Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
945 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

A WARM FRONT OVER CNTRL MS WILL CONT TO MOVE NWD TDY. THE BOUNDARY
WILL REACH NRN MS AROUND MIDDAY AND TO THE TN/MS BORDER AROUND 00Z.
A SFC LOW WILL TRACK ALONG THE BOUNDARY LATE TNT.

ELEVATED TSTMS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING WITH THE MAIN THREAT THIS
MORNING BEING LARGE HAIL. AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES NWD LATER TDY...SFC
INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AND THE RISK OF STORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE SRN 2/3RDS OF THE CWA.

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION AND UPDATE FCSTS AND OUTLOOK
PRODUCTS AS NEEDED THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

.MEG...NONE.

SWC

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-071000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1155 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT SOUTH OF A CLARKSDALE TO OXFORD TO TUPELO LINE IN NORTH
MISSISSIPPI.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT FOR THE REST OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI...THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
COUNTIES OF WEST TENNESSEE AND A PORTION OF EAST ARKANSAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE MODERATE RISK AREA INCLUDES
MEMPHIS...CLARKSDALE...CORINTH...OXFORD AND TUPELO.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THE
MID-SOUTH. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA INCLUDES JONESBORO...DYERSBURG AND
JACKSON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FROM
CLARKSDALE AND TUPELO ON NORTHWARD WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL.
HOWEVER...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE TOTALLY
RULED OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE RISK OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASES SOUTH OF CLARKSDALE...OXFORD AND
TUPELO. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS FROM NOW THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...BUT A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAY LINGER AFTER MIDNIGHT IN
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1155 AM CDT SUN APR 06 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1120 AM    MORO                      AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
04/06/03   LEE(AR)                        MARBLE SIZE COVERING
                                          GROUND.