Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Bismarck, ND
NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2004, 8:03 PM MDT for Golden Valley County, Slope County, North Dakota. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2004, 8:03 PM MDT (02:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2004, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 57 min
- Issued by
- NWS Bismarck, ND
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Golden Valley County, ND, Slope County, ND
The radar
The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 238 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 6:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2240 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1838 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS53 KBIS 120203
SVRBIS
NDC033-087-120300-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
802 PM MDT SUN JUL 11 2004
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
WESTERN SLOPE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA
* UNTIL 900 PM MDT
* AT 802 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13 MILES WEST OF TROTTERS TO 30
MILES SOUTH OF GOLVA...OR FROM 65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILLISTON TO
36 MILES WEST OF BOWMAN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
GOLVA...BEACH AROUND 820 PM MDT
TROTTERS AROUND 835 PM MDT
SENTINEL BUTTE AROUND 845 PM MDT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
LAT...LON 4734 10429 4629 10430 4629 10356 4662 10362
4700 10361 4698 10369 4733 10367
$$
TWHWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 1:00 PM MDT, 7 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 1:00 PM MDT, 7 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 200 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004 .SHORT TERM... PROBLEMS AGAIN TODAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...TIMING AND LOCATIONS. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MOST FIELDS WITH DIFFERENCES IN AXIS OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION PROGGD BY ALL MODELS. GFS SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER SOUTH WITH THIS AXIS WHILE ETA HAS MOVED HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NORTH OF CANADIAN BORDER...FARTHER NORTH THAN 00Z AND 06Z SOLUTIONS. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FROM EASTERN ALTA TO NORTHERN WY ON MSAS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH GFS SOLUTION. GFS QPF AFFECTED WITH CONVECTION FEEDBACK BUT WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW GFS LOCATION AND HAVE ADDED A FEW MORE SOUTH CENTRAL COUNTIES TO ONGOING FLOOD WATCH. SURFACE TROUGH THROUGH STATE TONIGHT WITH LINGERING CONVECTION...POSSIBLY SEVERE...CONTINUING INTO EARLY AM ON MONDAY. HAVE DELETED SLIGHT CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS AND CWA REMAINS IN DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW SURFACE AND ALOFT ON EAST SIDE OF RIDGE AXIS. .LONG TERM... THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...H500 NORTHWEST FLOW BEGINS TO TURN MORE ZONAL...EVEN A BIT SOUTHWEST BEGINNING ON SATURDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BEGINS TO DIG...FLATTENING THE RIDGE. 00Z GFS GENERATES A SERIES OF SURFACE LOWS TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ECMWF NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT...AND SO I JUST LEFT POPS AS IS UNTIL THE NEXT RUN. GRIDS STILL IN GOOD COORDINATION AND MADE FEW CHANGES. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING UNTIL 14Z CENTRAL. && HW/SHULZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 3:28 AM MDT, 16 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 428 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004 NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-120927- ADAMS ND-BILLINGS ND-BOTTINEAU ND-BOWMAN ND-BURKE ND-BURLEIGH ND- DICKEY ND-DIVIDE ND-DUNN ND-EMMONS ND-FOSTER ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND- GRANT ND-HETTINGER ND-KIDDER ND-LA MOURE ND-LOGAN ND-MCHENRY ND- MCINTOSH ND-MCKENZIE ND-MCLEAN ND-MERCER ND-MORTON ND-MOUNTRAIL ND- OLIVER ND-PIERCE ND-RENVILLE ND-ROLETTE ND-SHERIDAN ND-SIOUX ND- SLOPE ND-STARK ND-STUTSMAN ND-WARD ND-WELLS ND-WILLIAMS ND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BISMARCK...BOTTINEAU...BOWMAN...CROSBY... DICKINSON...JAMESTOWN...MINOT AND WILLISTON 428 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND SPREAD EAST IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. RGT
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 11, 3:53 PM MDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
453 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 PM HAIL 2 N STEELE 46.88N 99.92W
07/10/2004 1.00 INCH KIDDER ND TRAINED SPOTTER
7 MINUTE DURATION. ENDED AT 737 PM CDT.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 8:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Billings | 61 min |
| Jul 11, 9:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Dunn | 63 min |
| Jul 11, 9:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke | 67 min |
| Jul 11, 9:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Hettinger | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 10:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Divide | 62 min |
| Jul 11, 10:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean, Mercer | 63 min |
| Jul 11, 10:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Ward | 62 min |
| Jul 11, 11:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McLean | 34 min |
| Jul 11, 11:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bottineau, Renville | 55 min |
| Jul 11, 11:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McHenry | 54 min |
| Jul 11, 11:40 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Bottineau | 50 min |
| Jul 12, 12:05 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burleigh | 55 min |
| Jul 12, 12:06 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Pierce | 54 min |
| Jul 12, 12:39 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Rolette | 51 min |
| Jul 12, 1:53 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Stutsman | 52 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.