Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 081435
FFSSJT
TXC049-081615-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
931 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BROWN COUNTY UNTIL 1115 AM 
CDT...

AT 928 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT ONE AND A HALF INCHES 
OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER BROWN SINCE 830 AM CDT...WITH ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL UP TO ONE INCH EXPECTED BY 1115 AM CDT. THIS WILL CONTINUE 
TO PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

ALTHOUGH THE VERY HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED TO THE EAST OF THE 
COUNTY...RADAR IS SHOWING THAT MODERATE RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD TO 
THE EAST ACROSS THE COUNTY AND WILL DO SO THROUGH 1030 AM. 

AT 928 AM CDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING 
IN THE CITY OF BROWNWOOD. DO NOT TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY OR 
GO AROUND ANY BARRICADES.

$$
27/BRAZZELL

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
910 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2003

COLD FRONT ALONG A LINE FROM WICHITA FALLS SOUTHWEST TO JUST NORTH
OF BIG SPRINGS AT 9 PM. FRONT SHOULD BE ENTERING HASKELL
COUNTY...MOVING SOUTH 17 MPH. LARGE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY
DEVELOPED AHEAD OF FRONT ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THEN MOVED NORTH
INTO THE STERLING CITY AND ROBERT LEE AREA. SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS
MEANS THAT FLOODING LIKELY.  FRONT SHOULD REACH ABILENE AROUND 11
PM...1 OR 2 AM IN SAN ANGELO.

WILL RECONFIGURE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS...SO I WILL BE ADDING CROCKETT...SUTTON...SCHLEICHER...
MASON...MENARD...AND KIMBLE.

.SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL 5 AM.
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #486 UNTIL 1 AM.

04

...150 PM DISCUSSION BELOW...
.CURRENT...COLD FRONT APPROACHING LUBBOCK EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
FIREWORKS SHOULD GET STARTED BEFORE 00Z IN THIS REGION...AS TCU
ALREADY EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY. CLOSER TO HOME...MOISTURE
ADVECTION UNDERWAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...AS DEWPOINTS HAVE
RISEN INTO THE MID 60S FROM JUNCTION AND SAN ANGELO...TO SWEETWATER.

.TONIGHT...MCS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF LUBBOCK LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN PROPAGATE/BUILD TOWARD SAN ANGELO AND SAN SABA
TONIGHT. STORMS MAY NOT REACH SAN ANGELO UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 1.75 INCHES...RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY AND NORTHERN HEARTLAND...ALONG THE ANTICIPATED TRACK OF THE
MCS. CANNOT RULE OUT HEAVY RAIN FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE CONCHO
VALLEY...AS CORFIDI VECTORS SUGGEST DEVELOPMENT ON THE SOUTHWEST
FLANK. IN ADDITION...SHOWALTER VALUES ARE GREATEST ACROSS THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND HEARTLAND...MINUS 6.

.SUNDAY...COLD FRONT TO STALL NEAR I-10...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR MORE
DEVELOPMENT. ONLY CONCERN IS ATMOSPHERE MAY NOT RELOAD. BUT BASED ON
ETA CAPES AND CIN VALUES...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ERUPT WITH
ANY KIND OF HEATING. STORMS TO LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
UNTIL SURFACE INSOLATION CEASES.

.MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW GETS ESTABLISHED ALOFT.
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES...SOME DECENT IN STRENGTH...TO INTERACT WITH
DRYLINE. WESTERN COUNTIES FAVORED. NO SHORTAGE OF MOISTURE WITH
DEWPOINTS REMAINING IN THE MID 60S AREAWIDE.

.EXTENDED WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...GFS STILL BACKING OFF OF PREVIOUSLY
ADVERTISED RIDGING MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. IN FACT THIS ARE
TRANSITIONING INTO MORE OF A ZONAL TO SOUTHWEST FLOW BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD AS TROUGH DEVELOPS IN THE WESTERN US. THIS IS STILL
FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
EXTENDED. NO ONE DAY LOOKS BETTER THAN THE OTHER AT THIS POINT AND
WITH CHANCES SO LOW...PLAN TO LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AT THIS
POINT WITH BIGGER FISH TO FRY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD...HOWEVER IT SHOULD NOT BE THAT BAD AS
MOST SUNS ENERGY WILL STILL BE GOING TO DRY OUT THE ATMOSPHERE.
HOWEVER IT COULD BE QUITE HUMID.

PRELIMS...

ABI 063/078/063/088 9421
SJT 066/081/065/089 6422
JCT 071/082/066/090 3311

12PLANET/ISC COORDINATION WITH FWD/EWX. THANKS SISTER WFOS.

.SJT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR THE BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY
AND HEARTLAND.

27/BRAZZELL/17

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-091100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
530 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BIG COUNTRY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. WITH SATURATED SOILS...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD FLOODING
OVER THE BIG COUNTRY...AND PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND
HEARTLAND THROUGH MIDDAY. WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY...LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

14

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
642 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0745 PM    ABILENE                   TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   TAYLOR

0952 PM    ROBERT LEE                TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   COKE

1148 PM    CLYDE                     TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   CALLAHAN

1158 PM    CLYDE                     TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   CALLAHAN

1200 AM    ROBERT LEE                TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/08/03   COKE                           LOW WATER CROSSING
                                          FLOODED

14

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
645 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0745 PM    ABILENE                   TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   TAYLOR

0930 PM    3 S STERLING CITY         TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/07/03   STERLING                       LOW WATER CROSSING
                                          FLOODED

0952 PM    ROBERT LEE                TX   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   COKE

1016 PM    ROBERT LEE                TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/07/03   COKE                           LOW WATER CROSSING
                                          FLOODED

1148 PM    CLYDE                     TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   CALLAHAN

1158 PM    CLYDE                     TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/07/03   CALLAHAN

1200 AM    ROBERT LEE                TX   FLASH FLOOD
06/08/03   COKE                           LOW WATER CROSSING
                                          FLOODED

14