Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 2002

July 27, 200359 counties in Ohio; 35 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 27, 2003, 5:40 PM EDT for 59 counties in Ohio; 35 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2003, 5:40 PM EDT (21:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2003, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 98 counties

Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Darke County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Henry County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Perry County, OH, Portage County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Union County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Perry County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Ohio County, WV

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 139 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2003-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2003-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-274 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
903 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

743 
ACUS11 KWNS 272141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272140 
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-272345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2002
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND CENTRAL OH...MUCH OF PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 808...

VALID 272140Z - 272345Z

TRAINING OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES EWD ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NRN HALF OF OHIO WITH INCREASED DEVELOPMENT IN NERN OH INTO NWRN
PA.  LATEST MESOSCALE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS
SPREADING SWD INTO CENTRAL OH WHERE AXIS OF HIGHER THETA-E VALUES
ARE LOCATED.  SEVERAL BOW SEGMENTS ARE MOVING ACROSS THIS AREA AS
WELL...ONE IS DEVELOPING OVER LORAIN...MEDINA AND ASHLAND
COUNTIES...A SECOND IS MOVING OVER VAN WERT...ALLEN AND AUGLAIZE
COUNTIES.  THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF DAMAGING WINDS ACCOMPANIED BY
HEAVY RAIN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

NEW DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING OVER SWRN LAKE ERIE NEAR CONVECTIVE
BOUNDARY INTERSECTION/WAKE LOW PRESSURE.  PRESSURE RISES ARE
OCCURRING OVER AREAS OF SRN LAKE MICHIGAN AND SWRN MI...THUS WOULD
LOOK FOR INCREASE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS OVER LORAIN INTO CUYAHOGA
COUNTIES N OF MAIN RAIN BAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS WELL.

AN ADDITIONAL WW IS BEING CONSIDERED ATTM ACROSS WRN AND CENTRAL PA.

..MCCARTHY.. 07/27/2003

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...

39798474 40668479 41588471 41568239 41557721 40527651
39727726 39718324

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 2:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ashland, Auglaize, Carroll, Champaign, Clark and 37 more87 min
Jul 27, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Ashland, Auglaize, Belmont, Carroll, Champaign and 52 more6 hr
Jul 27, 4:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlair, Carbon, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Columbia and 14 more89 min
Jul 27, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Berks and 31 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.