Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 19, 2004Colfax County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2004, 5:15 PM MDT for Colfax County, New Mexico. It was in force for 60 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2004, 5:15 PM MDT (23:15 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2004, 6:15 PM MDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Colfax County, NM

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 213 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 19, 6:25 PM MDT	HAIL 1.25	15 Ne Abbott, NM

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 253 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3364 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -36 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

048 
WUUS55 KABQ 192315
SVRABQ
NMC007-200015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
515 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN COLFAX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 615 PM MDT

* AT 512 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MAXWELL...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  SPRINGER...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  OVER RURAL CENTRAL COLFAX COUNTY 

AT 455 PM...LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SPRINGER REPORTED NICKEL 
SIZED HAIL 4 MILES SOUTH OF MAXWELL.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS PRODUCED VERY LARGE HAIL. IF YOU ARE IN 
ITS PATH...TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. SEEK SHELTER NOW

LAT...LON 3668 10483 3624 10483 3625 10403 3695 10402

$$

46/DPORTER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 3:11 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 3:11 PM MDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
311 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WEATHER STARTING TO HAPPEN NOW JUST E OF
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SO THIS NEEDS TO BE SHORT. BEEFED UP POPS
SOME FOR THIS EVENING...MAINLY AREAS BETWEEN CENTRAL MTN CHAIN AND
WEST EDGE OF EASTERN BORDER COUNTIES. ALSO ADDED RISK OF SEVERE...
BUT AM STILL WONDERING IF ENVIRONMENT MAINLY E OF PECOS RIVER WILL
BE RIPE ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN ANYTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED PULSE
SEVERE OR NOT THROUGH THE EVENING. AREA RETAINED CLOUDS AND THUS
COOLER THAN 24 HOURS PREVIOUS...CURRENTLY RUNNING 5 TO 12 DEGREES
COOLER...THOUGH LOW CLOUDS OF THE MORNING NOW ALMOST ALL GONE.
DECIDED TO MENTION SEVERE FOR NOW...GOING FOR AREAS IN AND EVEN A
LITTLE S OF LATEST SPC DAY 1 RISK AREA. DISCUSSED THE POSSIBILITY
OF FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUANCE FOR PORTIONS OF NE NM...MAINLY IN
VICINITY OF COLFAX COUNTY AND FAR W UNION...BUT FEEL AREAS THAT HAD
ENOUGH ANTECEDENT RAIN LAST DAY OR SO TO WARRANT CONSIDERATION ARE
TOO SMALL FOR A BLANKET-TYPE ISSUANCE LIKE A WATCH...PLUS
LOCATION OF BEST HEAVY RAIN FOCUSING AREA NOT CERTAIN ENOUGH TO DO
SO. BEST FOR EVENING CREW TO WATCH RADAR AND OTHER TRENDS TO SEE IF
A STRONG FOCUSED AREA DEVELOPS OVER VICINITY OF PREVIOUS HEAVY
RAINS. OTHER CHANGES MADE FARTHER OUT BUT NO TIME TO DISCUSS HEAR.
MORE OFTEN THAN NOT PREVIOUS FORECAST TRENDS FOLLOWED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 052/090 053/091 054 43000
GALLUP.................... 045/088 045/087 045 43000
GRANTS.................... 047/088 046/088 045 43000
GLENWOOD.................. 049/093 052/094 052 43-00
CHAMA..................... 040/083 041/080 040 43100
LOS ALAMOS................ 049/086 049/085 050 43000
RED RIVER................. 039/075 040/070 038 43211
TAOS...................... 046/084 045/082 044 43111
SANTA FE.................. 052/085 050/085 052 43100
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 054/088 053/088 055 43100
ESPANOLA.................. 048/091 047/090 048 43000
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 064/091 064/092 063 43-00
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 057/093 058/094 057 43-00
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 062/089 063/090 060 43000
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 064/092 064/092 061 43000
SOCORRO................... 057/095 057/096 056 43-00
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 058/085 057/085 055 43100
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 049/089 049/088 048 43110
CARRIZOZO................. 058/094 058/093 057 43110
RUIDOSO................... 058/086 058/086 057 43321
RATON..................... 048/089 051/080 048 43411
LAS VEGAS................. 051/086 051/081 050 43411
ROY....................... 056/089 054/082 051 43411
CLAYTON................... 059/091 059/079 053 43311
SANTA ROSA................ 059/097 059/092 057 43411
TUCUMCARI................. 064/097 065/090 061 43311
FORT SUMNER............... 063/096 063/094 060 43411
CLOVIS.................... 064/095 064/092 061 43321
PORTALES.................. 066/097 066/094 063 43321
ROSWELL................... 064/098 065/097 064 43421
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

43

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 6:00 AM MDT, 11 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

NMZ001>021-026-201200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY THUNDERSTORM RAINS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN OVER THE
PLAINS...AND MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND SUDDEN
RISES OF WATER IN NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND STREAMBEDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY FROM AROUND 200 PM TO 900
PM IN UNION...HARDING...QUAY...CURRY...ROOSEVELT..COLFAX...
MORA...SAN MIGUEL...GUADALUPE...EASTERN TORRANCE...DE BACA...CHAVES
AND EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN UNION COUNTY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 4:22 PM MDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
422 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             4 S MAXWELL             36.48N 104.54W
06/19/2004  0.88 INCH        COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JM

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:13 PM MDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
513 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             4 S MAXWELL             36.48N 104.54W
06/19/2004  0.88 INCH        COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 6:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	52 min
Jun 18, 6:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Roosevelt	66 min
Jun 18, 6:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	42 min
Jun 18, 7:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	45 min
Jun 18, 7:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	27 min
Jun 18, 8:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	45 min
Jun 18, 8:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	45 min
Jun 18, 11:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	29 min
Jun 18, 11:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	53 min
Jun 19, 2:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	37 min
Jun 19, 4:08 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	67 min
Jun 19, 4:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	63 min
Jun 19, 5:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.