Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
645 PM CDT FRI JUN 4 2004

.DISCUSSION...BEST FORCING AND WEAKEST CAPPING HAVE FAVORED
CONVECTIVE INITIATION WELL TO THE WEST OF CWA THIS EARLY EVENING.
UPPER WAVE HELPING TO PRODUCE CONVECTION IS SHOWN TO SLIDE ACROSS
AREA OVERNIGHT WITH CHANCE OF PRECIP FOLLOWING AS WELL.
HOWEVER...PRECIP CHANCE FOR THIS EVENING LOOKS VERY SMALL AND HAVE
REMOVED MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS IN FORECAST AND GRIDS.  NO OTHER
CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...A SHORT WAVE MOVES
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ONE ON SATURDAY. A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS THE CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

CONVECTION STARTING IN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE TO
THE EAST ALONG WITH THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. BEST CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. HAVE INCREASED THE POPS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
EASTERN FORECAST AREA.

WITH THE ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION...TEMPERATURES WILL BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER SATURDAY THAN TODAY.

LONG TERM...12Z SUNDAY ON. SATURDAY WAVE SLIDES BY AND LEAVES THE
CWFA IN A DRY PATTERN AND MUCH WARMER WEATHER PATTERN THE REST OF
THE WEEK AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. FEW CHANGES AS A DRY
FORECAST WAS SUSTAINED. ABOUT THE ONLY SHOT FOR RAIN IS LATE
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...IF MODEL TRENDS DON/T SLOW DOWN...WHEN A FRONT
IS PROGGED TO SLIP THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS FAR OUT DRY IS
PRUDENT GIVEN TIME OF YEAR...AND NO SENSE GIVING FALSE HOPE FOR
RAIN. NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL SHED LIGHT ON THE FORECAST SITUATION.
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S AND 90S ALL WEEK...WITH PLENTY OF
BREEZE AS WELL.
&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

EFFECTIVE JUNE 8 2004 THIS PRODUCT WILL HAVE THE ID CHANGED FROM
OMAAFDGRI...TO OMAAFDGID. FOR MORE INFORMATION CHECK OUT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS/USE LOWER CASE LETTERS:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUBLIC/WMOHEADERS/CRPHASE1.HTM

AWJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1155 AM CDT FRI JUN 4 2004

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-051200-
ADAMS-BUFFALO-CLAY-DAWSON-FILLMORE-FRANKLIN-FURNAS-GOSPER-GREELEY-
HALL-HAMILTON-HARLAN-HOWARD-JEWELL-KEARNEY-MERRICK-MITCHELL-NANCE-
NUCKOLLS-OSBORNE-PHELPS-PHILLIPS-POLK-ROOKS-SHERMAN-SMITH-THAYER-
VALLEY-WEBSTER-YORK-
1155 AM CDT FRI JUN 4 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION MAINLY
AFTER 9 PM. INITIALLY...THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE NORTHWEST OF A PHILLIPSBURG TO FULLERTON LINE. ISOLATED WIND
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THIS WEAKENING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST SATURDAY
MORNING AND PASS THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. AN ISOLATED STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP
TO PENNY SIZE BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

T/MORITZ