Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1155 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

UPDATE TO INCLUDE NEW TORNADO WATCH. WARM AND VERY MOIST AIR REMAINS
IN PLACE AND SEE IT HOLDING IN THROUGH THE NIGHT. DO NOT SEE
FRONT PENETRATING THE AREA TOO MUCH. RAISED TEMPS AND DEW POINTS
THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE.

.LZK...NONE

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
105 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT. A DRY LINE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST INSTABILITY AND
VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR
TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY NORTH A LINE FROM MENA...TO BATESVILLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON WEDNESDAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM YELLVILLE TO CLARKSVILLE. STORM ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK, AR
1050 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0845 PM    PEEL                      AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   MARION                         TREES DOWN. REPORTED
                                          BY MEDIA.

0905 PM    MOUNTAIN HOME             AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   BAXTER                         TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY MEDIA.

0905 PM    MOUNTAIN HOME             AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   BAXTER                         WIND GUST OF 61 MPH
                                          MEASURED. REPORTED BY
                                          PUBLIC.

0910 PM    MOUNTAIN HOME             AR   0.88 INCH HAIL
05/06/03   BAXTER                         REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0910 PM    7 S MOUNTAIN HOME         AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   BAXTER                         WIND GUST OF 60 MPH
                                          ESTIMATED. REPORTED BY
                                          TRAINED SPOTTER.

0915 PM    7 S MOUNTAIN HOME         AR   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/06/03   BAXTER                         REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

0915 PM    5 NE MOUNTAIN HOME        AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   BAXTER                         TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY MEDIA.

0925 PM    3 E HENDERSON             AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/06/03   BAXTER                         TREES DOWN.
                                          REPORTED BY MEDIA.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>024-030>033-037>044-052>054-062345-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1134 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 277 THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ARKANSAS IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...BUT IT HAS BEEN REPLACED BY
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 279 WHICH COVERS ALL OF ARKANSAS EXCEPT FOR
BENTON COUNTY.

TORNADO WATCH 279 WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

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