Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Goodland, KS

May 29, 2004Rawlins County, Thomas County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 2004, 5:45 PM CDT for Rawlins County, Thomas County, Kansas. It was in force for 60 min. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 29, 2004, 5:45 PM CDT (22:45 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2004, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Rawlins County, KS, Thomas County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 29, 6:14 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Brewster, KS
May 29, 6:15 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Mcdonald, KS	NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND LARGE LIMBS BROKEN
May 29, 6:20 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 65	5 Nw Levant, KS
May 29, 6:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 68	Colby, KS	ZERO VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DIRT
May 29, 6:30 PM CDT	NON-TSTM WND GST 60	2 Sw Atwood, KS	LARGE LIMBS DOWN
May 29, 6:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	7 Nw Atwood, KS	ROOFS HEAVILY DAMAGED, CARS DESCRIBED AS DESTROYED, 1 FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN
May 29, 6:47 PM CDT	NON-TSTM WND GST 67	Colby, KS
May 29, 6:47 PM CDT	NON-TSTM WND DMG	5 E Colby, KS	METAL ROOFS RIPPED FROM BUILDINGS AND SEVERAL POWER POLES WERE BROKEN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 29 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 29, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 192 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -656 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1769 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 342 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 362 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

070 
WUUS53 KGLD 292245
SVRGLD
KSC153-193-292345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS
  THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 543 PM CDT(443 PM MDT)...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
  INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH. 
  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES WEST
  OF MCDONALD TO 11 MILES WEST OF BREWSTER TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BREWSTER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF ST.
  FRANCIS TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF GOODLAND TO 14 MILES SOUTH OF
  GOODLAND...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BREWSTER AROUND 610 PM CDT...
  MCDONALD AROUND 620 PM CDT...
  LEVANT AND BEARDSLEY AROUND 635 PM CDT...
  BLAKEMAN...COLBY...6 MILES WEST OF ATWOOD AND 8 MILES WEST OF GEM
  AROUND 645 PM CDT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH OR MORE AND
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. IF YOU ARE
OUTSIDE...MOVE TO SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA SOURCE FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

LAT...LON 4000 10141 3957 10141 3913 10141 3914 10074
          3957 10074 4000 10077

THEDE

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 5:00 PM CDT, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 5:00 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
400 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

.DISCUSSION...CHALLENGES ARE SEVERE WEATHER AND WIND POSSIBILITIES
TONIGHT AND TEMPEATURES THROUGH TUE.

BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT LIES ORIENTED NE TO SW FROM NEAR MCCOOK NEB TO
NEAR TRIBUNE KS. IT CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE EAST. FROM
THERE TO THE EAST DEWPOINTS FROM THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER
50S...COMBINED WITH A WEAKENING CAP...90+ HEAT AND 3000+ JOULES OF
ENERGY ARE BEGINNING TO RESULT IN CUMULUS FIELDS AS SEEN ON VISIBLE
SAT. EXPECT SCT TSRAS TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY IN THE AREA...WITH THE
STRONGEST AND LONGEST (LIKELY) IN THE FAR EAST WHERE CAPE IS
GREATEST AND A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

THE SCENARIO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IS COMPLICATED BY AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE NOW MOVING THROUGH CO AND KICKING OFF AN AREA
OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN CO NOW BEGINNING TO APPROACH/MOVE
INTO MY CWA FROM THE WEST. AM CURRENTLY ISSUING A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR THE REMAINDER OF MY CWA. BEHIND THIS FAST
MOVING TROUGH MODELS INDICATE A TRAILING STRONG SUBSIDENCE FIELD
WHICH LOOKS AS IF IT WILL PUSH THE GENERAL NW WIND FIELD INTO THE
ADVISORY AREA FOR A FEW HOURS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SEVERAL
HOURS BEHIND THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ALL IN ALL A VERY ACTIVE
NIGHT WITH THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINNING TO STABILIZE SOME BEFORE DAWN.

PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END BEFORE DAWN WITH SKIES CLEARING
FROM THE NIGHT FROM THE WEST. FROM THERE THE AREA COMES UNDER THE
AFFECT OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND NW UPPER FLOW THROUGH MID WEEK.
NO PRECIPITATION WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL INTO
WED.

THEN...AS NOTED FOR THE LAST TWO DAYS...TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM
AND A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES BEGIN TO RETURN THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. HOWEVER A DRYING TREND LOOKS
TO OCCUR BY THE WEEKEND.

THANKS PARTICULARLY TO LBF AND DDC FOR COLLABORATION.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR NORTON AND
GRAHAM COUNTIES. A SVR THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
MDT (10 PM CDT) FOR THE REMAINDER OF NW KS. FINALLY A WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT MDT FOR ENTIRE AREA.
NE...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT (10 PM
CDT). A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1AM CDT/MIDNIGHT MDT.
CO...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT. A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT.

&&

RJC

Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 11:36 AM CDT, 6 hours 9 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1036 AM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200-
CHEYENNE KS-CHEYENNE COUNTY CO-DECATUR KS-DUNDY NE-GOVE KS-GRAHAM KS-
GREELEY KS-HITCHCOCK NE-KIT CARSON COUNTY CO-LOGAN KS-NORTON KS-
RAWLINS KS-RED WILLOW NE-SHERIDAN KS-SHERMAN KS-THOMAS KS-WALLACE KS-
WICHITA KS-YUMA COUNTY CO-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING EAST OF
HIGHWAY 83 FROM MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO GRAINFIELD KANSAS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL EAST
OF A LINE FROM YUMA COLORADO TO KIT CARSON COLORADO. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. THIS AREA EXTENDS EAST INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS
AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TO HIGHWAY 83.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD
FRONT AND DRYLINE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE TRI STATE AREA. A STRONG
UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES WILL INTERACT WITH A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING TORNADOES ESPECIALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY
83 IN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA.

EVERYONE SHOULD WEATHER TAKE THIS WEATHER THREAT SERIOUSLY AND PLAN
AHEAD FOR STORM SAFETY SHELTERS AND OTHER PRECAUTIONS. STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL RADIO AND TV FOR UPDATES TO THIS DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER
SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TRI STATE
REGION EACH EVENING FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MAIN THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FS

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 29, 4:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
319 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HAIL             15 N SEIBERT            39.52N 102.87W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        KIT CARSON         CO   PUBLIC

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 29, 4:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
343 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             SEIBERT                 39.30N 102.87W
05/29/2004  0.75 INCH        KIT CARSON         CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 29, 4:51 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
351 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     HAIL             5 N BURLINGTON          39.38N 102.27W
05/29/2004  1.00 INCH        KIT CARSON         CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 29, 5:24 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
424 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 N RULETON             39.44N 101.88W
05/29/2004  60 MPH           SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 29, 5:27 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
427 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0427 PM     TSTM WND GST     RULETON                 39.34N 101.88W
05/29/2004  63 MPH           SHERMAN            KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ZERO VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DUST

&&

JOHNSON

Local storm report, May 29, 5:42 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
442 PM MDT SAT MAY 29 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     TSTM WND GST     14 NW ST. FRANCIS       39.91N 101.99W
05/29/2004  70 MPH           CHEYENNE           KS   PUBLIC

&&

JOHNSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 29, 4:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman	67 min
May 29, 5:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne	54 min
May 29, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Sherman	32 min
May 29, 6:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Sheridan	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.