Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004
Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jul 26, 2004, 10:52 PM EDT for Madison County, North Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 26, 2004, 10:52 PM EDT (02:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 27, 2004, 4:30 AM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Madison County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 256 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 432 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1142 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS52 KGSP 270252 FFWGSP NCC115-270830- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1052 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... MADISON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 430 AM EDT * AT 1050 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WESTERN HALF OF MADISON COUNTY. THIS BAND WILL SLOWLY PUSH EAST AND WILL ALLOW PERSISTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TO AFFECT THE COUNTY. AT 1050 PM EDT...RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES THAT BETWEEN HALF TO INCH AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH HAS ALREADY FALLEN FROM SPRING CREEK TO WALNUT TO RICHLAND MOUNTAIN. AS RAINFALL AND RUNOFF CONTINUES LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL STEADILY RISE...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE LITTLE LAUREL AND BIG CREEK AREAS. IN ADDITION...THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL LIKELY TRIGGER MUD AND ROCK SLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN. BY MIDNIGHT...A LARGE PORTION OF THE COUNTY IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE AN ADDITIONAL INCH TO INCH AND A HALF OF RAIN. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY SPREAD THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT FURTHER EAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. DRIVING IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AT NIGHT WILL MAKE IT HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DEPTH OF THE WATER COVERING THE ROAD...TURN AROUND IF YOU ENCOUNTER ANY WATER. WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP OR ROCKY...REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ROCK OR MUD SLIDES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN. LAT...LON 3590 8291 3575 8272 3592 8249 3608 8266 $$ NED
4 follow-up statements
000 WGUS72 KGSP 270426 FFSGSP NCC115-270830- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1226 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 430 AM EDT FOR MADISON COUNTY... THE MADISON COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT LEVELS OF SEVERAL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE RISING WITH SOME AREAS FLOODING. PERSONS NEAR SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD FREQUENTLY MONITOR LEVELS FOR RAPID INCREASES. AT 1225 AM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATED THAT AREAS BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF LUCK AND WALNUT HAVE RECEIVED TWO AND A HALF TO THREE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE 1030 PM. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WHITEROCK...WALNUT...FAUST AND ALLENSTAND. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF A QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH AN HOUR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 130 AM EDT. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO NEW FLOODING OF SMALL STREAM AND CREEKS. IN ADDITION...RAPID RUNOFF WILL TRIGGER MUD AND ROCK SLIDES ON STEEP TERRAIN...POSSIBLY DAMAGING BUILDINGS AND AFFECTING ROADS. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DRIVING AT NIGHT DURING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL MAKE IT HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DEPTH OF THE WATER COVERING THE ROAD...TURN AROUND IF YOU ENCOUNTER ANY WATER. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG. LAT...LON 3590 8291 3575 8272 3592 8249 3608 8266 $$ NED
000 WGUS72 KGSP 270543 FFSGSP NCC115-270830- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 142 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 430 AM EDT FOR MADISON COUNTY... THE MADISON COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED THAT LEVELS OF SEVERAL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY NEAR WALNUT AND MARSHALL. PERSONS NEAR SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD FREQUENTLY MONITOR LEVELS FOR RAPID INCREASES. AT 140 AM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR ESTIMATED THAT MOST OF MADISON COUNTY HAS RECEIVED OVER AN INCH OF RAIN WITH AREAS BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF LUCK AND WALNUT SEEING THREE TO FOUR INCHES SINCE 1030 PM. OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WHITEROCK...WALNUT...FAUST AND ALLENSTAND. PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH AN HOUR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 3 AM EDT. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PROLONG THE PERIOD OF FLOODING WATER AND MAY RESULT IN NEW FLOODING. IN ADDITION...ADDITIONAL RUNOFF MAY TRIGGER MUD OR ROCK SLIDES ON STEEP TERRAIN. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DRIVING AT NIGHT DURING RAIN AND FOG WILL MAKE IT HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DEPTH OF THE WATER COVERING THE ROAD...TURN AROUND IF YOU ENCOUNTER ANY WATER. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. LAT...LON 3590 8291 3570 8272 3583 8245 3608 8266 $$ NED
000 WGUS72 KGSP 270656 FFSGSP NCC115-270830- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 256 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 430 AM EDT FOR MADISON COUNTY... AT 256 AM EDT...RAINFALL WAS DIMINISHING OVER MADISON COUNTY. RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE...CAUSING WATER LEVELS IN STREAMS AND CREEKS TO REMAIN HIGH. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. LAT...LON 3590 8291 3570 8272 3583 8245 3608 8266 $$ 07
000 WGUS72 KGSP 270825 FFSGSP NCC115-270830- FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 425 AM EDT TUE JUL 27 2004 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR MADISON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 430 AM EDT... RAINFALL HAD DIMINISHED AND WATER LEVELS WERE RECEDING IN MADISON COUNTY. LAT...LON 3590 8291 3570 8272 3583 8245 3608 8266 $$ 07
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 26, 9:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 9:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
950 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004
.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF JET/UPPER TROF APPROACHING AREA
BRINGING UVV AND IS EXPECTED TO KEEP SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS GOING OVERNIGHT. FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE DECREASING
CONVECTION IN THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL UPDATE MAINLY TO CLEAN UP
WORDING.
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 209 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
SURFACE FRONT ACROSS CWA CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AHEAD OF MAJOR
IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK.
FAIRLY GOOD UPSLOPE AHEAD OF FRONT INCREASING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
OVER THE AREA. AS FRONT APPROACHES POPS CONTINUE TO RISE. PRECIP
WATER NEARING TWO INCHES COMBINED WITH LOW WINDS COULD PRODUCE
FLOODING IN HIGHER TERRAIN...SO WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE MTNS.
LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
LATEST GFS ENSEMBLE SLOWS AND WEAKENS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES
INTO EASTERN PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS. SO BACK SIDE OF CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARY IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED AS IT WAS ON PREVIOUS RUNS. MODELS
CONSISTENTLY KEEP PRECIP IN EASTERN PARTS OF CWA AND GFS KEEPS ENTIRE
AREA WET THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SINCE THE ODDS OF THE FRONT MOVING
SOUTH OF US KEEP GETTING LOWER...I PUT LOW POP PRECIP IN THE PIEDMONT
AND FOOTHILLS FOR WEDNESDAY. CHANCE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION...
CONVECTION WILL BE ON THE INCREASE EARLY IN THE TAF PERIOD AS WEAK
ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE CONTINUES INTO THE REGION...AND GIVEN AN ASSIST
FOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION BY A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRAVERSING THE
REGION. MOST TAF SITES GET A TEMPO GROUP FOR LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING...ALTHOUGH CONVECTION COULD VERY WELL LINGER INTO THE
PREDAWN AT CLT. DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS...PERIODS OF IFR CEILINGS
AND/OR VISIBILITIES WERE ADVERTISED AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT CLT.
IN THE PREDAWN HOURS...ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WAS ADVERTISED IN
TEMPO GROUPS FOR AVL...AND...GSP AND GMU IN CONTINUED WEAK UPGLIDE
REGIME AND WITH OUR FORECAST AREA DIRECTLY IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF UPPER JET...ENHANCING UPPER DIVERGENCE. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING AS THE OUTLOOK PERIOD
BEGINS...WITH CONVECTION DEGRADED TO TEMPOS LATE IN THE MORNING
AHEAD OF A DEEPENING EASTERN TROF AND APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT THAT
SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AT ALL TAF SITES IN THE 18Z
TO 24Z TIME FRAME TUESDAY.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR ZONES NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065 THROUGH
TUESDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM (UPDATE)...RBHazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 5:41 AM EDT, 17 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 541 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014- 019-270940- ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC- CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC- CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC- GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC- HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC- MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC- RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA- SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC- 541 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A LITTLE LESS COVERAGE FARTHER TO THE EAST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...AND A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION AGAIN ON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN...A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A GREENWOOD TO CHARLOTTE LINE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING TO THE ENTIRE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. 14
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 1:00 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Haywood | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.