Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Nashville, TN

Issued

May 6, 2003, 11:44 PM CDT (04:44 UTC)

Expired

May 7, 2003, 12:30 AM CDT

In force

46 min

Issued by

NWS Nashville, TN

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Coffee County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Moore County, TN

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

156 
WUUS54 KOHX 070444
SVRBNA
TNC031-051-127-070530-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1144 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COFFEE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  FRANKLIN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
  MOORE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT

* AT 1134 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTH OF LYNCHBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST 
  AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE...
  6 MILES NORTHWEST OF DECHERD AROUND 1210 AM CDT
  NEAR ESTILL SPRINGS AROUND 1215 AM CDT

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH YOU SHOULD PREPARE
FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3516 8646 3504 8630 3534 8587 3552 8609

$$

JLM

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 9:19 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
919 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

CURRENTLY, THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND
NORTHWEST, BUT ALL IS QUIET IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS HOUR. EVENING
SOUNDING FROM OLD HICKORY GIVES A LIFTED INDEX OF -4.6, WITH A
CONVECTIVE AVAILABLE POTENTIAL ENERGY OF 1386 J/KG. ATMOSPHERE IS A
TAD DRY, WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER JUST 1.20 INCHES AND WITH
SIGNIFICANT DRYING IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS, BUT THAT CAN ALWAYS
CHANGE.

VARIOUS SURFACE ANALYSES AT 01Z SHOW A BULLSEYE OF -10 LIFTED
INDICES CENTERED OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI, WITH GREATEST
SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS EXTENDING FROM NASHVILLE WESTWARD. MEANWHILE,
LATEST CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM SPC SHOWS ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR OVERNIGHT SEVERE WEATHER, WITH MODERATE RISK
CREEPING INTO OUR EXTREME NORTHWEST COUNTIES.

HAVE UPDATED THE ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR INCLUDE MENTION OF THE
FLOOD WATCH THAT WAS ISSUED EARLIER, BUT HAVE MADE NO CHANGES TO THE
ACTUAL FORECAST. MOST RECENT MODEL RUNS SHOW PEAK TIME FOR OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION AROUND 09Z, SO BELIEVE IT WILL BE SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE
THUNDERSTORMS EITHER MOVE INTO OR DEVELOP OVER THE MID STATE.

.BNA...FLOOD WATCH ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING.

ROSE

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-071030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
STRONG STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE MID-STATE AGAIN TODAY
AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE NOT ONLY ISOLATED TORNADOES
BUT EXTENDED HEAVY RAINS AS WELL. HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED
TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS
A CHANCE OF LOCALLY SEVERE WEATHER EACH OF THESE DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

07

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Tennessee, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.