Alert archive / Alaska / Flash Flood Warnings in 2004

Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

July 4, 2004

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this flash flood warning at Jul 4, 2004, 9:40 PM AKDT. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2004, 9:40 PM AKDT (05:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2004, 6:40 PM AKDT
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fairbanks, (PFAI), launched 00:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fairbanks, at 00:00Z on 2004-07-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 26 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fairbanks, at 00:00Z on 2004-07-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
26 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1609 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGAK59 PAFG 051048
FFWAFG
AKZ223-051340-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
240 AM ADT MON JUL 5 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS AREA OF ALASKA

* INCLUDING THE AREAS OF
  ...BIRCH LAKE
  ...SHAW CREEK FLATS
  ...QUARTZ LAKE

* UNTIL 540 AM ADT

* AT 235 AM ADT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH OF RAIN IN THE PAST 90 MINUTES FROM          
  THUNDERSTORMS NEAR QUARTZ LAKE...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF    
  DELTA JUNCTION.

* THE STORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING IS LOCATED NEAR THE RICHARDSON  
  HIGHWAY SOUTH OF SALCHA TO THE SHAW CREEK FLATS. ADDITIONAL        
  FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THE UPLANDS TO THE EAST OF SHAW CREEK.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

LAT...LON 6425 14616 6412 14587 6426 14545 6438 14586

$$

RT/AT JUL 04

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 4, 9:30 AM AKDT, 12 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 9:30 AM AKDT, 12 hours 10 minutes before
NORTH ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
230 PM ADT SUN JUL 4 2004

.DISCUSSION...TROUGH PUSHING INTO NORTHWEST ALASKA. OLD DEEP LOW
IN THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES DRIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD.

ALL SHORT RANGE MODELS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON LARGE SCALE FEATURES
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE FLOW SPLITS AS RIDGE BUILDS RAPIDLY BEHIND
TROUGH MOVING INTO WESTERN ALASKA. MOST OF THE ENERGY IS FOCUSED
TO THE SOUTH WITH RAPIDLY MOVING SHORT WAVE AS RIDGE KICKS UPPER
TROUGH TO THE EAST.

.WEST COAST...BERING SEA HIGH WILL FORECASTED TO RAPIDLY BUILD
BACK INTO THE SEWARD PEN. AS PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MOST SHOWERS WILL
BE NORTH OF THE SEWARD PEN WITH COASTAL MARINE STRATUS LIKELY IN
AREAS WITH ONSHORE FLOW FURTHER SOUTH.

.INTERIOR...FALLING HEIGHTS AND INCREASED MOISTURE WILL
ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN SMOKE
AND CLOUD FREE REGIONS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND ELEVATED TERRAIN
SURROUNDING FAIRBANKS. LACK OF DYNAMICS SEEMS LIKELY TO HINDER ANY
DEVELOP OF LARGE AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN.

.HYDRO...NONE SGFNT.
.FIRE WEATHER...HIGHER RHS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY HELP INTERIOR
FIRES.

.AFG...WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...FOG ADVISORIES 204...213...214.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES...10B.

JHD JUL 04

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 9:45 PM AKDTFlash Flood WarningAFG21 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Alaska, 2004Every flash flood warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.