Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Topeka, KS

Issued

Jun 22, 2003, 9:36 AM CDT (14:36 UTC)

Expired

Jun 22, 2003, 10:15 AM CDT

In force

39 min

Issued by

NWS Topeka, KS

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Pottawatomie County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

364 
WUUS53 KTOP 221436
SVRTOP
KSC149-197-221515-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
935 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN WABAUNSEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  EASTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS

* UNTIL 1015 AM CDT

* AT 933 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13 MILES WEST OF ONAGA TO 13
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF BELVUE...OR FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF MANHATTAN
  TO 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANHATTAN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
  BELVUE
  ONAGA
  ST. MARYS
  EMMETT
  HAVENSVILLE

AT 932 AM 1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL WAS REPORTED 3 MILES SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF
WABAUNSEE KS.

LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A BUILDING NOW.

STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3948 9639 3906 9626 3908 9597 3913 9606
          3951 9608

$$

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 22, 3:18 AM CDT, 6 hours 18 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KANSAS
318 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

MAIN CHALLENGE AGAIN THIS MRNG ARE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

STRG WARM AIR ADVECTION TO CONT OVER AREA TODAY AS SRLY FLO INCRS
AND HIGHER DEW PTS AND MOISTR STREAM NWD. A FEW TSTMS ALREADY FORMG
OVER NCENTRL KS AND THESE WILL BE WATCH AS TO MOVEMENT, STRENGTH
ETC. MAY HAVE TO RUN SCT PCPN FOR THIS MORNG IN ZFPTOP. OTHERWISE
ATMOS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE THRU TONIGHT WITH SEVERAL PARAMETRS FOR
PSBL SVR WX...CAPES, LI, SHEAR ETC. NOTE SPS DAY 1 OTLK WITH MOD
RISK ALNG NRN BRDR. HOWEVER HARD TO PINPOINT A SPECIFIC UPPR FEATURE
TO HANG MY HAT ON. MODELS RATHER INCONSISTENT IN THIS AREA. IN
ADDITION, RISING UPPER HTGS AND WARM AIR ALOFT MAY CAP PCPN ENUF AS
DAY WEARS ON TO RESTRICT TSTM DVLPMENT OR EXTENT OF TSTMS. NOT A
SURE CALL AT ALL, BUT WILL CONT 20-30 POPS ALL AREAS.

FOR MONDAY MID LEVEL CAP GETS STRONGR AND THIS SHOULD KEEP PCPN WELL
NORTH OF THE AREA. WILL CONT DRY FCST. HOWEVER TEMPS SHOULD SOAR TO
THE WARMEST SO FAR THIS YEAR WITH 90S OVER THE ENTIRE CWA, AND LOTS
OF HUMIDITY WITH DEW PTS IN THE 70S. TUESDAY LOOKS HOT, HUMID AND
DRY ALSO, BEFORE NEXT UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE ROCKIES GIVING CHC
PCPN AGAIN LATE WED AND THURS.

SINCE MODELS HAVAE SOME DISPERITY ON EXACTLY WHEN NEXT UPPER
TROUGH/FRONT WILL EJECT EAST FROM THE ROCKIES, HAVE CONTINUED PREV
FCSTS TRENDS. LOOKS LIKE COOLER WEATHER WILL BE IN THE AREA FOR LATE
IN THE WEEK.

.TOP...NONE

36

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-230945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
447 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE THUNDESTORMS...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOST OF OUR AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST AGAIN FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK, BUT
IT IS TOO EARLY AT THIS TIME TO DETERMINE THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE
WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.