Flash Flood Warning 78, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WGUS72 KRAH 102248
FFSRAH
NCC125-102315-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
641 PM EDT SUN AUG 10 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MOORE COUNTY EXPIRES AT 700 
PM...

HEAVY DOWNPOURS HAVE SHIFTED OUT OF SOUTHERN MOORE COUNTY EARLY THIS 
EVENING...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 
700 PM. HOWEVER...AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE 
FROM VASS EAST TO AROUND LOBELIA.  

TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN WERE WIDESPREAD SOUTH OF CARTHAGE FROM 
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...AND ROAD CLOSINGS WERE 
REPORTED IN CARTHAGE AND PINEBLUFF. RESIDUAL WATER FROM THE EARLIER 
DOWNPOURS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE COUNTY...MAINLY
SOUTH AND EAST OF CARTHAGE...EARLY TONIGHT AS WATER ON THE ROAD WILL 
BE DIFFICULT TO SEE IN THE DARKNESS.

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
230 PM EDT SUN AUG 10 2003

SCT SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONT INTO TNT AS LOCATIONS OF THE
CONVECTIVE FLARE UPS ARE BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
WITH WEAK EXITING JET AND WEAK UPPER VORT. CONVECTION FIRING OVR SC
WILL CONT TO LIFT N AND TRAIN INTO CENTRAL NC THIS EVENING. WILL GO
WITH 50 THRU THE EVENING HOURS.

THERE WILL BE A LITTLE LESS OF A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS MON AS
DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE W. HOWEVER WITH UPPER TROUGH REMAINING
TO THE W AND ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH
GOOD AFTN HEATING WILL KEEP A CHANCE POP IN FOR THE AFTN BUT
ACTIVITY SHOULD BE VERY SCT. WITH SUNSHINE MON TEMPS WILL WARM WELL
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S. MON NIGHT WILL SEE JUST A FEW EVENING
SHRA/TSTMS WITH COND REAMING MUGGY.

TUE...DEEP UPPER TROUGH REMAINS TO THE W AND BOTH ETA AND GFS HINT
AT LIFT INCREASING A LITTLE TUE AFTN AS ANOTHER UPPER VORT SWING NE
ACROSS THE AREA. THE ATMOS STILL SEEMS TO LACK A GOOD LOW LEVEL
FOCUS AND ACTIVITY SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BE SCT. WILL GO WITH A 40-50
POP TUE AFTN WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND HIGHS AGAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S.

THIS WET PATTERN FINALLY BEGINS TO TO CHANCE WED AS STRONG HIGH PRES
BUILD IN FROM THE EAST AND UPPER TOUGH WEAKENS AND RETROGRADE TO THE
W. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE BERMUDA HIGHT TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER FOR
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. WE WILL STILL SEE A CHC OF SHRA/TSTMS
WED BUT THE AMOUNT OF ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY SCT. HOT AND HUMID COND
WILL SETTLE IN FROM MIDWEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS TEMPS WARM TO
88-92 BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

THU-MON: MRF AND GFS DIVERG GREATLY FROM CANADIAN AND EUROPEAN
MODELS FROM FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MRF AND GFS ATTEMPTING TO
DEVELOP A DEEP CLOSED UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTH ALONG THE EAST COAST
FRI INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE CANADIAN
AND EUROPEAN SO WILL KEEP POPS OUT OF THE FCST FOR THE WEEKEND AND
GO WITH RATHER HOT TEMPS WITH HIGH PRES OVERHEAD.

.RAH...NONE.

JO

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-110925-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
435 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FROM REPETITIVE HEAVY RAINFALL
FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

OUTSIDE OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM SCATTERED LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY...TUESDAY...AND
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER NETWORK ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED FOR TODAY OR TONIGHT.

RFG