Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
945 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2004

.DISCUSSION...VIGOROUS VORT MAX IN NRN MEXICO ALONG WITH IMPRESSIVE
UPR LVL DIFLUENCE AND MID LVL COOLING IS REALLY HELPING TO FIRE OFF
CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTH TX RIGHT NOW.  IDEAL WBZ VALUES AROUND 8000
FT WL MEAN HAIL WL BE THE GREATEST THREAT.  WL MENTION SEVERE ACROSS
THE ERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA FOR THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY
AFTN.  EXPECT THE WESTERLY WIND SHIFT WHICH HAS ALREADY MOVED
THROUGH COTULLA AND LAREDO WL TEND TO END PCPN DURING THE AFTN.
MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WINDS AND LOWERED TEMPS A BIT GIVEN THE
CLOUD CVR AND PCPN.  NO SCA UNTIL TNT WHEN THE GRADIENT REALLY
INCREASES.

&&

.CRP...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

MB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2004

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-251200-
ARANSAS-BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-BEE-CALHOUN-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
DUVAL-GOLIAD-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-LASALLE-LIVE OAK-MCMULLEN-NUECES-
REFUGIO-SAN PATRICIO-VICTORIA-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-WEBB-
600 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH TEXAS TODAY AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTH TEXAS.  SOME OF
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE SEVERE THIS
MORNING NORTH OF LAREDO TO PORT LAVACA LINE.  THE MAIN THREAT WILL
BE LARGE HAIL WITH LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE.  THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF SOUTH TEXAS FROM WEST TO
EAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT PROVIDING BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
WITH WINDS APPROACHING GALE FORCE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY APPROACH FREEZING THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS FROM COTULLA TO TILDEN AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

TR/MJG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
936 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2004

TXZ239-240-241630-
DUVAL-WEBB-
936 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2004

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SMALL HAIL 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS FOR
DUVAL AND WEBB COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 AM CST...

AT 936 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WEBB DUVAL COUNTY LINE MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

PERSONS IN THE COMMUNITIES OF FREER AND BENAVIDES ARE IN THE PATH OF
THESE STORMS.

JM