Severe Thunderstorm Warning 277, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A WEEK OF NORTHWEST FLOW EVENTS...WE ARE NOW ENTERING A PERIOD
WHERE A WEAK SHEAR ZONE/TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NORTH
TEXAS. THE END RESULT WILL BE SEVERAL DAYS OF UNSETTLED
WEATHER...MAINLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION.

BY WEEKS END...THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL SET UP OVER THE WESTERN
U.S. WHICH WILL LIKELY INITIATE AFTERNOON DRY LINE ACTIVITY.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THE WESTERN PORTIONS WILL BE AFFECTED SO WE
HAVE OPTED TO NOT MENTION IT AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX   71  90  72  87 /  30  20   0  20
WACO, TX               72  91  72  87 /  30  20  20  30
PARIS, TX              70  89  70  85 /  50  30  20  30
DENTON, TX             70  90  70  88 /  50  20   0  20
MCKINNEY, TX           70  90  70  88 /  50  20   0  20
DALLAS, TX             72  90  72  88 /  30  20   0  20
TERRELL, TX            71  90  71  87 /  30  30  20  30
CORSICANA, TX          71  90  72  87 /  30  30  20  30
TEMPLE, TX             71  93  72  88 /  30  30  20  30
&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
&&

42

EFFECTIVE TUESDAY JUNE 8 2004...THE AWIPS PRODUCT IDENTIFIER FOR THIS
PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM AFDFTW TO AFDFWD.  THE WMO HEADER WILL
REMAIN UNCHANGED.  PLEASE ENSURE THAT ANY NEEDED CHANGES ARE
COMPLETED BY JUNE 8 2004.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
400 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-071100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
400 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM THE STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN. WHILE ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR STRONGER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED MONDAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS OVER NORTH TEXAS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS A BIT. THESE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ISOLATED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35.

EFFECTIVE TUESDAY JUNE 8 2004...THE AWIPS PRODUCT IDENTIFIER FOR
THIS PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM HWOFTW TO HWOFWD.  THE WMO HEADER WILL
REMAIN UNCHANGED.  PLEASE ENSURE THAT ANY NEEDED CHANGES ARE
COMPLETED BY JUNE 8 2004.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
400 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST   ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL            5 NE MCKINNEY            33.25N  96.59W
06/05/2004  1.75 INCH       COLLIN              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0810 PM     HAIL            GARLAND                  32.91N  96.63W
06/05/2004  1.00 INCH       DALLAS              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OFFICER REPORTED DIME TO GOLBALL SIZE HAIL AROUND 640 PM
            IN THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CITY OF GARLAND.

0850 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD    10 SE KAUFMAN            32.48N  96.19W
06/05/2004                  KAUFMAN             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RACES REPRESENTATIVE REPORTED BRIEF FUNNEL CLOUD
            SOUTHEAST OF KAUFMAN.

0930 PM     TSTM WND DMG    5 S GUN BARREL CITY      32.25N  96.14W
06/05/2004                  HENDERSON           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFFS OFFICE STATED NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR CEDAR
            CREEK RESEVOIR BETWEEN GUN BARREL CITY AND PAYNE SPRINGS.

823 PM      TSTM WND GST    EUSTACE                  32.31N  96.01W
06/05/2004                  HENDERSON           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN EUSTACE AROUND 800 PM CDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
424 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

TXZ091>094-101>105-062230-
COLLIN-COOKE-DENTON-FANNIN-GRAYSON-HUNT-JACK-MONTAGUE-WISE-
430 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER UPDATE...

AT 424 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A
CLUSTER STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF JUSTIN...OR 13 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BRIAR...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS
WERE FROM PERRIN TO JACKSBORO...BETWEEN PILOT POINT AND CELINA...AND
FROM GAINESVILLE AND MUENSTER...TO BOWIE AND NOCONA IN MONTAGUE
COUNTY.

ALL AREAS NORTH OF A MINERAL WELLS...GRAPEVINE...PLANO...GREENVILLE
LINE COULD BE AFFECTED BY THESE SEPARATE CLUSTERS OF STORMS OR NEW
DEVELOPMENT IN AND NEAR ONGOING STORMS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...LOCALIZED...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH...HAIL TO MARBLE-SIZED...AND WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. B

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
447 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST   ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     HAIL            PONDER                   33.18N  97.29W
06/06/2004  1.75 INCH       DENTON              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER