Severe Thunderstorm Warning 51, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
840 PM EDT WED JUL 02 2003

LINE OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EDGE NORTHEAST INTO WRN SECTIONS OF
THE CWA. EVENING SOUNDINGS SHOWS DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST
8KFT OF AROUND 40 DEGREES BUT LITTLE SPEED SHEAR EXCEPT FOR THE
SHEAR FROM THE SFC TO 1KFT. THIS DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD MAINTAIN
STORMS AS THEY BECOME MORE DOMINATED BY LLJ. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE
TO SEE STORMS PROPAGATE FARTHER EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. WILL
CONTINUE FFA AS WEEL GIVEN AMOUNT OF PCPN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN
AND POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING LATER TONIGHT.

MARINE: NO MAJOR CHANGES. SEEING SCA WINDS ATTM ACROSS THE MHX
WATERS WITH SEAS BUILDING.

.MHX...SCA ALL WATERS.
       FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT ALL ZONES
MLF/NP

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-021200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
400 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TODAY AND PASS NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BE SEVERE...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOS AND DAMAGING WINDS.
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE LIKELY WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS. LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THAT MAY
PRODUCE SOME MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

RAP

NCZ044-079-090-091-030130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
832 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PITT...GREENE...LENOIR AND DUPLIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

AT 832 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8 MILES
NORTHEAST OF SNOW HILL TO 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LA GRANGE...OR FROM 8
MILES NORTHEAST OF SNOW HILL TO WARSAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR GREENVILLE AT 855 PM
EDT...KINSTON AT 930 PM EDT..

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 800 PM EDT WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. A
TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT THURSDAY
MORNING FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

MLF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1150 PM EDT WED JUL 02 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1038 PM    WARSAW                    NC   FLASH FLOOD
07/02/03   DUPLIN                         NUMEROUS ROADS WASHED OUT.

1030 PM    LA GRANGE                 NC   FLASH FLOOD
07/02/03   LENOIR                         HIGHWAY 70 EASTBOUND
                                          CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
                                          SOME SECONDARY ROADS
                                          FLOODED AND CLOSED.

1030 PM    BLACK JACK                NC   FLASH FLOOD
07/02/03   PITT                           FLOODING BETWEEN BLACK
                                          JACK AND SIMPSON.

1030 PM    SNOW HILL                 NC   FLASH FLOOD
07/02/03   GREENE                         MOST ROADS IN GREENE
                                          COUNTY FLOODED. SOME CARS
                                          WATER STALLED AND  STRANDED
                                          ON ROADS.

0930 PM    AYDEN                     NC   TORNADO
07/02/03   PITT                           ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE AND
                                          TREES TWISTED OFF.

PETRO

NCZ046-047-081-103-030700-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
131 AM EDT THU JUL 3 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLAND HYDE...MAINLAND DARE...
OUTER BANKS DARE AND TYRRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM EDT...

AT 130 AM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM COLUMBIA SOUTH
TO NEAR ENGLEHARD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR LAKE WORTH AT 155 AM EDT...STUMPY POINT
AT 200 AM EDT...WANCHESE AT 230 AM EDT...MANTEO AT 235 AM EDT. OTHER
LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE STORMS INCLUDE BUFFALO CITY...EAST
LAKE...FORT LANDING...FRYING PAN LANDING...GUM NECK AND NEWFOUNDLAND.

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA
ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE
AMOUNT OF DEADLY LIGHTNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.

RF