Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 300232
FFSSJT
TXC399-300445-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
929 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RUNNELS COUNTY UNTIL 
1145 PM CDT...

AT 926 PM CDT...WINTERS SKYWARN REPORTED WATER COVERING THE ROAD ON 
HIGHWAY 67 5 MILES OF WINTERS.  WINTERS POLICE DEPARTMENT MAY NEED 
TO CLOSE PARTS OF HIGHWAY 83 IN WINTERS DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

ELM CREEK ON THE NORTH SIDE OF BALLINGER WILL LIKELY FLOOD
THE CITY PARK AND MAY AFFECT RESIDENCES NEAR THE CREEK.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. 

IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND 
TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING 
WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN BEFORE THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM 
THE AREA.  

$$

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 300236 CCA
FFSSJT
TXC399-300445-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED LOCATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
929 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RUNNELS COUNTY UNTIL 
1145 PM CDT...

AT 926 PM CDT...WINTERS SKYWARN REPORTED WATER COVERING THE ROAD ON 
HIGHWAY 83...5 MILES SOUTH OF WINTERS.  WINTERS POLICE DEPARTMENT 
MAY NEED TO CLOSE PARTS OF HIGHWAY 83 IN WINTERS DUE TO FLASH 
FLOODING. 

ELM CREEK ON THE NORTH SIDE OF BALLINGER WILL LIKELY FLOOD
THE CITY PARK AND MAY AFFECT RESIDENCES NEAR THE CREEK.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. 

IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND 
TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING 
WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN BEFORE THE STORM MOVES AWAY FROM 
THE AREA.  

$$

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
322 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH LAPS CAPE VALUES STARTING TO PUSH 4000 J/KG ACROSS
THE WESTERN BIG COUNTRY. HELICITY AND SHEAR VALUES PRETTY NOT
IMPRESSIVE
...SO TORNADO THREAT APPEARS RELATIVELY SMALL.

FOR TONIGHT...WHATEVER CONVECTION DEVELOPS WILL NOT GET MUCH UPPER
SUPPORT...SO EXPECT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY TO DISSIPATE BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT AND EFFECT MAINLY MY NORTHWEST COUNTIES. SIMILAR SITUATION
POSSIBLE FOR WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH MAY BE A LITTLE FARTHER EAST AND
SHOULD HAVE THE SUPPORT OF AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. MODELS
UNDERESTIMATED THE MOISTURE DEPTH ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES THIS
MORNING...AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THEY DID IT AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. WITH A SLIGHTLY SLOWER DRYLINE EXPECTED ...WILL KEEP A
MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS FOR EVEN THE WESTERN COUNTIES AND
INCREASE TO CHANCE POPS FOR THE EAST.

WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRIES TO DROP INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BY
FRIDAY. HARD TO COUNT ON FRONTAL PASSAGES THIS TIME OF YEAR...BUT
WILL GO AHEAD AND KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS IN SOME OF THE
EASTERN COUNTIES.

NEXT TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY...WITH A DRYLINE
AND COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO
BE OFF TO THE EAST...HAVE PULLED THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

CCF PRELIMS..

ABI 061/088/061/089 321
SJT 063/089/062/091 321
JCT 065/085/063/089 222

.SJT...NONE.

07

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-302015-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
312 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

AS THE DRYLINE PUSHES INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

WITH THE DRYLINE CONTINUING TO REMAIN NEAR OR ACROSS THE AREA...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS.

24