Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Topeka, KS

June 22, 2003Jackson County, Pottawatomie County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 22, 2003, 11:51 AM CDT for Jackson County, Pottawatomie County, Kansas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 22, 2003, 11:51 AM CDT (16:51 UTC)
Expired: Jun 22, 2003, 12:15 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Topeka, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Jackson County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 49 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1217 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -135 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 708 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 254 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 250 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

384 
WUUS53 KTOP 221651
SVRTOP
KSC085-149-221715-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1150 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
  SOUTHEASTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 1215 PM CDT

* AT 1145 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EMMETT...OR ABOUT 24 MILES
  EAST OF MANHATTAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
  EMMETT
  ST. MARYS

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. MOVE INDOORS
NOW...AND AVOID WINDOWS.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3930 9624 3917 9607 3922 9604 3930 9588
          3946 9597

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 22, 3:18 AM CDT, 8 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 3:18 AM CDT, 8 hours 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KANSAS
318 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

MAIN CHALLENGE AGAIN THIS MRNG ARE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

STRG WARM AIR ADVECTION TO CONT OVER AREA TODAY AS SRLY FLO INCRS
AND HIGHER DEW PTS AND MOISTR STREAM NWD. A FEW TSTMS ALREADY FORMG
OVER NCENTRL KS AND THESE WILL BE WATCH AS TO MOVEMENT, STRENGTH
ETC. MAY HAVE TO RUN SCT PCPN FOR THIS MORNG IN ZFPTOP. OTHERWISE
ATMOS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE THRU TONIGHT WITH SEVERAL PARAMETRS FOR
PSBL SVR WX...CAPES, LI, SHEAR ETC. NOTE SPS DAY 1 OTLK WITH MOD
RISK ALNG NRN BRDR. HOWEVER HARD TO PINPOINT A SPECIFIC UPPR FEATURE
TO HANG MY HAT ON. MODELS RATHER INCONSISTENT IN THIS AREA. IN
ADDITION, RISING UPPER HTGS AND WARM AIR ALOFT MAY CAP PCPN ENUF AS
DAY WEARS ON TO RESTRICT TSTM DVLPMENT OR EXTENT OF TSTMS. NOT A
SURE CALL AT ALL, BUT WILL CONT 20-30 POPS ALL AREAS.

FOR MONDAY MID LEVEL CAP GETS STRONGR AND THIS SHOULD KEEP PCPN WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. WILL CONT DRY FCST. HOWEVER TEMPS SHOULD SOAR TO
THE WARMEST SO FAR THIS YEAR WITH 90S OVER THE ENTIRE CWA, AND LOTS
OF HUMIDITY WITH DEW PTS IN THE 70S. TUESDAY LOOKS HOT, HUMID AND
DRY ALSO, BEFORE NEXT UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE ROCKIES GIVING CHC
PCPN AGAIN LATE WED AND THURS.

SINCE MODELS HAVAE SOME DISPERITY ON EXACTLY WHEN NEXT UPPER
TROUGH/FRONT WILL EJECT EAST FROM THE ROCKIES, HAVE CONTINUED PREV
FCSTS TRENDS. LOOKS LIKE COOLER WEATHER WILL BE IN THE AREA FOR LATE
IN THE WEEK.

.TOP...NONE

36

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 4:47 AM CDT, 7 hours 4 minutes before

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-230945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
447 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE THUNDESTORMS...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOST OF OUR AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST AGAIN FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK, BUT
IT IS TOO EARLY AT THIS TIME TO DETERMINE THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 22, 9:40 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
940 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0932 AM    3 SSW WABAUNSEE           KS    1 INCH HAIL
06/22/03   WABAUNSEE                       SPOTTER REPORTED
                                           QUARTER SIZE HAIL

Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:10 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0958 AM    5 SE WESTMORELAND

Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:18 AM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1018 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0955 AM    PAXICO                    KS    .75 INCH HAIL
06/22/03   WABAUNSEE

Local storm report, Jun 22, 11:03 AM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1103 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1102 AM    EMMETT                    KS    .75 INCH HAIL
06/22/03   POTTAWATOMIE

Local storm report, Jun 22, 11:46 AM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1146 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1142 AM    7 S SOLDIER               KS    .88 INCH HAIL
06/22/03   JACKSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 22, 9:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Pottawatomie, Wabaunsee	39 min
Jun 22, 10:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jackson, Pottawatomie	36 min
Jun 22, 11:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jackson	45 min
Jun 22, 12:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jackson, Jefferson	58 min
Jun 22, 12:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Douglas, Jefferson	52 min
Jun 22, 1:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Jefferson	44 min
Jun 22, 1:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Douglas	49 min
Jun 22, 2:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown	39 min
Jun 22, 3:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Brown	21 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.