Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

July 9, 2004Lincoln County, Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 9, 2004, 7:59 PM MDT for Lincoln County, Colorado. It was in force for 61 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 9, 2004, 7:59 PM MDT (01:59 UTC)
Expired: Jul 9, 2004, 9:00 PM MDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Lincoln County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 9, 8:40 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	3 S Punkin Center, CO
Jul 9, 8:40 PM MDT	HAIL 1.75	3 S Punkin Center, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 41 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 3138 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KBOU 100159
SVRBOU
COC073-100300-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
757 PM MDT FRI JUL 9 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO

* UNTIL 900 PM MDT

* AT 757 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTH OF KARVAL...OR ABOUT 30 MILES
  SOUTH OF LIMON...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...BOYERO...
FORDER...KARVAL...PUNKIN CENTER AND WILD HORSE POINT.

THIS WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WARNING FOR CENTRAL LINCOLN 
COUNTY.

HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU 
ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE AND MOVE TO 
A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS THEY
MAY BE WASHED OUT. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO
RISE...THEREFORE SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3898 10319 3901 10364 3889 10373 3888 10405
      3856 10405 3854 10375 3854 10319

$$
RTG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 9, 3:06 PM MDT, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 3:06 PM MDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
306 PM MDT FRI JUL 9 2004

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOW A MUCH IMPROVED
ENVIRONMENT FOR CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON COMPARED TO THE LAST
TWO.  FIFTIES AND LOW 60S DEW POINTS ABOUND ACROSS THE PLAINS.
DECENT SOUTHEASTERLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN THE UPSTREAM ASSURES
THIS FETCH OF MOISTURE TO CONTINUE.  CURRENT WATER VAPOR PICTURES
ARE SHOWING A SIGNIFICANT PLUG OF MOISTURE MOVING NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES.  CURRENT RADARS
ARE SHOWING SOME CONVECTION STARTING IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE FRONT
RANGE...BUT LITTLE ON THE PLAINS YET.  THE LATEST ACARS SOUNDINGS
WITH DENVERS CURRENT OBSERVED TEMPERATE AND DEW POINT VALUES SHOW
CAPES IN THE 2000-3000 JOULES/KG RANGE.  CROSS SECTIONS SHOW VERY
GOOD POTENTIAL INSTABILITY THROUGH THE EVENING TONIGHT.  LAPSE
FIELDS ARE STILL SHOWING A BIT OF CIN OUT ON THE PLAINS.  WITH
NEARLY CLOUD FREE SKIES OUT THERE STILL AND SOME OUTFLOWS MOVING
ABOUT FROM THE FOOTHILLS CONVECTIONS IT WILL ONLY BE A MATTER OF
TIME UNTIL IT GOES ON THE PLAINS.  WILL UP POPS A BIT THIS
EVENING...BUT WILL REFRAIN FROM LIKELY COVERAGE AT THIS TIME.

ON SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO MOVES
EASTWARD A BIT AND FLATTEN DOWN TO THE SOUTHEAST...WITH A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH EMBEDDED.   THE FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AT
ABOUT 50 KNOTS IN THE JET LEVEL.  CROSS SECTIONS SHOW PRETTY DECENT
MOISTURE THROUGH MUCH OF THE ATMOSPHERE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.  THERE
IS A BIT OF SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT PROGGED THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
..THEN SUBSIDENCE IS PROGGED OVER US BY LATE IN THE DAY.  GRIDS SHOW
THE THETA-E AXIS OVER THE PLAINS MOST OF THE DAY...THEN PARTIALLY
FLUSH IT EASTWARD BY 00Z LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  THE BEST CAPE IS
OVER THE EAST AND LASTS LONGER INTO THE AFTERNOON.  THE POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY ON THE CROSS SECTIONS IS LESS THEN THIS EVENINGS AND
THERE IS MORE A MID LEVEL CAP AROUND ON SATURDAY.  WILL LEAVE THE
20% POPS GOING.  FOR TEMPERATURES...GRIDS SHOW SATURDAYS HIGHS
ABOUT 0.5 TO 1.5 C COOLER THEN TODAYS.

.LONG TERM DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH CHANGES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS SMACK OVER COLORADO.  ENOUGH LOW AND SOME MID LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAIN IN PLACE FOR A FEW AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS. FOR
SATURDAY EVENING...A WEAK WAVE SHOULD BE PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE
PLAINS SO BOOSTED POPS INTO THE SCATTERED CATEGORY OUT THERE.  THE
TIMING OF THIS WAVE IS A BIT TOUGH WITH SUCH WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SO
LATER SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO ADJUST POPS FURTHER TO ACCOUNT FOR SPEED.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARMING ABOVE 90F AGAIN SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY AS MID LEVEL TEMPS WARM AND ATMOSPHERE DRIES A BIT
BEHIND UPPER WAVE.

BY WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE ENOUGH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO PUSH A
FRONT THROUGH EASTERN COLORADO.  WILL INCREASE POPS SLIGHTLY FOR
THOSE PERIODS AND KEEP COOLER TEMPS ALREADY IN FORECAST.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

KOOPMEINERS/BARJENBRUCH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 10:59 AM MDT, 9 hours before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1059 AM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

COZ030>051-101200-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1059 AM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLENTY OF MOISTURE...BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE...ALONG WITH
AMPLE HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS BY 1
PM...THEN OUT ON THE PLAINS BY 3 PM.

THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY
WINDS.  FURTHER REFINEMENTS REGARDING THE THREAT OF ANY SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE ADDRESSED IN FUTURE UPDATES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AFTER 1 PM.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 9, 2:47 PM MDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
247 PM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             2 S TINY TOWN           39.57N 105.22W
07/09/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JK

Local storm report, Jul 9, 4:04 PM MDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
404 PM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             2 S TINY TOWN           39.57N 105.22W
07/09/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0352 PM     TSTM WND GST     BENNETT                 39.76N 104.42W
07/09/2004  66 MPH           ADAMS              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JK

Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:07 PM MDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
707 PM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             2 S TINY TOWN           39.57N 105.22W
07/09/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0352 PM     TSTM WND GST     BENNETT                 39.76N 104.42W
07/09/2004  66 MPH           ADAMS              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM     HAIL             6 W HUGO                39.13N 103.58W
07/09/2004  0.88 INCH        LINCOLN            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JK

Local storm report, Jul 9, 7:39 PM MDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
739 PM MDT FRI JUL 09 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             2 S TINY TOWN           39.57N 105.22W
07/09/2004  0.75 INCH        JEFFERSON          CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0352 PM     TSTM WND GST     BENNETT                 39.76N 104.42W
07/09/2004  66 MPH           ADAMS              CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM     HAIL             6 W HUGO                39.13N 103.58W
07/09/2004  0.88 INCH        LINCOLN            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 PM     HAIL             13 WNW BOYERO           39.00N 103.49W
07/09/2004  1.75 INCH        LINCOLN            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 9, 6:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Lincoln	52 min
Jul 9, 7:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Lincoln	63 min
Jul 9, 9:04 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Lincoln	56 min
Jul 9, 9:34 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Lincoln	41 min
Jul 9, 10:07 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	BOU	Lincoln	38 min
Jul 9, 10:22 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	BOU	Lincoln	3 hr
Jul 9, 10:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Phillips, Sedgwick	57 min
Jul 9, 10:56 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Lincoln	64 min
Jul 10, 5:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOU	Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.