Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 7, 2003, 9:37 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Texas. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 7, 2003, 9:37 PM CDT (02:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 7, 2003, 10:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 53 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Mitchell County, TX
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 585 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -62 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3200 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 109 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
995 WUUS54 KMAF 080237 SVRMAF TXC335-080330- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 935 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... MITCHELL COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS * UNTIL 1030 PM CDT * AT 935 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES SOUTH OF COLORADO CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLORADO CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE STORM INCLUDE... COLORADO CITY...WESTBROOK...LORAINE AND CUTHBERT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. LAT...LON 3210 10115 3210 10068 3250 10068 3250 10109 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 7, 3:08 PM CDT, 6 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 3:08 PM CDT, 6 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 308 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2003 MAIN CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE FLOODING POTENTIAL...BOTH FLASH AND MAINSTEM...IN NE ZONES AS MCS DEVELOPS ALONG COLD FRONT...DUE INTO THE NERN ZONES BY ABOUT 04Z. MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT W/THIS FEATURE...AS WELL AS THE TRACK OF THE EXPECTED MCS. PBL IS VERY MOIST...W/MSTR BACKED UP ALL THE WAY TO THE WRN MTNS. KMAF 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED PLENTY OF INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH...W/MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 2100 J/KG. WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS AND DRY MID-LEVELS SUGGEST A THREAT OF SVR WX SIMILAR TO THAT OF LATE--HAIL/DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS. SHORT TERM MODEL QPFS ARE OFF THE SCALE...W/MESOETA/ETA RUNS SHOWING 12-HR QPFS IN EXCESS OF 2 IN. IN THE EXTREME NE ZONES. THINK THIS IS A LITTLE EXCESSIVE...AND PREFER QPFS A LITTLE MORE IN LINE W/THAT OF THE AVN/HPC. STILL...WHAT W/SATURATED SOILS FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK AND RIVERS ALREADY RUNNING AT ELEVATED LEVELS...IF EVEN THE LOWER QPFS PAN OUT...EXPECT WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER LEVELS FLIRTING W/ACTION STAGES. COLORADO CITY STILL HAS ABOUT 7 FT TO GO TO REACH FS...AND DEPENDING ON AMTS/PLACEMENT OF PRECIP OVERNIGHT...RIVERS COULD BECOME PROBLEMATIC OVR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SUNDAY SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER OVR THE NERN ZONES...W/NOT MUCH CHANGE SW AS FRONT DIFFUSES. TIMING OF MCS SUGGESTS LINGERING CONVECTION A POSSIBILITY OVR THE NERN ZONES...AND MESOETA BRINGS A SHORTWAVE OVR THE BIG BEND LATE SUN AFTERNOON. MONDAY...UPPER LVL FLOW TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL...AND H85 TEMPS JUMP TO AROUND 30 DEG C FOR A WARMUP INTO THE 90S. THIS SHOULD STAY MORE OR LESS PERSISTENT UNDER ZONAL FLOW INTO THE EXTENDED. ON TUESDAY EVENING... MODELS ADVERTISE A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH AREA FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION OVR MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT WILL CONFINE CHANCES TO THE ERN ZONES IN THE BETTER MSTR. GFS TRIES TO REPEAT THIS SCENARIO WEDNESDAY EVENING...BUT WILL WAIT ANOTHER RUN TO SEE IF THIS IS CONSISTENT BEFORE MENTIONING ANYTHING OTHER THAT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. THE REST OF THE EXTENDED LOOKS WARM AND DRY. && MAF 61 83 69 93 / 20 00 00 20 CNM 59 88 66 98 / 00 00 00 00 MRF 58 88 59 89 / 00 10 10 00 FST 94 63 84 65 / 00 00 20 00 .MAF... TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT TXZ045>048-050>053-062-063-070. NM...NONE. 44
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 7, 2:50 PM CDT, 6 hours 47 minutes before
NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-080900- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 250 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT EAST OF A LINE FROM STANTON TO LAMESA. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WEST OF THIS LINE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED AND A FEW MAY BE SEVERE. FLOODING... THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. FLOODING OF CREEKS AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND BEALS CREEKS ARE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN AND TRANS PECOS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 7:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
TXZ046>048-051>053-062-063-069-070-080600- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 704 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2003 THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 100 AM CDT SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN WEST TEXAS... BORDEN...DAWSON...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL... REAGAN...SCURRY AND UPTON THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... BIG LAKE...BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...GAIL...GARDEN CITY... LAMESA...MCCAMEY...MIDLAND...RANKIN...SNYDER AND STANTON A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL 3/4 OF AN INCH OR GREATER AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE IN OR NEAR TO THE WATCH AREA...CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED OR SEVERE WEATHER IS OBSERVED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reagan | 58 min |
| Jun 7, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 43 min |
| Jun 7, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Scurry | 32 min |
| Jun 8, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Presidio | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.