Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2003

Mesoscale Discussion 1165

May 31, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 31, 2003, 1:06 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2003, 1:06 PM EDT (17:06 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2003, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 51 counties

Carroll County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Washington County, MD, Adams County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Jefferson County, WV

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2003-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 20 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2003-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-111 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1330 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 1:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 15 more5 hr
May 31, 3:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 14 more2 hr
May 31, 2:05 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCHenry, City of Danville6 hr
May 31, 2:30 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAmelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Brunswick, Buckingham, Campbell and 40 more6 hr
May 31, 6:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Greensville, Henrico and 22 more83 min
May 31, 2:01 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabell, Jackson, Lincoln, Mason, Putnam, Wayne and 1 more59 min
May 31, 3:32 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabell, Jackson, Lincoln, Mason, Putnam, Wayne28 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2003Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2003Every mesoscale discussion in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.