AND CANTON.
THIS AREA ALREADY EXPERIENCED FLOODING SUNDAY NIGHT. WITH SOILS
STILL SATURATED FROM THE PREVIOUS RAINFALL...MOST OF THE RAIN THIS
EVENING WILL RUN OFF INTO CREEKS AND STREAMS. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SAME AREAS THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL FLOODING
PROBLEMS EXPECTED.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL TRIGGER ROCK AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
HIGHER TERRAIN.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. EVEN MODERN SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES CANNOT BE
SAFELY DRIVEN THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.
TO REPORT FLOODING... HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG.
LAT...LON 3569 8321 3550 8315 3534 8295 3554 8278
3577 8298
$$
LAMB/NED4 follow-up statements
000
WGUS72 KGSP 270559
FFSGSP
NCC087-271045-
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
2 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 AM EDT FOR HAYWOOD
COUNTY...
AT 150 AM EDT...LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS STILL OCCURRING OVER MUCH
OF HAYWOOD COUNTY. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS
FINALLY MOVED EAST OF THE AREA. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST 220 AM...BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF THEREAFTER.
EMERGENCY OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT MOST CREEKS IN THE NORTHERN PART
OF THE COUNTY ARE STILL OUT OF THEIR BANKS. ALSO...NUMEROUS ADJACENT
ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER. SOME FLOODING OF NEARBY
RESIDENCES IS LIKELY WITH THESE HIGH WATER CONDITIONS.
ROCK AND MUD SLIDES ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE STEEPER TERRAIN.
SEVERAL MUD SLIDES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED. IF YOU RESIDE ON A
STEEP SLOPE...BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR ROCK OR MUD SLIDES. THEY CAN
BE POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WITH LITTLE OR
NO WARNING.
IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
LAT...LON 3569 8321 3550 8315 3534 8295 3554 8278
3577 8298
$$
LAMB000
WGUS72 KGSP 270659
FFSGSP
NCC087-271045-
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 AM EDT FOR HAYWOOD
COUNTY...
AT 254 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT
FLOODING WAS CONTINUING IN HAYWOOD COUNTY...EVEN THROUGH RAINFALL
HAD DECREASED. RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE...KEEPING
STREAM AND CREEK LEVELS HIGH.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
LAT...LON 3569 8321 3550 8315 3534 8295 3554 8278
3577 8298
$$
07000
WGUS72 KGSP 270827
FFSGSP
NCC087-271045-
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
427 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 645 AM EDT FOR HAYWOOD
COUNTY...
AT 420 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS HAD NO NEW REPORTS
OF FLOODING. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL HAD DIMINISHED...RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE
TO KEEP WATER LEVEL HIGH IN STREAMS AND CREEKS.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
LAT...LON 3569 8321 3550 8315 3534 8295 3554 8278
3577 8298
$$
07000
WGUS72 KGSP 270931
FFSGSP
NCC087-271045-
FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR HAYWOOD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
AT 528 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT HAD NO REPORTS OF CONTINUED
FLOODING IN HAYWOOD COUNTY. RAINFALL DIMINISHED SEVERAL HOURS AGO...
AND WATER LEVELS IN STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE.
LAT...LON 3569 8321 3550 8315 3534 8295 3554 8278
3577 8298
$$
07What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 26, 9:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 9:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
950 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004
.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF JET/UPPER TROF APPROACHING AREA
BRINGING UVV AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE DECREASING
CONVECTION IN THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL UPDATE MAINLY TO CLEAN UP
WORDING.
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 209 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
SURFACE FRONT ACROSS CWA CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AHEAD OF MAJOR
IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.
FAIRLY GOOD UPSLOPE AHEAD OF FRONT INCREASING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
OVER THE AREA. AS FRONT APPROACHES POPS CONTINUE TO RISE. PRECIP
WATER NEARING TWO INCHES COMBINED WITH LOW WINDS COULD PRODUCE
FLOODING IN HIGHER TERRAIN...SO WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE MTNS.
LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
LATEST GFS ENSEMBLE SLOWS AND WEAKENS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES
INTO EASTERN PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS. SO BACK SIDE OF CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARY IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED AS IT WAS ON PREVIOUS RUNS. MODELS
CONSISTENTLY KEEP PRECIP IN EASTERN PARTS OF CWA AND GFS KEEPS ENTIRE
AREA WET THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SINCE THE ODDS OF THE FRONT MOVING
SOUTH OF US KEEP GETTING LOWER...I PUT LOW POP PRECIP IN THE PIEDMONT
AND FOOTHILLS FOR WEDNESDAY. CHANCE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION...
CONVECTION WILL BE ON THE INCREASE EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD AS WEAK
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE CONTINUES INTO THE REGION...AND GIVEN AN ASSIST
FOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION BY A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE
REGION. MOST TAF SITES GET A TEMPO GROUP FOR LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING...ALTHOUGH CONVECTION COULD VERY WELL LINGER INTO THE
PREDAWN AT CLT. DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS...PERIODS OF IFR CEILINGS
AND/OR VISIBILITIES WERE ADVERTISED AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT CLT.
IN THE PREDAWN HOURS...ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WAS ADVERTISED IN
TEMPO GROUPS FOR AVL...AND...GSP AND GMU IN CONTINUED WEAK UPGLIDE
REGIME AND WITH OUR FORECAST AREA DIRECTLY IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF UPPER JET...ENHANCING UPPER DIVERGENCE. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING AS THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
BEGINS...WITH CONVECTION DEGRADED TO TEMPOS LATE IN THE MORNING
AHEAD OF A DEEPENING EASTERN TROF AND APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT THAT
SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AT ALL TAF SITES IN THE 18Z
TO 24Z TIME FRAME TUESDAY.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065 THROUGH
TUESDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM (UPDATE)...RBHazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 5:41 AM EDT, 19 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 541 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014- 019-270940- ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC- CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC- CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC- GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC- HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC- MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC- RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA- SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC- 541 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A LITTLE LESS COVERAGE FARTHER TO THE EAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A GREENWOOD TO CHARLOTTE LINE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING TO THE ENTIRE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. 14
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 26, 11:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1143 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1120 PM FLASH FLOOD WALNUT 35.85N 82.74W
07/26/2004 MADISON NC EMERGENCY MNGR
WALNUT CREEK IS OVER BANKFULL WITH WATER COVERING
PORTIONS OF WALNUT CREEK ROAD. MUD SLIDE AFFECTING U.S.
ROUTE 25/70 NEAR BRUSH CREEK. LEVELS OF SEVERAL AREA
CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE RISING.
&&
NEDThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 10:52 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Madison | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.