Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS San Angelo, TX

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
510 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2003

.UPDATE...HAVE SENT AN UPDATED FORECAST TO RAISE POPS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES AS NEW LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING BETWEEN SAN ANGELO AND BROWNWOOD.

***************330 AM DISCUSSION*********************************
.CURRENT...COLD FRONT IS NEAR I-10 WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES.

.TODAY...WILL GO WITH THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
TODAY WITH FRONT. OTHERWISE TO THE NORTH...STILL UNDER SOME
INFLUENCE OF 50H LOW OVER NORTHEASTERN TEXAS. THIS COULD HELP TO
PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES JUST
ABOUT THE SAM AS YESTERDAY.

.TONIGHT-MONDAY...50H LOW CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE EAST AND EFFECTS
ON THE AREA TO LESSEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. WILL
CONTINUE TO TREND POPS DOWN TO 10 PERCENT OR BELOW AND GRADUALLY
TAKE MENTION OUT OF THE FORECAST.

.TUESDAY-SATURDAY...RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA...MAINLY TO THE
WEST AND KEEP THE AREA IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE
PERIOD. ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD NORMALLY BE FAVORABLE REGIME FOR
PRECIPITATION...THERE IS NOTHING THAT I CAN HANG MY HAT ON AT THIS
TIME TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. WILL PUT VERY LOW POPS IN THE GRIDS
AND WAIT FOR LATER MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF SOMETHING CAN ADDED TO THE
FORECAST. IT IS ABOUT THAT TIME OF YEAR FOR THE RAINS TO STOP AND
GET HOT. ALSO TRENDED TEMPERATURES UP A FEW DEGREES IN THE LATTER
PORTION OF THE EXTENDED AS SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH TIME BY THEN TO DRY
OUT THE GROUND TO GET SOME HEATING GOING. ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS TO BE
GETTING WARMER...STILL NOT AS WARM AS IT COULD BE THIS TIME OF YEAR.

ABI 085/064/086/066 4222
SJT 086/064/086/065 4222
JCT 086/063/086/068 5332

.SJT...NONE.

27/BRAZZELL

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-161030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
528 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HEARTLAND AND
NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NO
LONGER EXPECTED...ISOLATED HAIL TO THE ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER IS
POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT THIS MORNING WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINS AND
THE CONTINUED POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING OVER THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU...NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND THE HEARTLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEK...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...HOWEVER
THE CHANCES ARE REALLY LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

27/BRAZZELL