Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 903

May 10, 200316 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Missouri; 5 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2003, 7:06 AM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas; 31 counties in Missouri; 5 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2003, 7:06 AM CDT (12:06 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2003, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 52 counties

Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Gage County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2003-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 271 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2003-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 419 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
271 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-301 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
711 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
419 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
474 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

842 
ACUS11 KWNS 101206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101206 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-101300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0706 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS/SERN NEB/NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333...

VALID 101206Z - 101300Z

LARGE HAIL/WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL PERSIST PRIMARILY ACROSS SERN
PORTIONS OF WW0333 FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO.

REGIONAL RADAR DATA SUGGEST THAT THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE SLOWLY
MOVING AND/OR DEVELOPING SWD INTO THE WARM SECTOR OVER SERN PORTIONS
OF WW033 FROM SZL TO 30-40 MILES NW OF COU. VEERING SWLY LLJ NOTED
IN PLAN VIEW VWP/PROFILER LOOP INDICATES THAT THE STRONGEST FORCING
FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH WAA REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO
SHIFT EWD INTO WW034. THEREFORE...EXPECT THE THREAT OF ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL/WIND DAMAGE TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HALF HOUR OR SO
INVOF SURFACE WARM FRONT WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHIFTING E
THEREAFTER.   


..MEAD.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...

39089700 39569694 40159688 40389687 40509685 40489665
40499575 40509498 40549411 40509328 40479282 40479244
40259244 38939264 38729299 38799400 38789550 38749652
38759689 38789705

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCButler, Chase, Coffey, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 7 more5 hr
May 9, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette and 5 more88 min
May 9, 10:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 20 more26 min
May 9, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 14 more6 hr
May 10, 12:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barber, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay and 24 more86 min
May 10, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Barber, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay and 25 more5 hr
May 10, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barber, Brown, Butler, Chase, Clay and 25 more92 min
May 10, 3:05 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 17 more5 hr
May 10, 3:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary, Jackson and 10 more5 hr
May 10, 5:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 20 more93 min
May 10, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cherokee, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson3 hr
May 10, 10:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn and 2 more66 min
May 10, 10:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Coffey and 18 more2 hr
May 10, 11:35 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCLinn, Miami7 hr
May 10, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery and 1 more7 hr
May 10, 1:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMiami2 hr
May 10, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery and 1 more2 hr
May 10, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton83 min
May 10, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Knox, Lewis and 11 more92 min
May 10, 5:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Franklin and 19 more5 hr
May 10, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIron, Jefferson, Madison, Perry, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois and 1 more2 hr
May 10, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Schuyler, Scotland58 min
May 10, 3:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dent, Douglas, Franklin, Gasconade, Howell and 16 more2 hr
May 10, 3:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCPutnam, Schuyler, Scotland6 hr
May 10, 4:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 22 more5 hr
May 10, 4:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Chariton and 24 more87 min
May 10, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Chariton and 32 more5 hr
May 10, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Cooper, Lewis and 13 more64 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.