Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Tulsa, OK
NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 12, 2003, 11:14 PM CST for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2003, 11:14 PM CST (05:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 13, 2003, 12:00 AM CST
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tulsa, OK
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Ottawa County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 8:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1109 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -59 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1150 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 100 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
484
WUUS54 KTSA 130514
SVRTUL
OKC115-130600-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1114 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
* AT 1114 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES WEST OF COMMERCE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MIAMI...
COMMERCE...QUAPAW AND PICHER.
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3699 9462 3677 9462 3682 9483 3686 9501
3695 9501 3700 9504What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 12, 8:26 PM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 8:26 PM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA 826 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH JUST ISSUED FOR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA...INCLUDING TULSA METRO AREA. THUNDERSTORMS JUST NOW INITIATING ACROSS NW PORTION OF THE CWA...ALONG A LINE STRETCHING SOUTHWEST FROM SURFACE LOW IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS. WILL QUICKLY UPDATE ZONES TO INCLUDE THE WATCH. WILL ALSO RAISE AREA MINIMUMS ABOUT A CATEGORY AS IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE CAA WILL LAG FROPA FAR ENOUGH TO HOLD MINS UP. IN ADDITION...WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT CLOUD COVER A BIT. TUL 59 68 43 74 / 60 5 5 5 FSM 60 73 46 74 / 50 20 10 5 MLC 62 72 49 77 / 50 10 10 5 BVO 53 67 37 73 / 60 0 5 5 FYV 57 67 37 71 / 60 10 10 5 BYV 56 64 38 70 / 70 10 5 5 MIO 56 64 39 72 / 70 5 5 5 F10 62 71 46 75 / 50 5 10 5 HHW 64 73 50 77 / 50 30 10 5 FORECAST ID= 06 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 1:00 PM CST, 10 hours 14 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 100 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREA 1...EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...70 IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP... PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...70 TIME OF INITIAL EVENT...700 PM PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO/F2 OR GREATER TORNADO...5/2 PROBABILITY OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER...50 PROBABILITY OF 73 MPH WIND OR GREATER...15 AREA 2...REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...40 IF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP... PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...50 TIME OF INITIAL EVENT...700 PM PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO/F2 OR GREATER TORNADO...5/2 PROBABILITY OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER...40 PROBABILITY OF 73 MPH WIND OR GREATER...15 DISCUSSION... A SURFACE BOUNDARY STRETCHED FROM NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THROUGH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. SURFACE DEW POINTS HAVE SOARED INTO THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THE IMPROVING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL RESULT IN CAPES AROUND 2000 TO 2500 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...A CAPPING INVERSION SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD EFFECTIVELY LIMIT CONVECTION FOR MOST OF THE AFTERNOON. INITIAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BUILD SOUTHWEST-WARD ALONG THE COLD FRONT/DRY LINE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT. IMPRESSIVE WIND SHEAR PROFILES AND INSTABILITY ARE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL. .SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY AFTER 6 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY AND WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVING BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN OCCURRENCE ANYWHERE IN THE DEFINED AREA. RELATED GRAPHICAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 7:33 PM CST, 3 hours 41 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-130400- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 733 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 ...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE EVENING... AT 730 PM A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PONCA CITY. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLIER THIS EVENING ALONG THIS FRONT HAVE CONTINUED TO SLOWLY BUILD FURTHER TO THE SOUTH. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD DOWN INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THE STORMS TO BE SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. PERSONS IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD PAY ATTENTION THROUGH THE EVENING TO LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 8:12 PM CST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
OKZ054>063-130415- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 812 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... OSAGE...PAWNEE...WASHINGTON...TULSA...NOWATA...ROGERS...CRAIG... MAYES...OTTAWA AND DELAWARE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 35 WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 2AM. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTH FROM KANSAS INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE REST OF THE EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 9:25 PM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
OKZ054>063-130600- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 925 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA UNTIL 2 AM... THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... OSAGE...PAWNEE...WASHINGTON...TULSA...NOWATA...ROGERS...CRAIG...MAYES ...OTTAWA...DELAWARE...CREEK...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAID...OKFUSKEE ...OKMULGEE...MUSKOGEE...SEQUOYAH...MCINTOSH...PITTSBURG...HASKELL ...LATIMER AND LE FLORE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
Special weather statement, Mar 12, 9:53 PM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
OKZ064-130445- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 953 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR CREEK COUNTY UNTIL 1045 PM CST... AT 953 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILFAY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE COMMUNITIES OF BRISTOW...MILFAY...SLICK AND DEPEW WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM THROUGH 1045 PM CST.
Local storm report, Mar 12, 10:43 PM CST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003
TIME(CST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1000 PM MILFAY OK 1.00 IN HAIL
03/12/03 CREEK REPORTED BY TRAINED
SPOTTER
PSSpecial weather statement, Mar 12, 10:47 PM CST, 27 minutes before
KSZ099>101-MOZ088-093>095-101>104-OKZ054>063-130800- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1047 PM CST WED MAR 12 2003 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #35 HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...OSAGE...WASHINGTON AND PAWNEE... SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #35 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR...NOWATA...OTTAWA...CRAIG...DELAWARE...ROGERS...MAYES AND TULSA COUNTIES...
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 8:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pawnee | 38 min |
| Mar 12, 10:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek | 60 min |
| Mar 12, 10:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Ottawa | 50 min |
| Mar 12, 11:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Okfuskee | 52 min |
| Mar 12, 11:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 12:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 1:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Sequoyah | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 1:26 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 1:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 54 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.