Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003
Flash Flood Warning 83, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Oct 6, 2003, 2:16 PM CDT for Schleicher County, Texas. It was in force for 119 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 6, 2003, 2:16 PM CDT (19:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 6, 2003, 4:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 119 min
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Schleicher County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1143 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -46 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 715 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS54 KSJT 061918 FFWSJT TXC413-062115- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX ISSUED BY NWS MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 216 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SCHLEICHER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 211 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN 10 MILES NORTH OF ELDORADO...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. LAT...LON 3108 10035 3107 10070 3074 10068 3074 10030 $$ 15
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 6, 2:31 AM CDT, 11 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 2:31 AM CDT, 11 hours 45 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 231 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2003 MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM/CHALLENGE CONTINUES TO BE WITH RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK. MODELS VARY WITH POPS...BUT GENERALLY LOOK OVERDONE. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY AND HEARTLAND TO SAG SOUTHWARD TODAY AND SHOULD BE IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE NEAR THIS BOUNDARY. CURRENT RADAR INDICATES CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO CONCHO VALLEY FROM WESTERN BIG COUNTRY. THIS MAY DRIVE THE EFFECTIVE FRONT SOUTHWARD MORE QUICKLY. WILL MONITOR RADAR TRENDS EARLY THIS MORNING FOR PLACEMENT OF POPS IN THE ZONE FORECAST. MODELS INDICATE SOME DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR TO WORK SOUTHWESTWARD INTO OUR COUNTIES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAY CARRY AN EVENING POP IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES BUT DROP POPS FARTHER NORTH. SHORTWAVE RIDGING DEPICTED FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS...AND EXPECT LATE NIGHT/MORNING LOW CLOUDS WITH DIURNAL CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT. TEMPERATURES TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. WILL CONTINUE TO GO DRY IN THE ZONE PACKAGE AND DISCOUNT THE GFS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE MOVING INTO NORTH TX WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...GFS IS VERY INCONSISTENT IN SUCCESSIVE MODEL RUNS. THE 00Z VERSION HAS AN UPPER LOW OFF THE BAJA COAST WITHOUT GETTING INCORPORATED INTO SOUTHERN STREAM FLOW. DOWNSTREAM SHORTWAVE RIDGE MAINTAINED OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN ROCKIES...TX AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. WILL KEEP A DRY ZONE FORECAST AND GO WITH SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN OUR COUNTIES. PRELIMINARY CCF... ABI 080/059/083/058/084 2000 SJT 082/062/084/060/085 2-00 JCT 084/063/084/060/084 42-0 .SJT...NONE. 19
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 1:35 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-071100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 230 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... WITH AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FORMING WEST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON MAY DRIFT TOWARD WESTERN CROCKETT COUNTY... WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY...AND THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. 15
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch | 65 min |
| Oct 5, 11:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher | 55 min |
| Oct 6, 1:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Nolan | 49 min |
| Oct 6, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke | 47 min |
| Oct 6, 2:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Schleicher | 57 min |
| Oct 6, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Schleicher | 30 min |
| Oct 6, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Schleicher, Sutton | 60 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.