Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 238, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2003, 3:50 PM CDT for Jasper County, Newton County, Missouri. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2003, 3:50 PM CDT (20:50 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2003, 4:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 55 min
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Jasper County, MO, Newton County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 11:55 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1867 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 689 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 300 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.5
- Supercell composite
- 12.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
590
WUUS53 KSGF 102050
SVRSGF
MOC097-145-102145-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN NEWTON COUNTY IN MISSOURI
SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTY IN MISSOURI
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT.
* AT 347 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF SENECA...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOPLIN...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LEAWOOD...SHOAL CREEK DRIVE...IRON GATES BY 400 PM CDT.
SAGINAW...SILVER CREEK...DUQUESNE BY 405 PM CDT.
DUENWEG...DIAMOND...CARTERVILLE BY 410 PM CDT.
CARTHAGE BY 420 PM CDT.
SARCOXIE BY 430 PM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF RACINE...REDINGS MILL...CLIFF VILLAGE...SHOAL CREEK
ESTATES AND DENNIS ACRES ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
LAT...LON 3711 9459 3697 9462 3680 9472 3701 9408
3730 9409
$$
IZZIWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 3:03 PM CDT, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 10, 3:03 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 303 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 VERY ACTIVE AFTERNOON SETTING UP WITH STORMS ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. STILL HAVE A CAP BUT SURFACE FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION AND OUTFLOW FROM CURRENT STORMS SHOULD ERODE IT AND INTERACT WITH EXTREME INSTABILITY OVER THE FORECAST AREA. STILL LOOKS LIKE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND FINALLY MOVE THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OUT OF THE REGION. TEMPS TOMORROW STILL LOOK ABOUT 10 DEGREES COOLER TODAY...WHICH IS STILL HANDLED WELL IN FORECAST. .IN THE EXTENDED...THERE IS MUCH DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND THE GFS. CONSENSUS IS THAT GFS SOLUTION IS TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH NEXT UPPER TROUGH IT DEVELOPS DURING MID WEEK...WHILE THE ECMWF HOLDS OFF ON DEVELOPING A TROUGH UNTIL FRIDAY. BOTH DO SHOW A SURFACE FRONT MEANDERING TO OUR SOUTH. DONT WANT TO TOTALLY FLIP FLOP THE FORECAST...SO MAIN ADJUSTMENT HAS BEEN TO PUSH POPS BACK TO EARLY WEDNESDAY AND EXTEND THEM THROUGH FRIDAY. .SGF... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. TERRY WILL LEAVE EARLIER MESOSCALE DISCUSSION ATTACHED... .MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION (FROM PREVIOUS AFD)... ...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION DEVELOPING... SGF 18Z SOUNDING SHOWS THE CAP HAS STRENGTHENED A BIT AT AROUND 750MB...HOWEVER IT WILL LIKELY NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT CONVECTION. CAP MAY ACTUALLY LEAD THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING MORE CELLULAR FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME AND AREA RADARS SHOW THE UPDRAFTS STILL CHOKING A BIT AND HAVING A BIT OF TROUBLE SUSTAINING THEMSELVES. AS VERY STRONG FORCING CONTINUES ALONG THE DRYLINE WOULD EXPECT THE UVVS TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY OVERCOME THE CAP WITH UPDRAFTS BECOMING MORE SUSTAINED AS THEY WORK INTO OUR CWA. ATTM WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION TO REMAIN MORE CELLULAR IN NATURE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 2 HOURS...WITH ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS LIKELY ROTATING WITH A TORNADO POTENTIAL. GIVEN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND LIKELY VERY FAST STORM MOTION...AREA MEDIA OUTLETS ARE URGED TO EXPRESS THE URGENCY AND FAST DEVELOPING NATURE OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SGF... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. IZZI
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 1:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-110000-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:
NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH:
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS...
WIND GUSTS OF 80 TO 100 MPH...AND
TORNADOES...WITH ONE OR TWO POSSIBLY BECOMING STRONG TO VIOLENT
HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.
AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
DISCUSSION:
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH
FROM THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADEQUATE WIND SHEAR WILL BE IN
PLACE TO SUPPORT TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
AN OVERALL QUIETER PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER A
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
&&
THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF
IZZIIn the hours before
Special weather statement, May 10, 11:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before
MOZ055>057-110000- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - TORNADO WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1130 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 337...IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING. THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: BENTON...MILLER AND MORGAN. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. CONDITIONS ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS...AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 80 MPH...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT... PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL MEDIA OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. TERRY
Special weather statement, May 10, 11:56 AM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ057-058-066>071-077>081-088>095-101>104-110000- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - TORNADO WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1156 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 338...IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING. THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: BARRY...BARTON...CAMDEN...CEDAR...CHRISTIAN...DADE...DALLAS... GREENE...HICKORY...JASPER...LACLEDE...LAWRENCE...MARIES...MCDONALD... MILLER...NEWTON...PHELPS...POLK...PULASKI...ST. CLAIR...STONE... TANEY...VERNON...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT. IN KANSAS: BOURBON...CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD. SOME CITIES IN THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE BOLIVAR...BRANSON... CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...JOPLIN...LEBANON... MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK... PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD AND STOCKTON. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL... AND DAMAGING WINDS...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. TERRY
Local storm report, May 10, 12:44 PM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1244 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
1026 AM 3 SE VICHY MO TORNADO
05/10/03 MARIES REPORTED BY PUBLIC.
TORNADO NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF COUNTY
ROADS 442 AND 444.
MARIES COUNTY SHERIFFS
OFFICE REPORTED NO
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE
ACROSS THE COUNTY.The office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Jasper | 44 min |
| May 9, 11:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade | 41 min |
| May 10, 2:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton | 28 min |
| May 10, 3:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton | 42 min |
| May 10, 10:43 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Maries, Phelps | 17 min |
| May 10, 3:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | St. Clair, Vernon | 64 min |
| May 10, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene | 56 min |
| May 10, 4:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Jasper, Lawrence | 53 min |
| May 10, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Newton | 34 min |
| May 10, 4:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene, Webster | 26 min |
| May 10, 5:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Webster | 45 min |
| May 10, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon | 41 min |
| May 10, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Greene | 36 min |
| May 10, 5:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Laclede, Wright | 35 min |
| May 10, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dallas, Polk, Webster | 23 min |
| May 10, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas | 38 min |
| May 10, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Phelps | 50 min |
| May 10, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon, St. Clair | 49 min |
| May 10, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Vernon | 46 min |
| May 10, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 51 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.