Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 655

May 1, 20038 counties in Kansas; 30 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 1, 2003, 12:00 AM CDT for 8 counties in Kansas; 30 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2003, 12:00 AM CDT (05:00 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2003, 1:30 AM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 38 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1639 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2003-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1639 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1716 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

023 
ACUS11 KWNS 010500
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010500 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-010630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CDT THU MAY 01 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN KS/W-CNTRL AND SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 192...

VALID 010500Z - 010630Z

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF
WW0192 FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE LOW OVER N-CNTRL MO WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS SWWD THROUGH W-CNTRL MO AND INTO
S-CNTRL KS. THE AIRMASS OVER ERN KS/WRN MO REMAINS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. REGIONAL RADAR DATA SHOW A
SUPERCELL CURRENTLY MOVING INTO HENRY COUNTY MO WITH A TRAILING LINE
OF TSTMS THAT EXTEND SWWD INTO NEOSHO COUNTY KS. THIS ACTIVITY IS
CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED INSTABILITY AXIS AND
WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
GIVEN THE FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR EVIDENT ON LOCAL VWP/PROFILERS.


TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS
FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE TX/OK PHNDLS BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR. 


..MEAD.. 05/01/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

38099511 38719513 39059510 39219509 39309509 39339506
39509394 39689317 39799259 39889246 39799245 39329244
38669243 38169241 37789247 37629242 37509245 37469252
37309328 37209387 37089441 37009474 36959495 36899513
36989511 37479510

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 23 more6 hr
Apr 30, 7:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte119 min
Apr 30, 9:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Crawford, Linn, Miami83 min
Apr 30, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn and 2 more6 hr
Apr 30, 9:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 23 more83 min
Apr 30, 10:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDoniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte89 min
Apr 30, 11:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Coffey and 13 more118 min
May 1, 12:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 22 more5 hr
May 1, 2:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 10 more2 hr
May 1, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Wallace2 hr
Apr 30, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe and 4 more5 hr
May 1, 1:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Marion, Monroe, Pike, Ralls and 1 more86 min
May 1, 7:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid, Oregon and 4 more114 min
May 1, 9:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi and 6 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.