Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
905 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2003

SEVERE WEATHER HAS FINALLY SLOWED DOWN SOME. STRONGEST STORMS ARE
NOW MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. TORNADO
WATCHES 255 AND 256 HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH TORNADO WATCH 260. WILL
UPDATE ZONES TO INDICATE CHANGE IN WATCH AND WILL LIKELY TRIM POPS
IN OTHER AREAS AS IT APPEARS RAIN HAS ENDED FOR A WHILE.

.MEG...NONE

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-061000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
820 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTH
MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER MUCH OF NORTH
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS. THE MODERATE RISK
AREA IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HELENA TO IUKA. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE REST OF THE MIDSOUTH. WARM
HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO THE WEST
WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MID SOUTH.
SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE TONIGHT. SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE
MIDSOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE REST OF THE MID SOUTH
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST
TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO THE MID SOUTH WEDNESDAY THEN RETREAT BACK TO
THE NORTH THURSDAY. WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
COVER THE MID SOUTH AND CAUSE PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME
STORMS POSSIBLY SEVERE THROUGH DAY SEVEN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AND MAY BE
POSSIBLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MEG.