Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 227, NWS Springfield, MO

May 6, 2003Pulaski County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 6, 2003, 7:36 PM CDT for Pulaski County, Missouri. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 6, 2003, 7:36 PM CDT (00:36 UTC)
Expired: May 6, 2003, 8:15 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Pulaski County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 6, 6:35 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2206 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1529 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 234 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.5
Supercell composite: 14.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 070036
SVRSGF
MOC169-070115-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
737 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PULASKI COUNTY IN MISSOURI

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT.

* AT 734 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  NICKELS...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAYNESVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  FORT LEONARD WOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   ST. ROBERT...WAYNESVILLE BY 750 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF LAQUEY...OZARK SPRINGS AND DEVILS ELBOW ARE ALSO IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3787 9239 3769 9235 3771 9204 3794 9205

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 2:16 PM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 2:16 PM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
216 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

WARM MOIST AIR LIFTING NORTH AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST KS
AND NORTHEAST OK. CAPES OFF 18Z SGF SOUNDING APPROACHING 4000 J/KG
WITH HIGHER CAPES LIKELY BACK WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOSING
INTO SE KS AND EXTREME SW MO WHERE DEW POINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 70S.
THIS MOISTURE SURGE NORTHWARD IS ALSO DEPICTED NICELY ON VIS SAT
IMAGERY BY CU FIELD OVER MY WESTERN COUNTIES. SMALL COMPLEX OF
STORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL KS AND WEST CENTRAL MO ALSO PUTTING OUT A
LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY. WOULD EXPECT STORMS TO BE TRIGGERED OR DEVELOP
SOUTHWARD OVER SOUTHEAST KS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OR THE INCREASINGLY
SHARP DRYLINE IN SOUTHEAST KS AND NORTHEAST OK. FLOW IS BACKED
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW CENTER FROM THE JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD AREA
NORTHWARD ATTM...AND WHERE LOW LEVEL FLOW REMAINS BACKED...AN
ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE...EITHER NORTH OF THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE SURFACE WARM FRONT OR WHERE SMALLER BOUNDARIES LEFT
OVER FROM MORNING CONVECTION WILL ALSO ENHANCE HORIZONTAL VORTICITY.
SYNOPTIC SCALE SHEAR PROFILE NOT AS IMPRESSIVE AS PAST SUNDAY BUT
GIVEN HIGH CAPES...SUPERCELLS...POSSIBLY TORNADIC...STILL A
POSSIBILITY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INTO A LINEAR MCS THIS EVENING
OVER THE OZARKS BEFORE PUSHING OUT OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT.

WEAK HIGH WILL GIVE US A BRIEF BREAK WEDNESDAY...BUT ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT NORTHEAST WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER
TX/OK PANHANDLES WED NIGHT. MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH
OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT OVER SE KS AND SOUTHERN MO LATE WED NIGHT
AND THU MORNING. IF THE ATMOSPHERE RECOVERS SUFFICIENTLY THU
AFTERNOON...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THU
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.

VOLATILE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES EJECTING FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. ANOTHER
STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL EJECT EAST-NORTHEAST OVER LATE SAT
AND SAT NIGHT. USING PRIMARILY THE 00Z GFS...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TUE NIGHT.

.SGF...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

DSA

Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 1:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes before

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-071100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI WEST OF A LINE FROM
VERSAILLES TO GAINESVILLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BY 2 PM. THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL SPREAD INTO THE EASTERN OZARKS INCLUDING THE ROLLA AND
WEST PLAINS AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THE
STORM THREAT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

  DISCUSSION:

LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS WILL MOVE
INTO MISSOURI THIS EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND PROFILE WITH HEIGHT IS
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH SOME TORNADIC SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE.
ORGANIZED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP FIRST IN COUNTIES ALONG THE
WESTERN MISSOURI STATE LINE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE EAST
AND NORTHEAST INTO THE OZARKS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. OTHER SCATTERED STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE
OZARKS WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN BAND OF ORGANIZED STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF
A LINE FROM WARSAW TO BUFFALO TO FORSYTH THROUGH 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AFTER A BRIEF BREAK ON WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN
BECOME LIKELY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THE CHANCE FOR STORMS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF

DSA

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 7:16 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
716 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0713 PM    2 W OLIVE                 MO   TORNADO
05/06/03   DALLAS                         REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.

Local storm report, May 6, 7:21 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
721 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0715 PM    1 W BANGERT               MO   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   DENT                           DAMAGE TO ROOF.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, May 6, 7:22 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0720 PM    STOUTLAND                 MO   FLOOD
05/06/03   CAMDEN                         FLOODED ROADWAYS WITH
                                          WATER FLOWING OVER
                                          ROAD. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, May 6, 7:24 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
724 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0723 PM    SPRINGFIELD               MO   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   GREENE                         TREES UPROOTED AT
                                          CHESTNUT AND KANSAS
                                          EXPRESSWAY. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

Local storm report, May 6, 7:33 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
733 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0733 PM    WAYNESVILLE               MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/06/03   PULASKI                        REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

Local storm report, May 6, 7:34 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
734 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0733 PM    1 W LEBANON               MO   TORNADO
05/06/03   LACLEDE                        REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 6, 7:06 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dallas	39 min
May 6, 7:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene	51 min
May 6, 7:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Laclede	60 min
May 6, 7:18 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Laclede, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski	6 hr
May 6, 7:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Christian, Greene, Lawrence	6 hr
May 6, 7:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Webster	52 min
May 6, 7:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Phelps, Pulaski	47 min
May 6, 7:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dent	54 min
May 6, 8:19 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Dent	5 hr
May 6, 10:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.