Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 734

May 4, 200315 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 4, 2003, 2:58 PM CDT for 15 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2003, 2:58 PM CDT (19:58 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2003, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Scott County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -84 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2312 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

602 
ACUS11 KWNS 041959
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041958 
KSZ000-042130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT SUN MAY 04 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 041958Z - 042130Z

W CENTRAL TO N CENTRAL KS AREA IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN THE NEXT 30-60 MIN.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING E/NE OF A MID LEVEL VORT MAX OVER W
CENTRAL KS...INVOF A SW-NE ORIENTED BOUNDARY THAT TRAILS SWWD FROM
THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW IN NEB.  THOUGH AREAS S OF THIS BOUNDARY
ARE W OF THE DRYLINE IN THE DRY/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...A WRAP
AROUND FEED OF 50 DEW POINTS FROM THE N PERSISTS FROM ACROSS N
CENTRAL KS.  STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL
VORT MAX AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT E/NEWD FROM W CENTRAL INTO N
CENTRAL KS THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.	STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COOL MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. 

..THOMPSON.. 05/04/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

38309928 38050060 38230137 38800134 39230002 39919888
39849825 39729785 38989797

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 11:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Clark, Clay and 43 more83 min
May 3, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Clay and 30 more59 min
May 4, 12:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Chase, Clay, Coffey and 24 more6 hr
May 4, 2:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas and 13 more92 min
May 4, 4:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDoniphan, Wyandotte6 hr
May 4, 7:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoniphan2 hr
May 4, 10:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Butler, Chase, Clay, Coffey, Dickinson and 19 more116 min
May 4, 11:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson and 19 more6 hr
May 4, 11:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery, Neosho and 1 more3 hr
May 4, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 7 more2 hr
May 4, 12:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Elk and 6 more6 hr
May 4, 12:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jefferson, Johnson and 4 more6 hr
May 4, 2:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Coffey, Doniphan, Douglas and 13 more113 min
May 4, 3:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery and 1 more115 min
May 4, 4:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWyandotte62 min
May 4, 4:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn, Neosho2 hr
May 4, 6:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford7 hr
May 4, 6:20 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDoniphan, Wyandotte6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.