Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS San Angelo, TX

June 1, 2003Concho County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 1, 2003, 9:48 PM CDT for Concho County, Texas. It was in force for 57 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2003, 9:48 PM CDT (02:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2003, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
57 min
Issued by
NWS San Angelo, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Concho County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 1, 9:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1772 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2003-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1772 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2629 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
8.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

078 
WUUS54 KSJT 020248
SVRSJT
TXC095-020345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
948 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CONCHO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS

* UNTIL 1045 PM CDT

* AT 944 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTH OF PAINT ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST
  AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   MILLERSVIEW AT 1020 PM CDT

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3158 9997 3144 10009 3133 9963 3149 9961

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 1, 9:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 9:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
930 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2003

ZONE UPDATE RECENTLY SENT FOR NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. GOES
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND WIND PROFILER NETWORK INDICATE A SHORTWAVE
TROF OVER NM...EMBEDDED IN GENERAL NW FLOW ALOFT. ASSOCIATED COLD
MID LEVEL COLD POOL EXPECTED TO ENHANCE DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH
SQUALL LINE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

14

--------------------
300 PM DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT-MONDAY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS SHORTWAVE
TRACKING EASTWARD FROM SOUTHEASTERN NM INTO WESTERN TX. EAST-WEST
STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS INTERSTATE 20 TO LIFT NORTHWARD TO RED RIVER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHORTWAVE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
BIG COUNTRY TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WEST OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON...
AND EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE EAST ACROSS OUR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL COUNTIES THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. WITH INCREASING UPPER
SUPPORT AND STRONG INSTABILITY...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
THREATS. STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO MCS TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...ANOTHER
MCS COULD TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS OK/RED RIVER VALLEY AND THE
SOUTHERN END OF THIS COULD CLIP THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT. WILL
BOOST POPS SLIGHTLY TONIGHT...AND POPS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY IF GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.0-1.5 INCHES...HEAVY RAINFALL
AND LOCALIZED RUNOFF PROBABLE...BUT SPEED OF STORM MOVEMENT ACROSS
OUR COUNTIES SHOULD PRECLUDE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. WILL MONITOR
DEVELOPING SITUATION. AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY...FRONT NEAR THE RED RIVER TO MOVE
BACK SOUTH AGAIN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TX. FLY IN
THE OINTMENT FOR WINDS AND FRONTAL TIMING IS IF OVERNIGHT MCS IN
OKLAHOMA DRIVES A STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO OUR
COUNTIES...AND WHETHER THIS BECOMES THE EFFECTIVE FRONT. A LITTLE
BETTER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY INDICATED OVER OUR EASTERN COUNTIES
MONDAY. WITH THE SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT...WILL CARRY THE HIGHEST
POPS IN THE HEARTLAND AND NW HILL COUNTRY...WITH LOWER POPS
ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ACROSS NORTHERN...
CENTRAL AND EASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MODELS DEVELOP AND CONTINUE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH A SERIES OF MINOR SHORT WAVES. AT THE
SURFACE...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS OVER MAINLY THE BIG
COUNTRY. BEST POPS WILL BE TUESDAY EVENING AS A GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
VORT MAX MOVES OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. BIG COUNTRY HIGHS TUESDAY
UNCERTAIN...A MEAN BETWEEN AVN AND ETA MOS LOOKS MORE REASONABLE.
OTHERWISE...NUMBERS CLOSE TO MOS GUIDANCE LOOK GOOD.

DAYS 4-7...HAVE COMPLETED FIRST ROUND OF ALL GRIDS IN GFE AND HAVE
SAVED ALL TO INTERSITE COORDINATION. LATEST MRF STILL VERY
AGGRESSIVE ON POPS FOR THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING
INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. GIVEN THE PERSISTENCE OF THIS SOLUTION WILL
INCREASE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM WORDING TO CHANCE FOR THURSDAY.
FOR THE REMAINING DAYS...WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE. MRF MOS
NUMBERS LOOK GOOD FOR TEMPERATURES.

CCF PRELIMS...

ABI 071/093 070/090 068 41323
SJT 072/096 070/093 070 32322
JCT 072/097 070/093 073 23322

.SJT...NONE.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...19
SUNDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND...23/HUBER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 2:30 PM CDT, 7 hours 18 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-021915-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
230 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOST OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
ENCOMPASSES ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM SONORA TO
RICHLAND SPRINGS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE...CURRENTLY MOVING
INTO WEST TEXAS FROM SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
BIG COUNTRY TONIGHT. THIS WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WEST
OF THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS WILL
MOVE INTO THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A STORM COMPLEX ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. WITH VERY UNSTABLE AIR IN PLACE...SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
OCCUR...AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE BACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
ON MONDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THIS FRONT...
WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE HEARTLAND AND NORTHWEST HILL
COUNTRY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WORKWEEK...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND
WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARIES AFFECT THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

19

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:36 PM CDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0536 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0528 PM    1 E ABILENE               TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TAYLOR

BRAZZELL
Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:54 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0554 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0532 PM    3 N GRAPE CREEK           TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

BRAZZELL
Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:55 PM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0555 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0545 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

BRAZZELL
Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:56 PM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0556 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0550 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   70 MPH TSTORM WIND
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

BRAZZELL
Local storm report, Jun 1, 9:32 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT : CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0932 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   0.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0646 PM    3 E WALL                  TX   70 MPH TSTORM WIND
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0635 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0632 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0621 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0617 PM    1 N SAN ANGELO            TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0615 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.00 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0550 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   70 MPH TSTORM WIND
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0545 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0532 PM    3 N GRAPE CREEK           TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0528 PM    1 E ABILENE               TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TAYLOR

0416 PM    13 W ROBERT LEE           TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   COKE

BRAZZELL
Local storm report, Jun 1, 9:40 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT : CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
0940 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0728 PM    HASKELL                   TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   HASKELL

0700 PM    STAMFORD                  TX   2.50 IN HAIL
06/01/03   JONES

0650 PM    STAMFORD                  TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   JONES

0650 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   0.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0646 PM    3 E WALL                  TX   70 MPH TSTORM WIND
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0635 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0632 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0621 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0620 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   1.00 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0617 PM    1 N SAN ANGELO            TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0615 PM    SAN ANGELO                TX   1.00 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0550 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   70 MPH TSTORM WIND
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0545 PM    GRAPE CREEK               TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0532 PM    3 N GRAPE CREEK           TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TOM GREEN

0528 PM    1 E ABILENE               TX   0.88 IN HAIL
06/01/03   TAYLOR

0416 PM    13 W ROBERT LEE           TX   1.75 IN HAIL
06/01/03   COKE

BRAZZELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho60 min
Jun 1, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho58 min
Jun 1, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTThrockmorton56 min
Jun 1, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTTom Green64 min
Jun 1, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch68 min
Jun 1, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho63 min
Jun 1, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMenard65 min
Jun 1, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling44 min
Jun 1, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTNolan71 min
Jun 1, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Runnels63 min
Jun 1, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher59 min
Jun 1, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling33 min
Jun 1, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTTom Green57 min
Jun 1, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTRunnels48 min
Jun 1, 10:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTTom Green5 hr
Jun 1, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho63 min
Jun 1, 11:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTConcho6 hr
Jun 2, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Sterling45 min
Jun 2, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba60 min
Jun 2, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.