Flash Flood Warning 195, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 281657 CCA
FFSSAT
TXC019-031-091-123-177-209-285-325-385-463-465-281930-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1150 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR VAL
VERDE...REAL...BANDERA...UVALDE...MEDINA...BLANCO...HAYES 
AND COMAL COUNTIES...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT FOR
GONZALES...LAVACA...FAYETTE AND DEWITT COUNTIES...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR ALL OF 
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... 

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY WERE GENERALLY IN THE ONE
HALF INCH TO ONE INCH RANGE...WITH SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING UP TO 4
INCHES OF RAINFALL.  

WITH SOILS SATURATED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.  IN
ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT...PERSONS IN LOW LYING AREAS OR IN
LOCATIONS ALONG CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING FROM RAPID RISES CAUSED BY FLOOD WATERS QUICKLY RUNNING OFF.

ALL MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING AND BE
ESPECIALLY ALERT AT OR NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS...NEAR CREEKS AND
RIVERS OR IN LOW LYING AREAS.  IF YOU APPROACH A LOCATION AND WATER
COVERS THE ROAD WAY REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST AND BE PREPARED TO RESPOND QUICKLY IF A WARNING IS ISSUED
FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1020 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

.DISCUSSION...HEAVY RAIN AND THREAT FOR FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE ALONG
AND NORTH OF U.S. 90 FROM DEL RIO TO SAN ANTONIO...AND ALONG AND WEST
OF I-35 FROM SAN ANTONIO TO GEORGETOWN. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE BIG BEND...AS WELL AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROPAGATING EAST FROM THE CONCHO VALLEY INTO THE
WESTERN HILL COUNTRY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A BOUNDARY ALONG
U.S. 90...THEN EXTENDING NORTHEAST ALONG I-35 FROM SAN ANTONIO. THIS
BOUNDARY IS HELPING FOCUS AND LIFT MOIST GULF AIR. THUS LOCATIONS TO
THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY COINCIDE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO PRODUCE THE CONVECTION CURRENTLY SEEN ON
AREA 88DS...AND EXPECTED TRANSITION EASTWARD INTO THE HILL COUNTRY
AND AUSTIN METRO AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OVERALL...WILL MAKE MINOR CHANGES TO ALL FORECAST ELEMENTS FOR
CURRENT TRENDS. HOWEVER...THE BASIC FORECAST OF FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MIGHT CONSIDER TRIMMING SOME AREAS FROM
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THIS EVENING DEPENDING ON TRENDS THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              88  72  89  73 /  70  40  40  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  87  71  89  72 /  70  40  40  30
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           89  74  93  74 / 100  40  40  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       87  73  90  73 /  70  40  40  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH 4 AM TUESDAY.

&&

26/19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
544 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-291100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
544 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE.
THE COMBINATION OF THIS UNSTABLE AIRMASS...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS FROM THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO
TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
UP TO 5 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...WITH A DECREASE IN CHANCES BEGINNING THURSDAY. ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1033 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0804 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CARTA VALLEY            29.80N 100.68W
06/28/2004                   EDWARDS            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HIGHWAY 2523 FROM CARTA VALLEY SOUTH CLOSED.

&&

VL/DC