Severe Thunderstorm Warning 140, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
950 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

SEVERE AND TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO WARM ADVECTION HAS MOVED
EAST OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS REMAINS IN
PLACE. LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI MAY EXTEND
SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA THEN MOVE EAST INTO ARKANSAS
LATER TONIGHT. THUS WILL NOT UPDATE THE FORECAST AND KEEP HIGH
POPS GOING THROUGH TONIGHT. IF ANYTHING...MIN FORECASTS MAY BE
TOO LOW BUT LATER STORMS COULD KNOCK TEMPS DOWN SOMEWHAT.

.LZK...NONE

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
151 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT...WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WAS
NOTED ACROSS THE REGION. MEANWHILE...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WAS IN
NORTH KANSAS WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS
THE FRONT APPROACHES LATER TODAY...IT WILL MOVE INTO THE UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN FORMING IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL PUSH ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT APPEARS THAT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER
THREATS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...THE WINDS WILL BE
CHANGING WITH HEIGHT...WITH A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND NEAR THE
GROUND AND A WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND ALOFT. THIS WILL CREATE A
TURNING MOTION IN THE ATMOSPHERE...WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN SOME
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE COLD FRONT IN THE PLAINS WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS.
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM AROUND MOUNTAIN
HOME TO TEXARKANA. AFTER SOME LEFTOVER MORNING PRECIPITATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE. SEVERE WEATHER IS AGAIN
POSSIBLE.

THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. SEVERAL SYSTEMS FROM THE PLAINS WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT
TO TRIGGER A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS TODAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
931 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0755 PM    2 S HOPEWELL              AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   CLEBURNE                       MINOR DAMAGE TO
                                          HOUSES.REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0817 PM    EL PASO                   AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   WHITE                          TREES AND POWER LINES
                                          DOWN. DAMAGE TO HOUSES.
                                          PEOPLE TRAPPED IN HOUSES.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
940 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0910 PM    WELDON                    AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   JACKSON                        TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
                                          AROUND WELDON AND TUPELO.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
945 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0910 PM    MC CRORY                  AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   WOODRUFF                       10 TO 15 HOUSES REPORTED
                                          DESTROYED FROM PATTERSON TO
                                          MC CRORY. FIRE STATION
                                          REPORTEDLY DESTROYED AT MC
                                          CRORY. DAMAGE TO
                                          BUSINESSES. FROM STATE
                                          POLICE AND ARKANSAS DEPT.
                                          OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
959 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0650 PM    2 SW BEE BRANCH           AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/04/03   VAN BUREN                      MANY TREES DOWN. POWER
                                          LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT

0710 PM    2 S EDGEMONT              AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/04/03   CLEBURNE                       TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
                                          AND SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
                                          REPORTED AT GREERS FERRY.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0745 PM    QUITMAN                   AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/04/03   CLEBURNE                       TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
                                          AND SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0815 PM    5 W BEEBE                 AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   WHITE                          HIGHWAY 64 BLOCKED BY
                                          FALLEN TREES AND POWER
                                          LINES. TRUCK TRAILER
                                          OVERTURNED. ONE HOUSE
                                          DAMAGED. REPORTED BY HAM
                                          RADIO OPERATOR

0903 PM    GREGORY                   AR   TORNADO
05/04/03   WOODRUFF                       SHERIFFS DEPUTY REPORTED A
                                          TORNADO NEAR GREGORY ON
                                          HIGHWAY 33 SOUTH.

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