Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2003, 6:52 AM CDT for Carroll County, Franklin County, Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 16, 2003, 6:52 AM CDT (11:52 UTC)
- Expired
- May 16, 2003, 7:15 AM CDT
- In force
- 23 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Carroll County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 4:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 341 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1169 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS54 KTSA 161152 SVRTUL ARC015-047-087-161215- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 652 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS * UNTIL 715 AM CDT * AT 652 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRANDVIEW TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF OZARK...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. LAT...LON 3655 9367 3533 9396 3537 9374 3647 9331
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 3:12 AM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 3:12 AM CDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 312 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003 STRONG STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY STRONG WINDS AND HAIL ARE BEARING DOWN ON THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME. EXPECT A WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THIS MORNING PRIMING THE AREA FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING PROBLEMS LATER TODAY WHEN ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS FORM. MAIN DRIVING FEATURE IS A STRONG UPPER LOW WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT. PRECIPITAL WATERS AND INSTABILITY ARE BOTH QUITE HIGH SO THE RISK OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER IS HIGH AS WELL. IN ADDITION...THE ETA QPF IS QUITE ROBUST AS IS HPCS DAY 1 QPF. THE UPPER LOW HANGS IN THE VICINITY TOMORROW SO RAIN CANNOT BE RULED OUT. TOMORROW SHOULD AT LEAST BE A CLOUDY AND DREARY DAY. HAVE SOME TEMPERATURE ISSUES THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DO NOT SEE THE DEW POINTS IN THE 60S ACROSS THE AREA GETTING SWEPT AWAY ANY TIME SOON. THUS...LOWS WOULD HAVE A TOUGH TIME GETTING INTO THE 50S AS THE GFS MOS SUGGESTS. WITH WARMER LOWS WILL ALSO HAVE WARMER DAY TIME TEMPS ALTHOUGH DO NOT BELIEVE THERE WILL BE MUCH OF A DIURNAL RANGE. SOME OF THE MOISTURE WILL LIKELY GET SWEPT OUT OF THE AREA TO MAKE SUNDAY AND MONDAY RATHER PLEASANT AND MAINLY DRY DAYS. THE NEXT DECENT RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. TUL 77 65 74 60 / 80 80 20 10 FSM 80 67 77 60 / 80 80 50 20 MLC 80 67 77 61 / 80 80 30 10 BVO 76 64 73 56 / 80 80 20 10 FYV 75 66 72 56 / 80 80 50 20 BYV 75 66 72 55 / 80 80 60 30 MKO 78 66 75 60 / 80 80 30 10 MIO 76 65 73 56 / 80 80 40 20 F10 79 66 76 60 / 80 80 20 10 HHW 82 68 79 62 / 80 80 30 10 FORECAST ID= 17 .TSA... AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ001>002... ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020...ARZ029. OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES OKZ049... OKZ053>076. ABBAS
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 6:00 AM CDT, 52 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 600 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY END EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT MORE CAN BE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS ACROSS POINTS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A VINITA TO MUSKOGEE TO MCALESTER LINE THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS STARTED LAST EVENING IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND TRAVERSED OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. THE POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH SPAWNED THESE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST FROM NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING AND INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. INSTABILITY...WIND FIELDS AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY ONCE AGAIN TRIGGER SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTENOON. THESE STORMS MAY FORM OVER CENTRAL OR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. SUPERCELL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT FIRST...BUT THE STORMS WILL LIKELY FORM A COMPLEX WHICH WOULD PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THE RAINFALL THIS MORNING AND THE EXPECTED MAGNITUDE OF THE RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FLASH FLOODING MAY BECOME A PROBLEM. THUS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.. WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH HAS AND WILL PRODUCE STORMINESS WILL HEAD OFF TO THE EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR A DAY OR TWO. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE FORECAST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. .SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 16, 4:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-019>020-029-OKZ058-063-068>069-072-076-161400- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 415 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #390 UNTIL 900 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 7 COUNTIES... IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS: BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD MADISON WASHINGTON IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS: FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES... IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA: CHEROKEE SEQUOYAH IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA: ADAIR DELAWARE OTTAWA IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA: LE FLORE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...CEDARVILLE... EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...FORT SMITH...HUNTSVILLE...JAY... MIAMI...MOUNTAINBURG...NATURAL DAM...OZARK...POTEAU...ROGERS... SALLISAW...SILOAM SPRINGS...SPRINGDALE...STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH AND VAN BUREN.
Local storm report, May 16, 5:20 AM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0520 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0500 AM 3 WNW STIGLER OK 58 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 HASKELL
0410 AM BARTLESVILLE OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 WASHINGTON SCATTERED DAMAGE AROUND
THE WEST SIDE OF CITY. AT
LEAST 3 STRUCTURES HAVE
LOST PARTS OF ROOF. POWER
OUT IN THOSE AREAS.
0350 AM FORAKER OK 67 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 OSAGE
0340 AM WYNONA OK 59 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 OSAGE
0335 AM DRUMRIGHT OK 60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 CREEK
GMLocal storm report, May 16, 5:52 AM CDT, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0552 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0520 AM TAHLEQUAH OK 0 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 CHEROKEE SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE
AROUND CITY.
0515 AM 7 S TAHLEQUAH OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 CHEROKEE UTILITY LINES DOWN IN THE
KEYS AREA
GMLocal storm report, May 16, 5:56 AM CDT, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT : CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0556 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0520 AM TAHLEQUAH OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 CHEROKEE SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE
AROUND CITY.
GMLocal storm report, May 16, 6:25 AM CDT, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0625 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0600 AM RYE HILL AR 60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 SEBASTIAN
0552 AM 3 W GENTRY AR WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 BENTON CHICKEN HOUSE DAMAGED
ALONG HIGHWAY 43 JUST JUST
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 12
INTERSECTION.
0550 AM 1 W SILOAM SPRINGS AR WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 BENTON TREES AND TRAILERS
SUSTAINED DAMAGE ON WEST
SIDE OF CITY.
GMLocal storm report, May 16, 6:47 AM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
0647 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0541 AM 4 E KANSAS OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 DELAWARE TRAVEL TRAILERS OVERTURNED
AT ROADSIDE PARK ALONG U.S.
HIGHWAY 412 AT FLINT CREEK.
GMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 5:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 62 min |
| May 16, 5:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Franklin, Madison | 79 min |
| May 16, 6:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 75 min |
| May 16, 1:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin, Madison | 54 min |
| May 16, 4:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 56 min |
| May 16, 4:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Washington | 63 min |
| May 16, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin | 55 min |
| May 16, 4:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford | 47 min |
| May 16, 5:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Madison | 4 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.