Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 41

February 3, 200312 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 3, 2003, 3:34 AM CST for 12 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2003, 3:34 AM CST (09:34 UTC)
Expired
Feb 3, 2003, 8:30 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 32 counties

Ellis County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Russell County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Adams County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
521 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

337 
ACUS11 KWNS 030935
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030934 
KSZ000-NEZ000-031430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0041
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 AM CST MON FEB 03 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CENTRAL KS AND CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL NEB

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS 

VALID 030934Z - 031430Z

BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW AND SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW IS EXPECTED
ACROSS N-CENTRAL KS AND CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL SECTIONS OF NEB THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1/HR ARE
POSSIBLE LOCALLY FOR A PERIOD OF 1-2 HOURS AS REGION OF ASCENT/
PRECIPITATION SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA.



REGION OF MID-UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW CONTINUES E/NE OF
VORTICITY MAX OVER ERN CO AND 300MB JET STREAK EXTENDING SW-NE
ACROSS KS AND FAR SERN NEB. LARGE-SCALE FLOW PATTERN SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ASCENT AND AN EWD CONTINUATION OF
PRECIPITATION REGION EXTENDING FROM 50 S GLD TO 45 SE LBF AT
0915Z. ADDITIONALLY...STRONG LOW-LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT AND 50KT
NLY LOW-LEVEL JET WITHIN STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATE REGIME WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NLY SURFACE WINDS OF 25-35KT WITH POSSIBLE
HIGHER GUSTS CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS N-CENTRAL
KS/S-CENTRAL NEB TOWARD 18Z AS 500MB TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST OF
THE REGION FAVORING SUBSIDENCE WITH ANTICYCLONIC VORTICITY
ADVECTION.

..BANACOS.. 02/03/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

38729926 38720032 39100062 39720050 40649975 41689864
41739796 40979757 39799786 39069833

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 6:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne7 hr
Feb 3, 9:38 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Jackson and 8 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.