Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
300 PM CST SAT APR 3 2004

.SHORT TERM...A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF AIR WILL CONTINUE IN THE UPPER
LEVELS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS CAUSING MINOR IMPULSES TO MOVE ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY AND TUESDAY CAUSING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR DUE TO SOME CLOUD COVER.  WINDS WILL BE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.LONG TERM...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TOWARD
THE END OF NEXT WEEK DECREASING THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL DOMINATE THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR DUE MOSTLY TO SUNNY SKIES DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST FOR THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.MARINE...AT 1PM BUOY020 REPORTED NORTHEAST WINDS AT 8KTS AND SEAS 3
FEET. EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH INTERACTS WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. A COUPLE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES CROSSING THE COASTAL WATERS HAVE BRIEFLY SPARKED A COUPLE
SHOWERS EARLIER TODAY. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND SUNSET. A
GREATER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPS LATER SUNDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO SOUTH TEXAS AND BETTER UPPER LEVEL
DYNAMICS ROTATE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY GET STRONG SO MARINERS SHOULD KEEP APPRISED OF THE LATEST
UPDATES TOMORROW.
&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BEING SPARKED ALONG OLD
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL DRIFT NEAR LOCAL AIRPORTS MAINLY DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS. THESE SHOWERS WILL HAVE BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND
VARIABLE WINDS GUSTS. LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING. MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR
TOMORROW.
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 69 78 68 78 69/ 00 10 00 20 10
BROWNSVILLE         68 80 67 80 68/ 00 20 00 30 20
HARLINGEN           65 82 64 82 65/ 00 20 00 30 20
MCALLEN             65 84 65 84 65/ 10 30 00 40 30
RIO GRANDE CITY     63 84 62 84 63/ 10 30 00 40 30
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND  70 77 69 77 70/ 00 10 00 20 10
&&

SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...65
MARINE/AVIATION...64
MESO..............MARTINEZ

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET WEB PAGE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
600 AM CST SAT APR 3 2004

TXZ248>257-041100-
BROOKS-COASTAL CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-HIDALGO-INLAND CAMERON-
INLAND WILLACY-JIM HOGG-KENEDY-STARR-ZAPATA-
600 AM CST SAT APR 3 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE
CHANCES WILL BE GREATEST IN THE WEST FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.