Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Goodland, KS

March 27, 2004Graham County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 27, 2004, 12:05 PM CST for Graham County, Kansas. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 27, 2004, 12:05 PM CST (18:05 UTC)
Expired: Mar 27, 2004, 12:45 PM CST
In force: 40 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Graham County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 27, 12:05 PM CST	HAIL 0.88	14 S Hill City, KS	GROUND COMPLETELY WHITE WITH HAIL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 27, 11:35 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1373 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 249 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.2
Supercell composite: 6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

687 
WUUS53 KGLD 271805
SVRGLD
KSC065-271845-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1205 PM CST SAT MAR 27 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS

* UNTIL 1245 PM CST

* AT NOON CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER
  EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL GRAHAM COUNTY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF
  WAKEENEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY AT 1220 PM CST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH OR MORE AND
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. FREQUENT DEADLY
LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. IF YOU ARE
OUTSIDE...MOVE TO SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3913 10000 3913 9974 3926 9962 3936 9988

LAMMERS

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 27, 10:50 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 10:50 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
950 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

.UPDATE...FORECAST UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR ADDITION OF
WIND ADVISORY WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 BASED ON RECENT OBS WITH GUSTS
RANGING FROM 42 TO 44 KNOTS. ALSO ADDED A MENTION OF SNOW MAINLY
WEST OF HIGHWAY 59 AS TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 30S IN
FLAGLER WITH +SN IN LIC.

MWM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
225 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

THE 07Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A LOW OVER
NORTHEAST COLORADO/NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. THE FRONT WAS THROUGH KCDR
AND KBFF BUT STILL NORTH OF KAKO. DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 50S
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LIGHTNING DETECTION PLOT SHOWING LINE OF
STORMS OVER THE WESTERN DAKOTAS SCATTERED STRIKES OVER SOUTHERN
KANSAS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING MAIN TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
ROCKIES AND A SOUTHERN STREAM MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO
OKLAHOMA. THE REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWING SHOWERS AND STORMS EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

MAIN CONCERNS ARE IN THE FIRST PERIOD DEALING WITH POPS AND POSSIBLE
WIND ADVISORY. THE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE
POSITION AND MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE
AREA BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z AND SHOULD BE THROUGH MOST OF THE AREA BY
18Z. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE OVER THE SOUTH AND
EASTERN ZONES WHERE WILL GO WITH HIGH SCATTERED POPS. DUE TO THE
LACK OF INSTABILITY WILL GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE FAR NORTHWEST
ZONE AND 30 POPS BETWEEN ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA/NORTHWEST
KANSAS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE DRAMATICALLY THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT.  NEXT CONCERN IS HOW STRONG WILL THE
NORTHWEST WIND BE BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY. THE ETA 850MB WIND
INDICATES A MAX AROUND 18Z OF 30KTS WHILE THE GFS ONLY SHOWS 25KTS.
THE RUC SUSTAINED WIND INDICATES SPEEDS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. PREFER TO SEE AN 850MB WIND MAX AROUND 35KTS AND A
TIGHTER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT.  EXPECT WIND IN THE WINDY
CATEGORY BUT SHOULD NOT EXCEED WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

TONIGHT THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA AS A RIDGE MOVES
INTO THE WEST COAST. NORTHWEST FLOW/SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE ON
SUNDAY. THE RIDGE MOVES INTO THE ROCKIES ON MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
CONTINUING. AT THE SURFACE...THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE
AREA TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. 850MB TEMPERATURES
COOL CONSIDERABLY BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AND STAY RELATIVELY COOL
THROUGH MONDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH LOWS IN
THE 30S. DRY FORECAST LOOKS GOOD FOR EXTENDED FORECAST AS UPPER
RIDGE MOVES OVER THE PLAINS. NO CHANGES MADE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WIND ADVISORY WEST OF HIGHWAY 83.
NE...WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.
CO...WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

&&

FS/MWM

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 10:30 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
930 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-281200-
CHEYENNE KS-CHEYENNE COUNTY CO-DECATUR KS-DUNDY NE-GOVE KS-GRAHAM KS-
GREELEY KS-HITCHCOCK NE-KIT CARSON COUNTY CO-LOGAN KS-NORTON KS-
RAWLINS KS-RED WILLOW NE-SHERIDAN KS-SHERMAN KS-THOMAS KS-WALLACE KS-
WICHITA KS-YUMA COUNTY CO-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM TRENTON TO COLBY TO RUSSELL
SPRINGS. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA TODAY PRODUCING NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
TRI-STATE AREA. IN ADDITION...A FEW WET SNOW FLAKES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 59.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

FS/MWM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 27, 9:45 AM CST, 2 hours 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
845 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     HAIL             OBERLIN                 39.82N 100.53W
03/27/2004  0.75 INCH        DECATUR            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LAJ

Local storm report, Mar 27, 10:08 AM CST, 1 hour 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
908 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     HAIL             5 E DANBURY             40.04N 100.31W
03/27/2004  0.75 INCH        RED WILLOW         NE   PUBLIC

&&

LAJ

Local storm report, Mar 27, 11:23 AM CST, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1023 AM MST SAT MAR 27 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 AM     HAIL             MORLAND                 39.35N 100.07W
03/27/2004  0.75 INCH        GRAHAM             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LAJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 27, 11:16 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.