Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS Albuquerque, NM

June 18, 2004Union County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2004, 8:45 PM MDT for Union County, New Mexico. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 18, 2004, 8:45 PM MDT (02:45 UTC)
Expired: Jun 18, 2004, 9:30 PM MDT
In force: 45 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Union County, NM

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 18, 1:55 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2456 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1516 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 7.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KABQ 190245
SVRABQ
NMC059-190330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
845 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 930 PM MDT

* AT 843 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES WEST OF SEDAN...OR ABOUT 24 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF AMISTAD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS PRODUCED GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL. IF YOU ARE IN
ITS PATH...TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3627 10303 3628 10355 3616 10355 3611 10348
          3609 10336 3601 10326 3596 10304
$$

KJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 2:20 PM MDT, 6 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 2:20 PM MDT, 6 hours 25 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
220 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

.DISCUSSION...WEAK RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE SW THIS WEEKEND THEN GETS
NUDGED S NEXT WEEK WITH WEAK W FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK PERHAPS GOING NW
LATE IN THE WEEK. COLD FRONTS WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS INTO THE E
TONIGHT...MON AND MON NIGHT...AND THU/THU NIGHT.

MORE OF THE SAME IN THE FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK ALTHOUGH SOME DAY
TO DAY CHANGES. MAIN FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE E.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH ALREADY IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVE ACROSS ALL OF THE
E. BOUNDARY IN THE NE WILL PRESS S TONIGHT...LIKELY AIDED BY OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES...AND WILL KEEP E CANYON WIND IN FOR RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
THIS WILL BRING A FRESH SURGE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE E AND
MAYBE A LITTLE INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS WELL. IN ADDITION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE FROM
OLD MEXICO INTO SRN NM THIS WEEKEND. WILL ADD MENTION OF DRY TSTMS
WITH GUSTY WINDS INTO OUR SW AND WC ZONES SAT PM...AND AS FAR N AS
ABQ SAT EVE. BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS...INCLUDING ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER...WILL CONTINUE IN THE E SAT.

A BIT MORE W FLOW ON SUN COULD SCOUR OUT SOME OF THE HIGHER LEVEL
MOISTURE BUT LIKELY NOT THE LOW LEVELS. OVERALL LESS COVERAGE
POSSIBLE...BUT LOW CHANCE POPS REMAIN FOR MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ALL
OF THE E. ANOTHER FRONT FORECAST INTO THE E MON INTO MON NIGHT AND
AGAIN LATER NEXT WEEK KEEPING THE E RATHER MOIST WITH AT LEAST LOW
CHANCE POPS EACH DAY NEXT WEEK. THE W WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON................ 052/090 053/090 052 40000
GALLUP.................... 044/088 044/087 045 40000
GRANTS.................... 043/086 046/088 045 40000
GLENWOOD.................. 046/092 050/093 052 400--
CHAMA..................... 040/079 040/082 040 40111
LOS ALAMOS................ 047/084 048/085 048 40000
RED RIVER................. 038/072 038/074 039 40111
TAOS...................... 046/081 046/085 045 40011
SANTA FE.................. 050/084 049/085 049 40010
SANTA FE AIRPORT.......... 053/086 052/088 051 40010
ESPANOLA.................. 046/088 046/091 046 40010
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS....... 064/091 065/092 064 4000-
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY........ 056/093 057/094 058 4000-
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS..... 062/088 062/090 061 40000
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA..... 063/093 064/092 062 40000
SOCORRO................... 057/093 058/097 057 400--
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST... 056/084 058/085 056 40011
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA......... 046/087 049/089 048 40011
CARRIZOZO................. 059/090 058/092 058 40011
RUIDOSO................... 059/083 058/084 058 40132
RATON..................... 051/076 048/089 049 40322
LAS VEGAS................. 051/079 050/085 054 40122
ROY....................... 052/078 057/088 054 40322
CLAYTON................... 056/077 059/090 060 40532
SANTA ROSA................ 058/089 059/095 059 40222
TUCUMCARI................. 065/088 066/094 064 40322
FORT SUMNER............... 063/091 063/097 063 40222
CLOVIS.................... 063/089 064/093 064 40322
PORTALES.................. 064/090 066/094 066 40322
ROSWELL................... 066/095 065/095 067 40112
&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

40

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 6:00 AM MDT, 14 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

NMZ001>021-026-191200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WESTCENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY FROM AROUND 200 PM TO 800
PM IN UNION...HARDING...QUAY...CURRY...ROOSEVELT...EASTERN
COLFAX...AND EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTIES.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE
REQUIRED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER UNION...HARDING...
QUAY...CURRY...ROOSEVELT...DE BACA...CHAVES...EASTERN SAN MIGUEL...
EASTERN COLFAX AND EASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 18, 4:46 PM MDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
446 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HAIL             5 N SPRINGER            36.44N 104.59W
06/18/2004  0.88 INCH        COLFAX             NM   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DPORTER/CHJ

Local storm report, Jun 18, 4:47 PM MDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
447 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     HAIL             10 N ELIDA              34.09N 103.65W
06/18/2004  0.75 INCH        ROOSEVELT          NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER/CHJ

Local storm report, Jun 18, 6:29 PM MDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
629 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             15 NE ABBOTT            36.46N 104.07W
06/18/2004  1.00 INCH        COLFAX             NM   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

DPORTER

Special weather statement, Jun 18, 7:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
732 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

NMZ004-005-007-011-012-018-019-026-190300-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CONCHAS
LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS-
732 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 496 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CHAVES...SAN MIGUEL...COLFAX...MORA...
GUADALUPE...AND DE BACA.

NMZ005>007-013-020-021-190300-
CURRY COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS-QUAY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
732 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 496 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CURRY...HARDING...QUAY...ROOSEVELT...AND UNION.

16

Local storm report, Jun 18, 7:37 PM MDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
737 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 PM     HAIL             6 S AMISTAD             35.83N 103.15W
06/18/2004  1.75 INCH        UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

Local storm report, Jun 18, 7:45 PM MDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
745 PM MDT FRI JUN 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             5 SSW AMISTAD           35.85N 103.19W
06/18/2004  1.25 INCH        UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 6:23 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax, Union	52 min
Jun 18, 6:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Roosevelt	66 min
Jun 18, 6:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	42 min
Jun 18, 7:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	45 min
Jun 18, 7:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	27 min
Jun 18, 8:00 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	45 min
Jun 18, 11:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	29 min
Jun 18, 11:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	53 min
Jun 19, 2:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Torrance	37 min
Jun 19, 4:08 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	67 min
Jun 19, 4:27 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	63 min
Jun 19, 5:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	60 min
Jun 19, 5:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2004 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.