Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 141, NWS Quad Cities, IA
NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 29, 2004, 9:28 PM CDT for Jones County, Iowa. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 29, 2004, 9:28 PM CDT (02:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 29, 2004, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 32 min
- Issued by
- NWS Quad Cities, IA
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Jones County, IA
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 6:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1017 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1067 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 206 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 250 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 5.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS53 KDVN 300228 SVRDVN IAC105-300300- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 926 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... JONES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA * UNTIL 1000 PM CDT * AT 922 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR OLIN...OR ABOUT 11 MILES NORTH OF TIPTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS STORM HAS HAD A HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... OLIN BY 930 PM CDT ONSLOW...WYOMING AND CENTER JUNCTION BY 935 PM CDT THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE IMMEDIATELY INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS. LAT...LON 4194 9127 4195 9103 4224 9091 4228 9120 $$ MCCLURE
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 29, 3:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 3:30 PM CDT, 5 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 330 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004 .SYNOPSIS... STRONG STORM SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY BRINGING AN ABRUPT END TO THE MILD WEATHER. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. && .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)... STRONG COLD FRONT TO SWEEP THROUGH THE CWFA TONIGHT WITH AN EXPECTED SQUALL LINE. GIVEN WINDS ALOFT...SQUALL LINE SHOULD MOVE AT A GOOD CLIP AND CLEAR CWFA AROUND 08Z AS DRY PUNCH MOVES INTO THE AREA. EXPECT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH TO BE ISSUED THIS EVENING WITH MAIN THREAT BEING HIGH WINDS AND HAIL. EARLIER IN HOUSE CALCULATIONS GAVE A HAIL POTENTIAL UP TO 2 INCHES AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO 65 MPH. TEMPS TO REALLY PLUMMET AFTER THE SQUALL LINE GOES THROUGH AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. ...08... .LONGER TERM... (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)... STRENGTH OF THE WIND SATURDAY WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN. SURFACE LOW TRACKS NE OUT OF THE NWRN GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND SURFACE LOW ACROSS MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MAKE FOR A VERY WINDY DAY. LOCAL TECHNIQUE RELATING STRENGTH OF MAX SURFACE GUSTS TO LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND H8 WINDS SUGGEST THAT GUSTS WILL BE AROUND 40 MPH DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE SUGGESTING EXTENSIVE WRAP AROUND CLOUD COVER...WHICH COULD INHIBIT THE DEPTH OF THE MIXING. NO ADVISORIES ARE PLANNED FOR NOW...BUT MID SHIFT WILL HAVE RE-EVALUATE. WILL CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS SATURDAY FOR NORTHERN COUNTIES FOR -RA IN THE WRAP AROUND CLOUDS. MAX TEMPS SATURDAY SHOULD BE ATTAINED EARLY IN THE DAY WITH TEMPS FALLING SOME DURING THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IN THE NW. SYSTEM PULL AWAY FROM CWA SATURDAY NIGHT WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND CLEARING EXPECTED. SUNDAY SHOULD BE NICEST DAY OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CWA. NEXT SYSTEM HEADS FOR REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ETA/GFS SUGGESTING INVERTED TROF WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS INDICATED ON PREVIOUS RUNS. HOWEVER THE ECMWF/UKMET IS STILL SHOWING A RATHER SHARP TROF MOVING THROUGH MONDAY...SO CHANCE POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ...DLF... (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING)... LOOKS TO BE DRY THROUGH MOST OF PERIOD...AND HAVE LEFT FCST TO REFLECT THAT. POSSIBILITY OF SOME PCPN IN SOUTH WED AS UPPER LOW MOVES UP OHIO VALLEY AND AGAIN IN MOST OF CWA THU PM AND FRI AM AS SFC LOW MOVES NE OUT AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH. ONLY MADE MINOR CHANGES TO GOING FCST. ..14.. && DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IA...NONE. IL...NONE. MO...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 12:00 PM CDT, 9 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1200 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004 IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007- 009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-301100- BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO- CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL- HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA- JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA- MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL- SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL- WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL- 1200 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST...EAST CENTRAL...AND SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL...AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA FROM THIS EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP EARLY IN THE EVENING WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE LARGE HAIL AND TORNADIC THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED TO AREAS WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING. THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AND WILL PROVIDE THE FUEL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL IOWA BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND REACH THE HIGHWAY 218 AND INTERSTATE 380 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 6 PM AND 9 PM. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REACH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AROUND MIDNIGHT PM AND THE FREEPORT AND PRINCETON ILLINOIS AREA JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY MID MORNING...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE WIND WILL DECREASE BACK TO 10 TO 20 MPH AROUND SUNSET. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SHEETS/DLF/BRP
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 29, 8:44 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
844 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0843 PM TSTM WND GST GARRISON 42.14N 92.14W
10/29/2004 50 MPH BENTON IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ESTIMATED 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS GUST.
&&
MIKEZLocal storm report, Oct 29, 8:54 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
854 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0843 PM HAIL 2 N AINSWORTH 41.32N 91.55W
10/29/2004 0.25 INCH WASHINGTON IA PUBLIC
&&
MIKEZLocal storm report, Oct 29, 8:56 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
856 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 PM TSTM WND GST VINTON 42.16N 92.03W
10/29/2004 40 MPH BENTON IA EMERGENCY MNGR
ESTIMATED 40 MPH.
&&
MIKEZLocal storm report, Oct 29, 8:59 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
859 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
&&
MIKEZLocal storm report, Oct 29, 9:00 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
900 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0843 PM TSTM WND GST GARRISON 42.14N 92.14W
10/29/2004 50 MPH BENTON IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ESTIMATED 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS GUST.
&&
MIKEZLocal storm report, Oct 29, 9:28 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
928 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0928 PM TSTM WND GST IOWA CITY 41.66N 91.54W
10/29/2004 0 MPH JOHNSON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN ALONG AMERICAN LEGION ROAD. POWER LINES DOWN 1
MILE SOUTH OF IOWA CITY ALONG 250TH STREET AND SANDS
ROAD.
&&
MIKEZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa | 55 min |
| Oct 29, 8:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, Washington | 57 min |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Johnson | 45 min |
| Oct 29, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar | 33 min |
| Oct 29, 9:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Henry, Louisa | 45 min |
| Oct 29, 9:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clinton | 44 min |
| Oct 29, 9:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Muscatine | 34 min |
| Oct 29, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Scott | 53 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.