Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 898

May 10, 2003Newton County, Missouri; 18 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2003, 1:22 AM CDT for Newton County, Missouri; 18 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2003, 1:22 AM CDT (06:22 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2003, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Newton County, MO, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2003-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2823 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2003-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2823 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1182 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

489 
ACUS11 KWNS 100623
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100622 
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-100745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0898
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 330...

VALID 100622Z - 100745Z

TORNADO/LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH SUPERCELL OVER NERN OK.


TULSA REFLECTIVITY/VELOCITY DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW A LONG-LIVED
SUPERCELL WITH A HISTORY OF DAMAGING TORNADOES CURRENTLY MOVING INTO
TULSA COUNTY. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S AND STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY TO VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS OVER NERN OK EARLY THIS MORNING WITH MLCAPES OF 2500-3000
J/KG. TULSA VWP INDICATES THAT 50-60KT SLY LLJ IS RESULTING IN A
PRONOUNCED HODOGRAPH SPIKE BETWEEN .5 AND 1.5 KM AGL...WITH 0-2KM
SRH VALUES APPROACHING 400 M2/S2. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY...WIND SHEAR AND MOIST BOUNDARY-LAYER CONDITIONS /LCL
HEIGHTS AOB 800M/...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL PERSIST
FROM AROUND TULSA NEWD ALONG THE STORM TRACK.

RUC ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE THAT CONVECTIVE INHIBITION INCREASES
EWD ACROSS FAR NERN OK INTO SWRN MO/NWRN AR. THEREFORE...THIS
SUPERCELL MAY BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THIS AREA.

..MEAD.. 05/10/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...OUN...

36009707 36509687 36759672 36919661 36979657 36979651
36939601 36939557 36919507 36919469 36979437 36939426
36829435 36169474 35719494 35489508 35399514 35409551
35419639 35439714 35439742 35759725

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway and 42 more88 min
May 9, 10:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton and 55 more26 min
May 9, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Barton, Bates, Benton, Caldwell, Carroll and 36 more6 hr
May 10, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew5 hr
May 10, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan92 min
May 10, 3:05 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Cedar, Dade, Henry and 7 more5 hr
May 10, 3:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 25 more5 hr
May 10, 5:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Cass, Cedar, Dade and 9 more93 min
May 10, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Knox, Lewis and 11 more92 min
May 10, 5:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Franklin and 19 more5 hr
May 10, 7:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 25 more54 min
May 10, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIron, Jefferson, Madison, Perry, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois and 1 more2 hr
May 10, 10:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton and 84 more66 min
May 10, 10:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton and 42 more2 hr
May 10, 11:35 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Bates, Benton, Boone, Caldwell and 38 more7 hr
May 10, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 13 more7 hr
May 10, 1:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Bates, Benton, Boone, Caldwell and 38 more2 hr
May 10, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 12 more2 hr
May 10, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Schuyler, Scotland58 min
May 10, 3:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dent, Douglas, Franklin, Gasconade, Howell and 16 more2 hr
May 10, 3:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCPutnam, Schuyler, Scotland6 hr
May 10, 4:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Dent and 22 more5 hr
May 10, 4:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Chariton and 24 more87 min
May 10, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Chariton and 32 more5 hr
May 10, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Cooper, Lewis and 13 more64 min
May 9, 7:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 20 more63 min
May 9, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Dewey and 9 more5 hr
May 9, 8:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Canadian, Custer, Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan and 2 more66 min
May 9, 9:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Canadian, Kingfisher, Logan, Oklahoma64 min
May 9, 10:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Lincoln, Mayes and 11 more54 min
May 9, 11:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Lincoln, Mayes and 12 more6 hr
May 10, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleveland, Craig, Creek, Hughes, Lincoln, McClain and 12 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.