Severe Thunderstorm Warning 420, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 PM CDT SUN AUG 3 2003

WEATHER HAS SETTLED DOWN A BIT THIS AFTERNOON. HAD CLEARING FROM THE
NORTHWEST WHICH HAS ALLOWED SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION. BOUNDARY
ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS HAS LIFTED NORTH INTO MISSOURI...WITH A
SYSTEM ALOFT EXPECTED TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST.

THE SYSTEM MAY TRIGGER A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN ARKANSAS LATER
THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. ALSO...STORMS COULD FIRE ALONG BOUNDARY IN
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND MOVE WITH NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT INTO NORTHERN
ARKANSAS. GIVEN THIS...WENT WITH HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN IN NORTH
AND WEST WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ELSEWHERE.

WILL CLOUD UP OVERNIGHT...BUT CLOUDS WILL DECREASE ONCE AGAIN ON
MONDAY WITH ANY PRECIPITATION BECOMING ISOLATED.

LATE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY...STORM SYSTEM/COLD FRONT WILL HEAD INTO
ARKANSAS FROM THE WEST WITH CLOUDS/RAIN CHANCES GOING UP AGAIN.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE MORE SEVERE WEATHER DURING THIS
PERIOD.

PERHAPS SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER/DRIER AIR BEHIND FRONT HEADING INTO
MIDWEEK...WITH RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING.

FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME TEMPERATURES TO END THE WEEK WITH NO RAIN
MENTIONED IN THE FORECAST.

HRO   69  89  70  87 /  30  30  50  50
LIT   72  90  73  90 /  20  20  40  50
HOT   72  91  73  90 /  30  30  40  50
PBF   73  91  74  91 /  20  20  30  50

.LZK...NONE.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
550 PM CDT SUN AUG 3 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STATIONARY FRONT LIFTED FROM NORTHERN ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHERN
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ACTIVE
OVERNIGHT...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. WITH A
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHERN ARKANSAS.

ALSO...A SYSTEM ALOFT IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS WILL HEAD THROUGH EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND EVENTUALLY INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FEW STORMS MAY
DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO THE SYSTEM...WITH THE STORMS CONFINED MAINLY
TO THE WESTERN COUNTIES.

ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER MAY OCCUR IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT...WITH HAIL THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TONIGHT IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
WILL LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING. DURING THE HEAT
OF MONDAY AFTERNOON...STORMS MAY REDEVELOP BUT THEY SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED.

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...A STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST...WITH SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE.
THE STORMS SHOULD LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE BECOMING MORE
ISOLATED LATE IN THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

IN GENERAL...SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN ISOLATED THROUGH TONIGHT. AS
A RESULT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
510 PM CDT SUN AUG 3 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0835 AM    WAYTON                    AR   .88 INCH HAIL
08/03/03   NEWTON                         REPORTED BY PUBLIC

0945 AM    DENNARD                   AR   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/03/03   VAN BUREN                      HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

1135 AM    1 N CORD                  AR   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/03/03   INDEPENDENCE                   REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER

1135 AM    3 N CORD                  AR   .75 INCH HAIL
08/03/03   INDEPENDENCE                   REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER

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